Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • December 19, 2025
A banner for weekly commercial real estate news recap
A blurred image of a city street with people walking down it.

Here are the best-performing retail markets of 2025

U.S. retail real estate delivered another year of resilience in 2025, marked by a steady balance between supply and demand, despite pressure from increased store closings.



Under the surface, market-by-market performance varied more than in any year since the pandemic, as the disparate effect from store closures and diverging demographic trends created a larger gap between the winners and losers...


A blurry picture of a clothing store with clothes on display.

Dollar General lifts outlook on strong Q3; to open 450 stores, remodel 4,250 in 2026

Dollar General Corp. reported better-than-expected earnings and sales for its third quarter amid rising store traffic. 

Looking ahead, the deep discounter said it plans to open approximately 450 stores (and about 10 locations in Mexico) in fiscal 2026. That’s down from the estimated 575 new stores (and up to 15 stores in Mexico) it’s on track to open this year... 


A car is parked in front of a sign that says 223

Holiday Sales Climb As November Spending Holds Steady


Retailers appear to be on pace for a solid 
holiday season, reports GlobeSt. November sales rose 4.53% compared to the same time last year, keeping pace with expectations from the National Retail Federation. While spending only edged up 0.12% from October, the annual increase suggests consumers are spending strategically heading into the holidays...

The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

L.L.Bean details store expansion for 2026 — here’s where

L.L.Bean is accelerating its retail expansion as it expands its brand to new markets.

The outdoor apparel and gear retailer plans to open eight stores in 2026, including its first-ever locations in Alabama and Tennessee (locations listed at end of article). It plans to further accelerate its expansion in 2027, with an additional eight to 10 outposts, including first-time stores in new markets in the Midwest and Southeast...

A person carrying an orange shopping basket while walking through a supermarket aisle filled with products.

4 things retailers need to know about shoppers in 2026

Global sales and marketing agency Acosta Group released four consumer predictions for 2026, pointing to increased demand for personalization, transparency and innovation across the retail and foodservice sectors.



Company officials said shifting lifestyles and rapid advances in technology are reshaping how people shop and what they expect from brands. “Technology and evolving consumer lifestyles continue to reshape the shopping experience, as do the expectations, priorities and values driving purchases,” said Colin Stewart, executive vice president of business intelligence at Acosta Group...

A Netflix House building with a vibrant, character-filled mural and a striking, bright red geometric entryway.

Can Netflix Help Save the American Mall?

You can spot the telltale red hue from several parking lots away as you approach the mall. Netflix Red — the color millions of Americans see each night before dozing off — is splashed on the side of the King of Prussia mall in the Philadelphia suburbs. It marks the portal to Netflix House, the streaming entertainment company’s new permanent brand activation/movie theater/retail outlet, which opened last month...

Bar chart comparing 2025 quarterly foot traffic for Starbucks (purple) and Dunkin’ (teal) against 2024 levels.

Placer.ai: Starbucks, Dunkin' visits rise in Q3

Placer.ai noted that its weekly data for the two chains offers insights into how seasonal offerings fuel traffic. Starbucks’ bear-shaped (Bearista) cup launch – which happened on the same day as the holiday menu rollout – proved to be a major traffic driver, driving visits up 11.9% year over year during the week. The strong visit trends continued the following week with a 6.2% year over year increase, helped by a strong “Red Cup Day” performance...

A street-level view of a white multi-story building featuring an outdoor cafe with red awnings on a tree-lined corner.

Private Investors Fuel 2025 Growth In Single-Tenant Retail Market


After sluggish activity in 2023 and 2024, the US STNL retail market experienced a notable resurgence in 2025, reports Marcus&Millichap. Transactions rose 18% and dollar volume 14% in 2025, showing improved alignment between single-tenant retail buyers and sellers...



A tall white water tower with

SpaceX launches first Starlink retail store; AI infrastructure startup Fermi loses construction funding; Fed confirms regional presidents


Elon Musk’s SpaceX is launching into the nation’s retail game with its first in-person location for its internet provider, Starlink.

Tucked into the Nebraska Crossing shopping center in Gretna, Nebraska, the inaugural Starlink store sells its Starlink Kit, alongside Starlink-branded merchandise, according to an X user that visited the store, which apparently counts footwear maker Crocs as a neighbor...

A person in a black t-shirt works behind the counter of a modern coffee shop with white walls and a chalkboard menu.

Quick-Service Expansion Fuels US Retail Leasing Growth

Restaurants, bars, and coffee shops are playing a pivotal role in retail real estate’s post-pandemic recovery, reports Colliers. Over the past 12 months, these tenants accounted for roughly 20% of all new retail leasing. They have become a critical driver of foot traffic and absorption in shopping centers nationwide.



Even in the face of inflation, Americans are prioritizing dining out. Retail spending at restaurants and coffee shops exceeded $100B in July 2025, representing a nearly 50% jump from pre-pandemic levels...

