Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • May 8, 2026
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Oil Crisis Puts the Global Economy on a One-Month Clock

According to Globe St, the ongoing disruption of oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz has escalated from a geopolitical issue to an economic threat. Former Pimco CEO Mohamed El-Erian stated this week that the world may avoid a recession, but only if the strait reopens within the next month. Without a resolution, the risk to global economic stability increases sharply...

The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

Floor & Decor sales fall amid ‘challenging’ environment; opening 20 stores


Floor & Decor isn’t letting a weaker-than-expected quarter get in the way of its growth plans.

The specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories opened six warehouse stores during its first quarter, with plans to open a total of 20 locations for the full fiscal year. Floor & Decor said it continues to see a long-term opportunity of operating 500 warehouse stores in the United States...

An elevated outdoor view of a modern shopping mall promenade with manicured greenery, palm trees, and pedestrians.

Rivian, Caruso test-drive EV partnership at LA mall


Electric vehicle maker Rivian and retail developer Caruso have struck a partnership that underscores how electric‑vehicle infrastructure is increasingly being treated like a retail tenant.

Rivian and Caruso have signed a multiyear agreement to install more than 150 public chargers across Caruso’s Southern California properties and open two new showrooms at Los Angeles–area centers beginning this year...


The American flag waves against a bright blue sky between towering glass skyscrapers, viewed from a low angle.

Grocery-Anchored Leader Kimco Breaks Its Own Leasing Record

Kimco Realty, the largest operator of grocery-anchored shopping centers in North America, reported its strongest leasing results on record for the first quarter of 2026, according to CSA. The company achieved a positive leased-to-economic-occupancy spread of 410 basis points, with an associated $77M jump in future annual base rent. This marks a 28% year-over-year increase for its 565 US centers...

A flat, single-story retail building with a

How retail landlords are finding revenue beyond the rent roll

The parking lot has always been the unglamorous footnote of the shopping center — a sea of asphalt engineered for cars, not cash flow. That thinking is changing fast. 



Across the retail real estate sector, a growing number of developers and institutional owners are rethinking what a shopping center can actually produce. Rent, long the singular metric of center performance, is increasingly just one line on a longer income statement. The landlords gaining ground today are treating their properties less like passive real estate and more like operating businesses — monetizing foot traffic, sun exposure, curb space, and even consumer data in ways that would have seemed far-fetched a decade ago...

The main entrance of the NuHAA building, featuring a modern glass and stone facade, at sunset.

CoStar: Retail vacancy to rise before end of year


Retail vacancy is “balanced” to start 2026.

That’s according to new data from CoStar Group, which found that U.S. retail vacancy is anticipated to peak in the mid-4.4% range, with projections to increase slightly in 2026 before “stabilizing and gradually tightening” next year.

CoStar predicts that net absorption is forecasted to remain modest through the first half of 2026 before improving in the latter half of the year. An average of between 4 to 5 million square feet of space is expected to be absorbed per quarter...

A green Publix Food & Pharmacy sign mounted on a white and beige building exterior against a blue sky.

Study: Consumers to cut back on restaurant spending — even at QSRs

High prices are pushing consumers away from dining out in an effort to cut costs.

That’s according to new data released by SmartSense by Digi, an Internet of Things (IoT) Sensing as a Service solutions provider, which noted that 66% of consumers are cutting back on dining overall as 59% of consumers report worsening economic conditions over the past six months...

Two bundt cakes on small plates: one with chocolate drizzle, one with caramel drizzle, with cinnamon sticks nearby.

CVS earnings, revenue top Street amid improvements in Aetna insurance business


CVS Health Corp. reported a strong first quarter, with better-than-expected growth across all three of its business segments.

The retail pharmacy and health care giant also raised its its 2026 guidance as its insurance unit (Aetna), which has been struggling amid higher medical costs, showed improvement.

“Our performance reflects a substantial improvement from the prior-year quarter as we continue to execute on our margin recovery plans at Aetna,” CFO Brian Newman said on the company’s earnings call...


Interior of a casual restaurant featuring blue chairs, red accents, brick walls, and a

Retail Construction Completions Hit 20-Year Low

According to Bisnow, US retail construction completions fell to their lowest level in at least 20 years during Q1 2026, underscoring how little new supply is entering the market even as investor appetite for retail assets accelerates. CBRE reported just 4.7M SF of retail deliveries nationwide last quarter, down sharply from the sector’s modern peak of more than 25M SF in Q4 2015.



The slowdown reflects a retail market still grappling with elevated development costs and a constrained labor pool, even as fundamentals remain relatively stable. At the same time, institutional capital continues flowing into the sector, drawn by limited supply and resilient tenant demand...

