Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • May 29, 2026
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Americans are 'entrenched' in financial stress amid debt and price pressures 

Economic conditions like gas prices well above $4 a gallon, according to AAA estimates, and annual inflation nearing 4%, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics, are pushing Americans’ financial stress levels higher.

The National Foundation for Credit Counseling expects Americans’ economic stress levels to tick back up in the second quarter of the year after a slight fall in the first quarter, according to its quarterly Financial Stress Forecast released on Wednesday...

The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

Target Q1 tops estimates with strongest sales gains in four years

Target Corp. came out of the gate swinging in its first quarte, with better-than-expected sales in all six of its core merchandising categories as its turnaround efforts to attract shoppers under new CEO Michael Fiddelke gain momentum. 

The discounter reported that its total comparable sales rose 5.6%, the chain’s biggest quarterly increase since early 2022. Customer traffic rose 4.4% compared to the year-ago quarter...

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Treasury yields tick lower as investors stay optimistic on Iran peace deal prospects despite U.S. strikes


Treasury yields inched lower on Wednesday as investor optimism over a potential settlement to the war in Iran was undented by pressure on the fragile ceasefire between Washington and Tehran. 

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note — the key benchmark for U.S. government borrowing — fell 1 basis point to 4.481%...

The American flag waves against a bright blue sky between towering glass skyscrapers, viewed from a low angle.

Urban Outfitters notches record quarter; to open 54 stores this year


Urban Outfitters Inc. reported record first-quarter earnings and sales, with increases across all its divisions.

The apparel retailer’s earnings and revenue topped expectations, with especially strong performances from its wholesale and subscription segments, and its FP Group business, which is made up of Free People and activewear brandFP Movement...

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Abercrombie & Fitch sales hit record despite headwinds; to open 50 stores

The war in the Middle East weighed on Abercrombie & Fitch Co.’s first-quarter results, but its earnings still topped analyst expectations and its sales hit a new quarterly record.

The apparel retailer gave weaker-than-expected guidance for the current quarter, and said the conflict in the Middle East has “directly impacted” sales. In the earnings statement, CEO Fran Horowitz said that demand softened in Abercrombie’s Europe, Middle East and Africa region (EMEA) as the Middle East conflict ramped up, particularly impacting Hollister Brands, “and we are proactively managing inventory and marketing to support the region...” 

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Ross Stores sales surge 21%; to open about 110 new stores in 2026


Ross Stores reported first-quarter earnings and sales that “significantly” exceeded guidance as it cited broad-based strength across its business.

The off-price retailer is not slowing down in its expansion. During the first quarter, it expanded into new and existing markets, opening 13 Ross stores and four DD's Discount locations. For the full year, the retailer plans to open approximately 110 new Ross stores and 25 DD's Discounts, CEO James Conroy said during the company's earnings call...

A green Publix Food & Pharmacy sign mounted on a white and beige building exterior against a blue sky.

Restaurant chains try to support franchisees as costs soar, sales slow

Major restaurant chains are taking steps to ensure the long-term viability of regional franchise networks that often account for most of their location expansion but are now being hit especially hard by rising costs and reduced consumer spending.

In recent quarterly earnings calls, executives of some U.S. dining chains discussed measures that include helping franchisees with remodeling and format changes and allowing franchisees to exit operating agreements ahead of contract expirations. This has allowed some chains to take back locations that were formerly franchised, and in some cases reassign stores to better capitalized franchisees...

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Dick’s Sporting Goods sales top estimates; Foot Locker returns to growth


Dick’s Sporting Goods reported strong first-quarter revenue that topped estimates as its Dick's business continued to gain momentum and its Foot Locker business showed signs of turnaround.

The sporting goods giant's namesake business saw broad-based strength across its entire portfolio. Meanwhile, Foot Locker, which Dick’s acquired in September 2025, posted its first comparable sales gain since the fourth quarter of 2024, with growth of 0.6%. At Foot Locker U.S., comparable sales grew 6.4%...

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Whataburger Revives Iconic A-Frame in New Restaurant Prototype

Whataburger has two new restaurant prototypes, and it has customers to thank.


Chief development officer Todd Ewen says design development started with listening. Guests told the company that they missed some elements that made “Whataburger feel like a Whataburger,” and he admits the 76-year-old company moved away from that across its recent iterations.

Billy Bias, director of design, notes that Whataburger used the A-frame from the beginning of its history until the mid-2000s. Now it’s coming back...

Retail REITs Ride A Scarcity Boom At ICSC 2026


Retail real estate entered ICSC 2026 with a noticeably different tone than prior years: optimism has replaced skepticism, and scarcity has replaced oversupply concerns. According to a May 21 BofA Securities report, conference attendance rose roughly 15% to 20% year over year as brokers, landlords, tenants, and investors crowded Las Vegas looking for deals and space.

Instead of debating whether brick-and-mortar retail can survive e-commerce pressure, industry players spent the conference discussing how hard it has become to secure quality retail space and investment opportunities. BofA analysts summarized the shift bluntly: “Retail’s new problem is not demand, it’s availability...”