By Marc Perlof June 19, 2026
Federal Reserve holds rates steady but signals possible hike before year’s end US stock markets dropped on Wednesday afternoon after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged and signaled a possible rate hike before the end of the year. The Fed was widely expected to keep rates at a range of 3.5% to 3.75%, where they have remained since December. The decision was unanimously supported by the Fed’s voting committee.  “Economic activity is expanding at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty that owes, in part, to the conflict in the Middle East,” the Fed’s open market committee said in the statement...
By Marc Perlof June 15, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 June 15, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. In a buyer’s market, pricing discipline matters more than optimism. Retail property owners who understand how buyers think during weaker markets usually protect more value than owners who continue pricing based on past market conditions. When buyers gain leverage, they become more selective, move slower, and focus much more on risk. That changes how retail properties are priced, negotiated, and sold. In the previous article, “When to Adjust Price vs Hold Firm on Your Retail Property,” I discussed how owners should interpret buyer behavior, pricing feedback, and negotiation pressure once a property hits the market. What Changed What happens in a buyer’s market? In a buyer’s market, buyers gain more negotiating power because there are fewer active buyers compared to the number of properties for sale. Investors know they have more options, which changes how they negotiate. That usually slows down transactions. Buyers take longer to make decisions, ask more questions during due diligence, and review future risks more carefully before making offers. This is especially true for NNN properties, shopping centers, strip centers, and multitenant retail properties where buyers are closely reviewing tenant quality, how soon tenants may need to renew their leases, property repairs that still need to be completed, and future operating expenses. Why are buyers becoming more cautious? Buyers are becoming more careful because the margin for error is smaller today. Higher interest rates, more expensive financing, rising insurance costs, and economic uncertainty are causing investors to focus more on protecting themselves from future problems. Instead of focusing mostly on upside potential, buyers are asking: Will the tenants remain stable? Can rents hold up if the economy slows? Will future expenses increase faster than income? Will future buyers still want this property several years from now? That mindset affects pricing directly. Why It Matters Why do pricing mistakes hurt more in buyer driven markets? In buyer driven markets, aggressive pricing can reduce activity quickly. When buyers believe a property is overpriced, many simply move on instead of negotiating. That can create a difficult cycle for sellers. Limited activity often leads to longer time on market, weaker leverage, and growing buyer concerns over time. Buyers also become more aggressive once they believe a seller may eventually lower pricing. However, that assumption is not always correct. Some retail property owners are financially stable, are not highly motivated to sell, and are willing to wait if pricing does not reflect the property’s long term value. What concerns are buyers focused on most? Buyers today are closely reviewing anything that could create future problems. This includes: short lease terms property repairs that still need to be completed relying too heavily on one tenant for income weak tenant sales rising operating expenses poor common area maintenance (CAM) recovery structures older building systems future repair costs Even if a property is performing well today, buyers may still lower their pricing if they believe future risks are increasing. That is why clean, stable, and predictable retail properties are usually performing much better than properties with uncertainty or operational problems. Strategic Advice for Retail Property Owners Should you lower pricing quickly in a buyer’s market? Not automatically. Owners should avoid repeatedly lowering pricing out of frustration or fear. Frequent price cuts can weaken buyer confidence and make sellers appear desperate. Instead, pricing adjustments should be based on consistent feedback from qualified buyers. How do you reduce buyer fear? In buyer driven markets, reducing uncertainty becomes extremely important. Owners should review anything that could create concerns for buyers. This includes how organized the leases, financial records, and property information are, as well as any repairs that still need to be completed. Buyers will also pay close attention to lease expiration dates, common area maintenance charges and reimbursements, NNN expense responsibilities, lease options, rent increases, guarantor strength, and who is responsible for major items such as the roof, HVAC system, and parking lot. The easier it is for buyers to understand the property and its future risks, the more confidence they usually have during negotiations. When might waiting make more sense than selling? Not every market is ideal for selling. In some situations, extending leases, improving tenant quality, resolving deferred maintenance, increasing NOI, or waiting for financing conditions to improve may create better long term results than selling immediately. That does not mean owners should avoid selling in weaker markets. It means owners should understand whether they are selling from a position of strength or reacting emotionally to market uncertainty. What should sellers focus on most? The goal in buyer driven markets is not simply attracting offers. The goal is building buyer confidence while protecting leverage as much as possible during negotiations. Owners who reduce uncertainty, position their properties correctly, and respond strategically to buyer concerns usually perform much better than owners who rely only on aggressive pricing. Real Deal Insight We are beginning to see buyers usually lower what they are willing to pay when they see uncertainty in today’s retail market. Properties with organized financials, stable tenants, and fewer future concerns are consistently attracting stronger pricing and smoother negotiations. Owner Self Assessment If buyers reviewed your property today, would they see stable long term income or future problems they need to price into the deal? If you are considering selling and want to understand how buyers would likely evaluate your property in today’s market, reach out directly. I will walk you through how investors are reviewing pricing, lease risk, operating expenses, and future value before you make a decision. Are you positioning your property to reduce buyer fear or unintentionally increasing it? In the next article, “How to Price Retail Property in a Seller’s Market,” we will discuss how strong buyer demand changes negotiation strategy, pricing leverage, and competitive bidding environments. Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide.  #RetailRealEstate #NNN #ShoppingCenters #StripCenters #CommercialRealEstate #InvestmentSales #CapRates #RetailProperty #LosAngelesCRE #1031Exchange
By Marc Perlof June 12, 2026
Inflation tops 4% for the first time in 3 years on spike in gasoline prices Soaring gasoline prices, triggered by the U.S. war with Iran, have pushed inflation to its highest level in more than three years. A report from the Labor Department on Wednesday showed consumer prices in May were up 4.2% from a year ago. That's the biggest annual increase since April of 2023. By contrast, the Labor Department says average wages have risen only 3.4% over the last year, so workers' real spending power has declined...
More Posts