Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • December 19, 2025
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Here are the best-performing retail markets of 2025

U.S. retail real estate delivered another year of resilience in 2025, marked by a steady balance between supply and demand, despite pressure from increased store closings.



Under the surface, market-by-market performance varied more than in any year since the pandemic, as the disparate effect from store closures and diverging demographic trends created a larger gap between the winners and losers...


A blurry picture of a clothing store with clothes on display.

Dollar General lifts outlook on strong Q3; to open 450 stores, remodel 4,250 in 2026

Dollar General Corp. reported better-than-expected earnings and sales for its third quarter amid rising store traffic. 

Looking ahead, the deep discounter said it plans to open approximately 450 stores (and about 10 locations in Mexico) in fiscal 2026. That’s down from the estimated 575 new stores (and up to 15 stores in Mexico) it’s on track to open this year... 


A car is parked in front of a sign that says 223

Holiday Sales Climb As November Spending Holds Steady


Retailers appear to be on pace for a solid 
holiday season, reports GlobeSt. November sales rose 4.53% compared to the same time last year, keeping pace with expectations from the National Retail Federation. While spending only edged up 0.12% from October, the annual increase suggests consumers are spending strategically heading into the holidays...

The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

L.L.Bean details store expansion for 2026 — here’s where

L.L.Bean is accelerating its retail expansion as it expands its brand to new markets.

The outdoor apparel and gear retailer plans to open eight stores in 2026, including its first-ever locations in Alabama and Tennessee (locations listed at end of article). It plans to further accelerate its expansion in 2027, with an additional eight to 10 outposts, including first-time stores in new markets in the Midwest and Southeast...

A person carrying an orange shopping basket while walking through a supermarket aisle filled with products.

4 things retailers need to know about shoppers in 2026

Global sales and marketing agency Acosta Group released four consumer predictions for 2026, pointing to increased demand for personalization, transparency and innovation across the retail and foodservice sectors.



Company officials said shifting lifestyles and rapid advances in technology are reshaping how people shop and what they expect from brands. “Technology and evolving consumer lifestyles continue to reshape the shopping experience, as do the expectations, priorities and values driving purchases,” said Colin Stewart, executive vice president of business intelligence at Acosta Group...

A Netflix House building with a vibrant, character-filled mural and a striking, bright red geometric entryway.

Can Netflix Help Save the American Mall?

You can spot the telltale red hue from several parking lots away as you approach the mall. Netflix Red — the color millions of Americans see each night before dozing off — is splashed on the side of the King of Prussia mall in the Philadelphia suburbs. It marks the portal to Netflix House, the streaming entertainment company’s new permanent brand activation/movie theater/retail outlet, which opened last month...

Bar chart comparing 2025 quarterly foot traffic for Starbucks (purple) and Dunkin’ (teal) against 2024 levels.

Placer.ai: Starbucks, Dunkin' visits rise in Q3

Placer.ai noted that its weekly data for the two chains offers insights into how seasonal offerings fuel traffic. Starbucks’ bear-shaped (Bearista) cup launch – which happened on the same day as the holiday menu rollout – proved to be a major traffic driver, driving visits up 11.9% year over year during the week. The strong visit trends continued the following week with a 6.2% year over year increase, helped by a strong “Red Cup Day” performance...

A street-level view of a white multi-story building featuring an outdoor cafe with red awnings on a tree-lined corner.

Private Investors Fuel 2025 Growth In Single-Tenant Retail Market


After sluggish activity in 2023 and 2024, the US STNL retail market experienced a notable resurgence in 2025, reports Marcus&Millichap. Transactions rose 18% and dollar volume 14% in 2025, showing improved alignment between single-tenant retail buyers and sellers...



A tall white water tower with

SpaceX launches first Starlink retail store; AI infrastructure startup Fermi loses construction funding; Fed confirms regional presidents


Elon Musk’s SpaceX is launching into the nation’s retail game with its first in-person location for its internet provider, Starlink.

Tucked into the Nebraska Crossing shopping center in Gretna, Nebraska, the inaugural Starlink store sells its Starlink Kit, alongside Starlink-branded merchandise, according to an X user that visited the store, which apparently counts footwear maker Crocs as a neighbor...

A person in a black t-shirt works behind the counter of a modern coffee shop with white walls and a chalkboard menu.

Quick-Service Expansion Fuels US Retail Leasing Growth

Restaurants, bars, and coffee shops are playing a pivotal role in retail real estate’s post-pandemic recovery, reports Colliers. Over the past 12 months, these tenants accounted for roughly 20% of all new retail leasing. They have become a critical driver of foot traffic and absorption in shopping centers nationwide.



Even in the face of inflation, Americans are prioritizing dining out. Retail spending at restaurants and coffee shops exceeded $100B in July 2025, representing a nearly 50% jump from pre-pandemic levels...

