Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • February 28, 2025
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1000th Store Orlando

‘Experiential’ retail surges as landlords try to lure customers back to the mall


In a former clothing store in Santa Monica, young entrepreneurs hawk products live on TikTok, sometimes in marathon sessions that last many hours.

A kfc restaurant with a sign that says ' mr. kentucky ' on it

Palisades High School could come to Downtown Santa Monica


Palisades Charter High School (PCHS) may temporarily relocate to the currently vacant Sears Building in Downtown Santa Monica while the school works to rebuild sections of its campus destroyed by the Palisades Fire. 

The front of a dollar tree store with green awnings

Jack in the Box expands; Outback Steakhouse slows new development; Apartment construction stays muted


Jack in the Box is pushing ahead with planned expansion into Chicago and Florida, as it also deals with slowing sales growth and this week’s announced departure of CEO Darin Harris after five years at the helm of the burger chain.

The front of a dollar tree store with green awnings

Home Depot Q4 earnings, sales top estimates; to open 13 stores


The Home Depot reported a strong quarter that included its first same-store increase in eight quarters, but issued soft guidance as consumers continue to hold back on large remodeling projects.

A large brick building with a tower on top of it is on the corner of a street.

Starbucks laying off 1,100 corporate employees; eliminating these 13 beverages…


Starbucks Corp. is streamlining its corporate organization as its new CEO works to revive the chain’s lackluster performance and focus on the customer experience. 

A large brick building with a tower on top of it is on the corner of a street.

Dollar General launches high-tech distribution center in Arkansas


The discount retailer’s newest distribution center uses automation to more efficiently store and retrieve products.

A large brick building with a tower on top of it is on the corner of a street.

Chicken chain Wingstop aims to expand in face of competition, higher costs and bird flu


Wingstop, a chicken restaurant chain, has ambitious plans for a company that says it's "the largest brand no one has heard of."

A large brick building with a tower on top of it is on the corner of a street.

Family Dollar may have buyers, but Dollar Tree still needs to pull the trigger


Private equity firms are lining up to buy Family Dollar, according to reports. 

A large brick building with a tower on top of it is on the corner of a street.

How Trump administration policies could shape the real estate recovery


As they celebrate another quarter of surging deals, executives with the largest commercial real estate brokerages are sounding notes of caution amid what they say is growing uncertainty over the potential effects of the Trump administration's economic policies.

A large brick building with a tower on top of it is on the corner of a street.

Shake Shack, Cheesecake Factory plan expansion; Walmart warns of slowing sales; Jobless claims edge higher


Buoyed by rising sales at a tough time for the restaurant industry, operators of Shake Shack and Cheesecake Factory said this week they have plans for significant expansions in 2025.

By Marc Perlof October 31, 2025
Fed Cuts Rates Again, Boosting Confidence in CRE Recovery In a closely watched decision, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month. The new target range of 3.75% to 4% reflects continued efforts to ease financial conditions and stabilize capital markets, even as economic signals remain mixed...
By Marc Perlof October 27, 2025
If you own retail real estate, here’s what might change for you. The hospitality workers’ union UNITE HERE Local 11 is pushing a bold new initiative to raise the City of Los Angeles $30 minimum wage for all city employees by July 1, 2028¹. While the first ordinance covered hotel and airport workers, the union’s latest ballot measure would extend this wage citywide². As an expert in retail real estate, here’s what that means for your properties. Higher wages will immediately impact tenant affordability and rent-to-sales ratio calculations that drive lease viability. Many retailers operate with payroll costs at 25 to 35 percent of gross revenue, leaving little cushion for a wage that’s nearly double the current state minimum of $16/hour³. When margins tighten, tenants face a choice: raise prices, cut staff, or negotiate rent. For landlords, that translates into valuation pressure because commercial property values depend on stable rental income. The small business impact in Los Angeles could be profound. Independent restaurants, boutiques, and service operators, the lifeblood of local shopping centers, run on razor-thin profits. If forced to meet a $30 wage, some may relocate to cities like Burbank or Glendale, where municipal wage laws are lower, or close entirely⁴. That shift could spark short-term vacancy spikes and longer lease-up periods. Still, there’s a possible upside. When low-wage workers earn more, they spend more locally. For well-positioned centers with necessity-based tenants: grocers, pharmacies, quick-service restaurants, rising wages could strengthen revenue resilience. Key takeaways for retail landlords: Audit tenant financial health and exposure to rising payroll costs. Review lease clauses that address operating-cost pass-throughs. Model new rent-to-sales thresholds under a $30 wage scenario. Track tenant retention and market-rent shifts across nearby cities. Prepare for valuation adjustments as cap rates reflect greater income volatility. If you own retail real estate in the City of Los Angeles, now’s the time to stress-test your portfolio. Let’s review your leases before this wage shift hits. Call or DM me for more information. When the $30 wage arrives, will higher pay strengthen LA’s consumer base or hollow out the city’s small-business retail core? #LosAngeles30MinimumWage #RetailRealEstateInLosAngeles #TenantAffordabilityAndRentToSalesRatio #SmallBusinessImpactLosAngeles #CommercialPropertyValuesLosAngeles
By Marc Perlof October 24, 2025
Toys"R"Us opening 10 flagships, 20 seasonal shops — here are all the locations The brick and mortar comeback of Toys"R"Us is moving into high gear ahead of the toy industry’s busiest season. In September, the retailer said that, in partnership with Go! Retail Group, it was planning to open 10 flagships and 20 seasonal holiday shops in the U.S. by year's end...
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