By Marc Perlof • October 9, 2026
10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2002 as stocks retreat: AlphaCheck Good morning. Stocks retreated on Wednesday as long-dated bonds climbed again and Brent crude oil futures ( BZ=F ) rose back above $100 per barrel. The 10-year Treasury ( ^TNX ) yield, used as a benchmark for mortgages and other loans, rose to 5.34%, its highest level since 2002. Meanwhile, the 2-year Treasury climbed to 4.82%. Stocks are coming off all-time highs, though the breadth of the market rally has deteriorated in recent weeks...
By Marc Perlof • October 5, 2026
By Marc Perlof | @MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 October 5, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. A national brand on your building does not prove that the national parent company guarantees the rent. If a smaller subsidiary, franchise company, affiliate, or location-specific LLC is actually responsible, buyers and lenders may view your income as less secure and price your property differently. The main decision is simple: verify the legal tenant, every guarantor, and the limits of each guaranty before buying, refinancing, renewing, or selling the property. What Owners Commonly Miss The company operating at your property may use a national name, logo, products, and marketing without the national parent company being responsible for the lease. One location may be leased directly by the parent company. Another location using the same brand may be operated by a subsidiary, regional company, franchisee, or separate LLC formed for that store. To customers, the locations may look identical. Legally, they may provide very different levels of support. A franchisor may approve the location, control operating standards, and receive franchise fees without agreeing to pay the rent. A subsidiary may have a name similar to the parent company without making the parent responsible for its obligations. The phrase “corporate guaranty” can also be misleading. A franchise company or small operating company may be organized as a corporation or LLC, but that does not make its guaranty the same as one from the national parent company. Common guaranty structures include: Parent company guaranty: The national parent company agrees to cover some or all of the tenant’s lease obligations. Subsidiary or affiliate guaranty: A related company provides the guaranty, but the parent may have no direct responsibility. Franchisee guaranty: A franchise operator guarantees the lease. The operator may own one location or hundreds, but it is not the national franchisor. Single purpose LLC or personal guaranty: A location-specific entity or individual provides support that may depend on available assets and the terms of the document. A lease may also have more than one guarantor. For example, a franchise company may guarantee the lease while an affiliate, parent company, or individual provides another layer of support. Each guaranty should be reviewed separately because its scope, duration, and financial strength may differ. Identifying the guarantor is only the first step. A guaranty may be capped, reduced over time, limited to certain lease years, released after an assignment, or restricted to specific obligations. When the relationship among the tenant, guarantor, parent company, and affiliates is unclear, request an organizational chart or entity structure. That can help explain how the companies are connected, but the lease and guaranty documents still determine who is legally responsible. How Can the Guaranty Affect Your Property’s Value? Retail property buyers are purchasing future income. They want to know not only who pays the rent today, but who is responsible if the tenant stops paying. Assume two properties have the same national brand, rent, remaining lease term, and similar real estate. One lease is guaranteed by the national parent company. The other is supported only by a location specific LLC with limited assets. Buyers may not value those income streams the same way. If buyers see greater tenant credit risk, they may request financial statements, require a higher return, reduce their offer, or place more weight on the underlying real estate and replacement tenant demand. Lenders may also ask more questions or offer less favorable financing. A weaker guaranty does not automatically make the property a poor investment. Location, contract rent, lease term, building condition, and the cost of replacing the tenant still matter. The risk is that an owner may price the property as though national credit supports the rent when the national parent company never accepted that obligation. Discovering the difference during due diligence can weaken the owner’s negotiating leverage and create the risk of a price reduction. What Should Retail Property Owners Do Now? First, review the complete lease file. Do not rely only on an offering memorandum, lease summary, tenant logo, or the way someone described the guaranty when the property was purchased. Create a written record identifying: The exact legal tenant Every guarantor The relationship between the tenant, guarantors, and national brand What each guaranty covers Whether each guaranty is full, capped, limited, reduced, or temporary Whether amendments, assignments, or extensions changed the original protection If the entity relationships or guaranty language are unclear, request the organizational structure and have qualified legal counsel confirm who is responsible. The decision should be based on the documents and financial strength of the obligated entities, not the brand name alone. Understanding this before a refinance, renewal, or sale gives you time to address missing documents, explain the lease accurately, and prepare for buyer or lender questions. Owner Self Assessment If a buyer reviewed your lease today, could you identify the exact tenant, every guarantor, what each guaranty covers, and when any limits or releases apply? In next week’s blog, “What Happens to Your Lease Guarantee When the Tenant Changes Ownership?” , I’ll explain why a corporate acquisition or private equity purchase does not automatically make the new owner responsible for the lease. Final Takeaway A national brand may attract buyers, but your property’s income is only supported by the legal entities that actually signed the lease and guaranty. If you are unsure who stands behind your retail lease, call or DM me. I can help you review how the tenant structure and guaranty may affect buyer underwriting, property value, and your next refinance, renewal, or sale decision. Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide. #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #RetailProperty #NetLease #LeaseGuarantee #CorporateGuarantee #TenantCredit #RetailInvesting #InvestmentProperty #MarcRetailGuy #MarcPerlof
By Marc Perlof • October 2, 2026
The 2026 QSR® Drive-Thru Report For years, a 5% yield on the Treasury looked like a relic from another interest-rate era—where borrowers faced soaring loan rates. Now it's back, capping a six-year surge from pandemic-era lows near 0.5%. The benchmark yield crossed 5% this month for the first time since 2007, but this appears different than the eve of the Great Recession: the Fed is staring down a lose-lose situation combining high inflation and weak economic growth, a catch 22 that economists termed "stagflation" in the 1970s and long feared through the 10-year's climb upward since the pandemic...
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