By Marc Perlof September 18, 2026
10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2007 ahead of Fed rate decision New York — The bond market sell-off is raising the stakes for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting this week and putting a spotlight on the central bank’s commitment to reining in inflation. Traders widely expect the Fed to raise its benchmark interest rate on Wednesday for the first time since 2023. Traders are pricing in a 92% chance of a rate hike, according to CME FedWatch, a real-time forecasting tool...
By Marc Perlof September 14, 2026
By Marc Perlof | @MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 September 14, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. Why CASp Reports Matter A Certified Access Specialist (CASp) report can help a California retail property owner understand accessibility issues before they become a bigger problem. It may identify concerns involving parking, paths of travel, entrances, doors, restrooms, signage, counters, slopes, and common areas. The value of a CASp report is clarity. It helps an owner understand what issues exist, what may need to be corrected, what may affect a lease or sale, and what requires legal guidance. But owners should be careful. A CASp report should not be ordered casually with no plan. If a report identifies issues and the owner does nothing, the owner may create a record of known problems without a strategy to address them. For retail property owners, the real value of a CASp report is not the report itself. It is reducing uncertainty before that uncertainty turns into buyer leverage, tenant demands, settlement pressure, or a lower sale price. What Is a CASp Report? A CASp inspection is performed by a trained accessibility professional who reviews a property for construction-related accessibility issues. For retail owners, a CASp report may review customer-facing areas such as parking, access aisles, ramps, walkways, entrances, doors, restrooms, counters, signage, slopes, and common areas. The exact scope depends on the property, the tenant use, and the purpose of the inspection. That matters because many owners do not know where the problems are until someone else points them out. That someone may be a plaintiff, attorney, tenant, buyer, lender, or inspector. Why Timing Matters Timing matters with CASp reports. In some situations, getting a CASp inspection before a claim may provide more options than waiting until after a lawsuit is filed. Owners should confirm the timing, legal effect, and any potential benefits with an Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) attorney before relying on a CASp report. This is one reason retail owners should think about accessibility before there is pressure. Before a lawsuit, sale, refinance, major lease negotiation, tenant turnover, or remodel, an owner may have more control. The owner can speak with an attorney, decide whether a CASp inspection makes sense, evaluate the findings, budget for work, and create a plan. After a lawsuit or during escrow, the owner may have less control. Deadlines are tighter. Buyers may use the issue as leverage. Tenants may resist responsibility. Repairs may need to be priced quickly. That is when unknown risk becomes expensive. Can a CASp Report Create a Problem? Yes, if the owner handles it poorly. A CASp report can be helpful, but it can also create pressure if it identifies issues and the owner ignores them. The problem is not the report itself. The problem is having knowledge of potential issues with no plan to address them. That is why owners should speak with an ADA attorney and a qualified accessibility professional before ordering inspections, making written statements, or starting repairs. The right sequence matters. Get the right guidance. Define the purpose of the report. Review the findings. Create a realistic plan for what can be corrected, what may need more review, and what should be documented. How CASp Reports Can Affect Property Value CASp reports can affect value because they reduce uncertainty. Buyers do not only look at rent, Net Operating Income (NOI), lease term, cap rate, and tenant strength. They also look at risk. If a buyer sees unresolved ADA concerns with no report, no explanation, and no plan, the buyer may assume the worst. That can lead to a lower offer, a repair credit, a price reduction, a holdback, a longer due diligence period, or stronger seller protections. A CASp report can help shift the conversation from guessing to facts. That does not mean every buyer will ignore the issue. It does not mean the property is perfect. But it can help the owner show that the issue has been reviewed and that there is a plan. In real estate, fear often creates bigger discounts than facts. If a repair costs $20,000, the owner wants the discussion to be about $20,000, not a buyer guessing the issue could cost $100,000. That is how clarity can protect value. How CASp Reports Can Affect Leasing CASp reports can also affect leasing. A restaurant, medical tenant, dental tenant, franchise operator, or service tenant may care about accessibility before signing a lease or opening for business. If the owner understands the property’s accessibility issues before lease negotiations, the owner can better decide what work belongs to the landlord, what work belongs to the tenant, and whether the issue should affect rent, tenant improvement money, free rent, or delivery condition. Without that information, the owner may negotiate blind. That can cost money. What Retail Property Owners Should Do Retail owners should not treat CASp reports as a box to check. They should treat them as part of a risk and value strategy. Speak with an ADA attorney before ordering reports or making written statements. Use a qualified CASp professional who understands commercial properties and retail access issues. Define the purpose and scope of the report before the inspection begins. Create an action plan for items that may need correction and consider how the findings could affect a sale, refinance, lease negotiation, or tenant relationship. The goal is to avoid surprises. A surprise during escrow can become a price reduction. A surprise during a lease negotiation can become extra landlord work. A surprise after a lawsuit can become settlement pressure. Final Thought A CASp report is not magic. It does not eliminate every risk, replace legal advice, or automatically protect property value. But it can give a retail property owner something valuable: clarity. For retail property owners, the real value of a CASp report is not just knowing what is wrong. It is knowing what to do next. If you are considering a CASp report before a lease, refinance, or sale, I can help you think through how the findings may affect value, timing, and buyer leverage. In next week’s blog, “Readily Achievable ADA Repairs: What Retail Property Owners Should Understand,” we will discuss why some accessibility fixes may be more manageable than owners think, how year built can matter, and why current property condition matters more than assumptions. Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide. #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #CaliforniaRealEstate #RetailPropertyOwners #ADACompliance #CASp #PropertyValue #CommercialProperty #MarcRetailGuy
By Marc Perlof September 11, 2026
Morning Consult: Five Below, other retailers among 25 fastest-growing brands Five Below is one of the fastest-growing brands in the U.S. The tween and teen extreme value retailer is the No. 10 fastest-growing brand overall and the only retailer to crack the top 10 in Morning Consult’s “Fastest Growing Brands 2026” report. The study ranks the top 25 brands according to year-over-year purchasing intent. A re-launched, decades-old soda brand, Mr. Pibb, ranked No. 1. Five Below’s purchasing consideration increased 3.2 points this year, according to the report. (The retailer recently reported that its second-quarter sales r ose 22.9% to $1.26 billion...)
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