Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • February 7, 2025
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CRE May Rebound by Late 2025 as Values Stabilize


CoStar suggests that the CRE market could be on the rebound, but remains fragile, with potential risks that could disrupt recovery in 2025.

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Del Taco unveils plans to open 10 restaurants in Indiana


Del Taco, a California-based restaurant chain owned by Jack in the Box Inc., intends to open 10 locations in Indiana.

A yellow sign that says taste success with the # 1 hot dog franchise

Döner Haus Launches Franchise Program


Döner Haus, the fastest-growing name in authentic German-style Döner Kebabs, is taking its take-out and delivery concept nationwide, bringing bold flavors and streamlined operations to new markets across the U.S.

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50 Biggest Restaurants in USA Ranked With a Major Surprise


A new ranking of the 50 biggest restaurant chains in America reveals surprising shakeups. See where your favorite spots landed.

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Tempur Sealy to change its name; completes acquisition of Mattress Firm


The nation’s largest mattress specialty retailer has a new owner.

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Captain D's plots expansion in two states


Captain D’s is planning to expand its presence on the East Coast and in the South.

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Beyond buys BuyBuy Baby for $5M


The move reunites the baby brand with its former parent company and includes the possibility of opening new stand-alone stores.

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Consumer confidence in January falls for the first time in 6 months


The University of Michigan recorded a 10% year-on-year drop, and other data found sentiment hit a four-month low.

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Pizza Hut Franchisee to Sell 77 Stores out of Bankruptcy for Nearly $12 Million


While 77 will be sold, another 60-plus restaurants closed for good.

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Placer.ai: Q4 foot traffic was strongest in these retail sectors...


Fitness centers, dollar chains and apparel stores were among the retail sectors that closed out 2024 the strongest in terms of traffic.

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Why Chipotle Bet Big on Rising Mediterranean Star Brassica


The emerging chain has been winning with fresh ingredients, stellar service, and high-quality ingredients long before Chipotle became involved.

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Tractor Supply sales rise 3.1%; to open 90 stores, continue remodels in 2025


Tractor Supply Co., which narrowly missed fourth-quarter expectations, is going full steam ahead with its ambitious expansion strategy.

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Paris Baguette eyes at least 100 new openings in 2025


After a strong 2024, Paris Baguette is looking to continue its expansion.

By Marc Perlof October 31, 2025
Fed Cuts Rates Again, Boosting Confidence in CRE Recovery In a closely watched decision, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month. The new target range of 3.75% to 4% reflects continued efforts to ease financial conditions and stabilize capital markets, even as economic signals remain mixed...
By Marc Perlof October 27, 2025
If you own retail real estate, here’s what might change for you. The hospitality workers’ union UNITE HERE Local 11 is pushing a bold new initiative to raise the City of Los Angeles $30 minimum wage for all city employees by July 1, 2028¹. While the first ordinance covered hotel and airport workers, the union’s latest ballot measure would extend this wage citywide². As an expert in retail real estate, here’s what that means for your properties. Higher wages will immediately impact tenant affordability and rent-to-sales ratio calculations that drive lease viability. Many retailers operate with payroll costs at 25 to 35 percent of gross revenue, leaving little cushion for a wage that’s nearly double the current state minimum of $16/hour³. When margins tighten, tenants face a choice: raise prices, cut staff, or negotiate rent. For landlords, that translates into valuation pressure because commercial property values depend on stable rental income. The small business impact in Los Angeles could be profound. Independent restaurants, boutiques, and service operators, the lifeblood of local shopping centers, run on razor-thin profits. If forced to meet a $30 wage, some may relocate to cities like Burbank or Glendale, where municipal wage laws are lower, or close entirely⁴. That shift could spark short-term vacancy spikes and longer lease-up periods. Still, there’s a possible upside. When low-wage workers earn more, they spend more locally. For well-positioned centers with necessity-based tenants: grocers, pharmacies, quick-service restaurants, rising wages could strengthen revenue resilience. Key takeaways for retail landlords: Audit tenant financial health and exposure to rising payroll costs. Review lease clauses that address operating-cost pass-throughs. Model new rent-to-sales thresholds under a $30 wage scenario. Track tenant retention and market-rent shifts across nearby cities. Prepare for valuation adjustments as cap rates reflect greater income volatility. If you own retail real estate in the City of Los Angeles, now’s the time to stress-test your portfolio. Let’s review your leases before this wage shift hits. Call or DM me for more information. When the $30 wage arrives, will higher pay strengthen LA’s consumer base or hollow out the city’s small-business retail core? #LosAngeles30MinimumWage #RetailRealEstateInLosAngeles #TenantAffordabilityAndRentToSalesRatio #SmallBusinessImpactLosAngeles #CommercialPropertyValuesLosAngeles
By Marc Perlof October 24, 2025
Toys"R"Us opening 10 flagships, 20 seasonal shops — here are all the locations The brick and mortar comeback of Toys"R"Us is moving into high gear ahead of the toy industry’s busiest season. In September, the retailer said that, in partnership with Go! Retail Group, it was planning to open 10 flagships and 20 seasonal holiday shops in the U.S. by year's end...
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