Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • September 5, 2025
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The Iconic Reel Inn Malibu To Say Goodbye After 36 Years


Plans to resurrect The Reel Inn Malibu after the Palisades Fire have been shelved following a decision by the California Department of Parks and Recreation not to renew the restaurant’s lease, as reported by The Wall Street Journal. 


The move effectively closes a 36-year chapter for the 144-seat seafood shack on Pacific Coast Highway, long recognizable for surfboards on the walls, clever signage, chalkboard menus, and the relaxed Malibu customers...


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Dollar Tree posts Q2 gains, predicts flat Q3 profits

Dollar Tree on Wednesday reported double-digit gains in second-quarter sales and profits, but the company said tariffs would continue to pressure earnings in the third quarter.



The low-price retailer said it expected diluted earnings per share in the third quarter to be about even with year-ago results, despite forecasts for strong sales growth throughout the year. The flat outlook for Q3 appeared to disappoint investors, who sent the company’s stock down about 8% in early trading on Wednesday...

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Trump rewriting federal marijuana regulations could unlock billions for the US economy — what you should know


President Trump recently confirmed that his administration is considering reclassifying marijuana as a less dangerous drug, and that shift could have a massive impact on the U.S. economy.


Currently, marijuana is classified as a Schedule I drug — alongside heroin, LSD and MDMA. These drugs are considered more dangerous and are defined as having no acceptable medical use...

The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

Black Rock Coffee Bar Eyes $860.7 Million Valuation


Black Rock Coffee Bar wants to price its IPO at $16 to $18 per share. This means the chain hopes to raise up to $265 million. It would also mean a valuation of up to $860.7 million.


Black Rock will list on the Nasdaq under “BRCB...”

Wendy's opens 118 new locations worldwide in first half of 2025


An Ohio-based quick-serve hamburger giant is making progress towards its goal of 1,000 new restaurants by 2028.


Wendy’s announced that in the first half of 2025, it opened 118 restaurants globally. The chain says it remains on track to increase global units by 2% to 3% in 2025 while continuously strengthening its long-term development pipeline...

Academy Sports opening 11 stores — here’s where; Q2 sales rise 3.3%


Academy Sports + Outdoors continues to expand its store footprint. 


The Texas-based sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer has 11 new stores (locations at end of article) on tap for the third quarter, with plans to open a total of 20 to 25 new locations this fiscal year. To date, Academy has opened eleven stores in 2025, bringing its total to 306 locations across 21 states...

Net Lease Investment Trends Drive Retail Sector Resilience


Despite economic headwinds, the retail net lease market remained resilient in the first half of 2025, reports GlobeSt. Investors increasingly gravitated toward tenants with strong credit and operational stability. According to Colliers’ mid-year retail review, STNL sales reached $5.7B in the first half of 2025. This marks a 9.6% increase from the second half of 2024. The rise signals renewed confidence in well-leased retail assets...

Wawa opens its first convenience store catering to truckers


Wawa is getting into the truck-stop business.


The mid-Atlantic convenience store chain opened its first store with amenities for truckers near Fayetteville, North Carolina, and started construction on two additional truck stops in Ohio and Indiana...

More retailers seek Chapter 11 redo — but few survive


Bankruptcies aren’t turning out better the second time around for many retailers.



A flurry of U.S. chains have returned to court recently to file for Chapter 11 reorganization within just a few years after first seeking bankruptcy protection. In August, tween retailer and mall staple Claire’s filed a second time. While it has found a buyer for up to nearly 1,000 of its stores, it will still be closing hundreds of its locations. And it’s not alone...

After Years of Silence, Smashburger Plots Comeback Under New CEO


It’s time for Smashburger to wake up.


That’s the message Jim Sullivan, who was promoted to CEO in August, wants to send to restaurants, franchisees, employees, and the whole system. In prior years, the fast casual has been relatively silent—”virtually invisible,” Sullivan says, except for a rebranding back in September 2024 that involved removing many core items from the menu. The 206-unit Smashburger did augment with some replacements, like the All-American Smash, Bacon Stack Smash, and Chicken Smash Burger, but then the brand stopped innovating...


Americans Keep Spending But They See Clouds on Horizon


Never underestimate the American consumer. That’s a lesson economists keep learning.


The labor market has been slowing, inflation is still biting and consumer sentiment remains subdued. But none of those things stopped Americans from boosting their spending by the most in four months in July, according to a Bureau of Economic Analysis report out today...


By Marc Perlof October 31, 2025
Fed Cuts Rates Again, Boosting Confidence in CRE Recovery In a closely watched decision, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month. The new target range of 3.75% to 4% reflects continued efforts to ease financial conditions and stabilize capital markets, even as economic signals remain mixed...
By Marc Perlof October 27, 2025
If you own retail real estate, here’s what might change for you. The hospitality workers’ union UNITE HERE Local 11 is pushing a bold new initiative to raise the City of Los Angeles $30 minimum wage for all city employees by July 1, 2028¹. While the first ordinance covered hotel and airport workers, the union’s latest ballot measure would extend this wage citywide². As an expert in retail real estate, here’s what that means for your properties. Higher wages will immediately impact tenant affordability and rent-to-sales ratio calculations that drive lease viability. Many retailers operate with payroll costs at 25 to 35 percent of gross revenue, leaving little cushion for a wage that’s nearly double the current state minimum of $16/hour³. When margins tighten, tenants face a choice: raise prices, cut staff, or negotiate rent. For landlords, that translates into valuation pressure because commercial property values depend on stable rental income. The small business impact in Los Angeles could be profound. Independent restaurants, boutiques, and service operators, the lifeblood of local shopping centers, run on razor-thin profits. If forced to meet a $30 wage, some may relocate to cities like Burbank or Glendale, where municipal wage laws are lower, or close entirely⁴. That shift could spark short-term vacancy spikes and longer lease-up periods. Still, there’s a possible upside. When low-wage workers earn more, they spend more locally. For well-positioned centers with necessity-based tenants: grocers, pharmacies, quick-service restaurants, rising wages could strengthen revenue resilience. Key takeaways for retail landlords: Audit tenant financial health and exposure to rising payroll costs. Review lease clauses that address operating-cost pass-throughs. Model new rent-to-sales thresholds under a $30 wage scenario. Track tenant retention and market-rent shifts across nearby cities. Prepare for valuation adjustments as cap rates reflect greater income volatility. If you own retail real estate in the City of Los Angeles, now’s the time to stress-test your portfolio. Let’s review your leases before this wage shift hits. Call or DM me for more information. When the $30 wage arrives, will higher pay strengthen LA’s consumer base or hollow out the city’s small-business retail core? #LosAngeles30MinimumWage #RetailRealEstateInLosAngeles #TenantAffordabilityAndRentToSalesRatio #SmallBusinessImpactLosAngeles #CommercialPropertyValuesLosAngeles
By Marc Perlof October 24, 2025
Toys"R"Us opening 10 flagships, 20 seasonal shops — here are all the locations The brick and mortar comeback of Toys"R"Us is moving into high gear ahead of the toy industry’s busiest season. In September, the retailer said that, in partnership with Go! Retail Group, it was planning to open 10 flagships and 20 seasonal holiday shops in the U.S. by year's end...
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