By Marc Perlof • November 6, 2026
CVS Health to split off its retail pharmacy business CVS Health is planning one of the largest corporate separations in history as it looks to separate its retail pharmacy operations from its insurance and pharmacy benefits business. The retail and healthcare giant, whose total revenues increased to a record high of $402.1 billion in 2025, intends to separate into two independent, publicly traded companies, with the split expected to be completed by the first half of 2028. The decision follows a “comprehensive strategic review by the CVS Health board,” the company said...
By Marc Perlof • November 2, 2026
By Marc Perlof | @MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 November 2, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. One of the biggest risks to a retail property is not always one owner making a bad decision. It is multiple owners failing to make a decision at all. When family members, business partners, or other co-owners delay action, the cost can show up through lost income, higher expenses, missed opportunities, weaker financing, or a lower sale price. Retail properties are often owned by siblings, spouses, business partners, LLC members, family offices, trusts, or investment groups. Each owner may have a different financial goal, timeline, and tolerance for risk. Disagreement is normal. The larger problem is having no clear process for turning disagreement into a decision. Even if you own the property by yourself today, these same decisions often become the responsibility of a spouse, children, successor trustee, or other heirs in the future. A clear decision process today can help prevent confusion later. What Do Multiple Owners Commonly Miss? Many ownership groups assume waiting is the safest choice when they cannot agree. They delay a lease decision, postpone repairs, wait to refinance, or hold off on selling until everyone feels comfortable. That may reduce conflict in the moment, but it does not stop the property from changing. Leases move closer to expiration. Deferred maintenance grows. Financing terms and buyer demand can change. Waiting may feel neutral, but its financial effect rarely is. Good properties are often held back by poor decision processes, not poor real estate. The issue becomes harder when each owner defines success differently. One partner may want monthly income. Another may want to sell and reinvest. One sibling may want to keep the property because it has been in the family for decades, while another may need cash for retirement or other obligations. None of these goals are automatically wrong. The ownership group still needs to decide which goal should guide the property’s current strategy. Why Do Ownership Groups Delay Important Decisions? Experience does not remove emotion, fear, or personal pressure. An owner may understand leasing and property values but still resist a sale because the property belonged to a parent. Another may reject a reasonable lease because the proposed rent is below what the space achieved years earlier. Another common reason for delay is the belief that retail property values will continue increasing over time. Many properties have appreciated over long periods, but that does not automatically make waiting the best financial decision. While ownership waits, leases age, capital needs grow, financing changes, and buyer demand shifts. A property’s future value depends on much more than appreciation alone. The better question is not, “Will this property be worth more someday?” It is, “Will waiting create a better overall financial result than acting today?” Owners may also delay because they want to avoid regret. They worry that selling now could mean missing a higher price later, or that completing an improvement could waste money. That fear can cause repeated delays while income, expenses, tenant risk, and market conditions continue to change. The goal is not to make a perfect decision. It is to make the best available decision based on the property’s current income, condition, financing, leases, marketability, and ownership objectives. How Can Indecision Affect Property Value? Property value is tied closely to income, risk, and buyer confidence. If ownership delays a lease renewal, buyers may underwrite more vacancy risk. If repairs are postponed, buyers may reduce pricing for future capital costs. If owners cannot agree on a sale strategy, the property may remain exposed to tenant rollover, changing financing conditions, or new competition. Indecision can also weaken negotiations. A tenant may recognize that the owners are not aligned. A buyer may question whether the group can approve terms, respond to due diligence, or close on schedule. A lender may require clear authority before moving forward with refinancing. The cost may not appear as one large loss. It often shows up through additional vacancy, higher repair costs, reduced leverage, lost rent, or a weaker offer. Over time, those smaller consequences can materially reduce value. What Should the Ownership Group Decide First? The first decision is not whether to sell, refinance, lease, improve, or hold. It is agreeing on the ownership group’s primary objective. Is the priority current cash flow, long term appreciation, preserving the property for the next generation, reducing risk, or preparing for a sale within a defined period? Once that objective is clear, the group can compare each option using the same standard. A lease proposal can be measured by its effect on NOI, flexibility, and value. A capital improvement can be evaluated based on cost, expected rent, tenant demand, and sale impact. A sale can be reviewed based on net proceeds, taxes, timing, and reinvestment options. Without a shared objective, every discussion becomes a debate over personal preferences. With a shared objective, the group can focus on what best supports the investment. Real Deal Insight I recently advised a family that owned a retail property through multiple siblings. One wanted to sell, another wanted to continue collecting income, and another wanted to wait because they believed the property’s value would continue increasing. Before discussing pricing or marketing, I helped the ownership group compare the financial consequences of each option, including projected income, future capital needs, lease rollover, holding costs, and the risks of delay. Once everyone reviewed the same information, the discussion shifted from individual opinions to the property’s investment objectives. That allowed the group to make an informed decision based on facts instead of assumptions. Strategic Advice for Retail Property Owners If your property has multiple owners, start by defining the group’s main investment objective and expected holding period. Each owner should understand whether the current goal is income, growth, preservation, redevelopment, refinancing, or sale. Then decide how major property decisions will be reviewed. The group should know who gathers the information, who has authority, what requires a vote, and how long the group has to respond. Governance and legal issues should be reviewed with the appropriate attorney, CPA, or other licensed advisor. The goal is not more meetings. It is a process that allows the group to decide before delay limits the available options. Owner Self-Assessment If your ownership group had to decide today whether to renew a major tenant, complete a capital improvement, refinance, or sell, would every owner agree on the property’s main objective and how the decision should be made? Final Takeaway Multiple owners do not need to agree on everything, but they need a clear process for making decisions before delay reduces income, options, or value. In next week’s blog, “The Hidden Cost of Waiting: How Decision Delays Reduce Property Value,” I will explain how indecision can affect lease negotiations, repairs, financing, buyer interest, and property value. If your retail property has multiple owners, I can help your group compare the financial impact of holding, leasing, improving, refinancing, or selling before indecision limits the available choices. The quality of a retail property’s decisions often depends less on the property itself and more on the process the owners use to make those decisions. Is your ownership group protecting the property by waiting, or is waiting quietly becoming the most expensive decision? Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide. #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #RetailProperty #PropertyOwners #FamilyPartnership #BusinessPartners #FamilyOffice #InvestmentProperty #ShoppingCenters #MarcRetailGuy
By Marc Perlof • October 30, 2026
Tractor Supply Q3 sales rise 5.1%; to moderate new store openings Tractor Supply Company delivered third-quarter earnings and sales that beat analyst expectations and said it was gaining share against most categories and metrics even as its customers remain cautious. On the company’s earnings call, CEO Hal Lawton said that elevated interest rates and reduced housing mobility are weighing on property improvements and larger projects. Pet ownership headwinds, particularly new pet acquisition, continue to affect demand in certain categories...
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