Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • January 9, 2026
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Net Lease Cap Rates Stabilize as Market Focus Shifts to Risk Over Rates

The net lease market barely budged in Q4, but beneath the surface, investors are repricing around risk—not the Fed.

Cap rates hold steady: In Q4, single-tenant net lease cap rates rose just one bp to 6.81%. Retail dipped to 6.55%, office climbed to 8.00%, and industrial held at 7.20%. Despite Fed rate cuts, pricing remained steady, signaling a break from short-term policy influence...

A blurry picture of a clothing store with clothes on display.

13-story hotel gets green-light at 4200 Century Blvd. in Inglewood


The City of Inglewood has signed off on a project which would replace the 135-room Tradewinds Hotel on Century Boulevard with a larger mixed-use building.


Gregory Peck of Beverly Hills-based Crescent Hotel Group, the applicant attached to the project at 4200 W. Century Boulevard, has proposed the construction of a 13-story, 335,000-square-foot building containing:

  • 11 condominiums on floors 9-12;
  • 118 extended stay hotel rooms on floors 7-12;
  • 175 hotel rooms on floors 3-6; and
  • event space, a lobby, a bar, and restaurant space on floors 1-2.
A car is parked in front of a sign that says 223

Retail Leasing Strategies Evolve in Uncertain Economy

According to Globe St, retailers are moving away from traditional, long-term leasing models in response to a dynamic economic landscape. Rather than treating retail leases as static occupancy costs, companies are viewing them as strategic tools to maximize flexibility and bargaining power. The approach allows retailers to better respond to everything from changing consumer trends to broader financial pressures...


The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

Store Expansion News: December update


Retailers and restaurants alike made headlines to close out 2025 in December with store expansions and new formats.

Here are the major stories as reported by Chain Store Age, starting with the most recent.

  • Report: Barnes & Noble to open 60 stores in 2026 The bookseller plans to open 60 new locations across the country in 2026, reported USA Today. According to a list obtained by the publication, Barnes & Noble plans to open stores in Ohio, Texas, Florida, Illinois, Colorado, Washington state, California, Virginia, Georgia and Washington D.C., with "several openings" scheduled between now and June 2026...


The blue Kroger logo and shopping cart icon mounted on the beige exterior of a brick grocery store under a blue sky.

Kroger is ready to grow again in Houston area

Kroger’s only activity in the Houston area over the past few years has involved store closings and some remodels, but that is about to change.


The Cincinnati-based grocer plans to open several stores in the Houston area and continue remodeling existing locations, according to the Houston Business Journal.


Kroger did not respond to a request for comment.


Five Houston-area Kroger stores closed in 2025. During that time, the grocer combined its Houston and Dallas divisions to form a new Texas Division...

A high-angle view of a large building with a brown roof, nestled among lush trees beside a vast, blue body of water.

Benihana plans to get bigger, faster in San Francisco Bay Area following success


Benihana, the Japanese restaurant chain known for its teppanyaki dining style, is plotting an expansion in the San Francisco Bay Area.


The brand’s parent, publicly traded Denver-based One Group Hospitality Inc., signed a seven-year deal with an “experienced operator” to open 10 Benihana locations around the region, including three Benihana franchises, two Benihana joint-venture locations and five Benihana Express outlets...

A clothing store interior with rows of organized garment racks, shelves, and a bright tiled floor under a black ceiling.

Retail Media Platforms Redefine Store Strategy



Retail spending trends remain surprisingly robust, with holiday-period sales increasing by around 4% year-over-year, according to Mastercard and Visa data. However, Globe St reports that once inflation is accounted for, this growth flattens, revealing that Americans are spending more dollars but not necessarily purchasing more goods. These trends come amid declining consumer sentiment since April 2024, underscoring growing uncertainty in the retail sector...

Modern brick apartment building beside a light gray industrial warehouse with loading docks under a clear blue sky.

Underwriting Standards Tighten for 2026 Refinancings

According to Globe St, commercial real estate lending in 2026 is shaping up as a ‘sorting year,’ with banks, CMBS, and private credit outlets applying far tougher underwriting standards. The backdrop: higher-for-longer rates, mounting maturities, and a thirst for strong sponsorship and financeable assets.


According to Trepp’s research, deals supported by robust cash flow and experienced sponsors are passing the new underwriting hurdles. Marginal assets, particularly those with optimistic past assumptions, face stricter debt service coverage requirements and heightened scrutiny...

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Grocers lift North Texas to nation’s top market for new retail construction


The Dallas-Fort Worth region is the nation’s top market for new retail construction, spurred by an ever-growing number of grocers seeking to capitalize on people moving to Texas.



North Texas has 7.6 million square feet of new retail projects in the pipeline — roughly twice the amount of the No. 2 U.S. market, which is Phoenix with 3.6 million square feet, according to CoStar’s latest data...

A hand dips a piece of golden-brown fried chicken into a small bowl of gravy next to a plate of chicken on a red surface.

Jollibee’s International Business Could Go Public in U.S.

Jollibee Foods Corporation (JFC) announced plans to spin off its international business and take it public on a U.S. securities exchange, according to a filing with the Philippine Stock Exchange.



The company said in a news release that it’s working with international and local advisors on defining the structure and timing of the separation and upcoming U.S. listing. The transaction is expected to occur in late 2027. JFC acknowledged that the strategy could change and there is no assurance an actual separation will occur...

Two square orange containers filled with fresh salads topped with chicken, avocado, tomatoes, cucumber, and red onion.

Salad and Go to Close 32 Stores, Exit Texas and Oklahoma Markets

Salad and Go, once a fast-rising drive-thru chain, announced the impending closure of 32 restaurants.



The brand is exiting its Texas and Oklahoma markets, which house 25 and seven stores, respectively. Going forward, Salad and Go will shift focus toward its Arizona and Nevada trade areas.


The news comes after the chain announced in September the closure of 41 restaurants across Texas...


Interior view of a GameStop store with game displays on shelves, a central monitor, and employees at the service desk.

GameStop reportedly closing up to 200 stores

GameStop continues to shrink its brick-and-mortar portfolio.



The struggling video game retailer revealed in a December 2025 Securities and Exchange filing that it planned to close a "significant number of additional stores" during the rest of its 2025 fiscal year, which ends on Jan. 31, 2026. Although GameStop has not disclosed the exact number of stores planned for closure, reports from local media and customer notices indicate that up to 200 stores could go dark...


By Marc Perlof July 10, 2026
10-Year Treasury Yield Falls to 4.539% — Data Talk (Re-opening) The 10-year yield declined 0.030 percentage point to 4.539% today. The price is 98 23/32. --Largest one-day yield decline since Wednesday, June 24, 2026 --Snaps a seven-trading-day streak of rising yields --Yield is off 0.130 percentage point from its 52-week high of 4.668% hit Tuesday, May 19, 2026 --Yield is up 0.586 percentage point from its 52-week low of 3.952% hit Wednesday, Oct. 22, 2025 --Yield is up 0.192 percentage point from 52 weeks ago...
By Marc Perlof July 6, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 July 6, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. In last month’s blog, we looked at how retail property owners decide whether to adjust pricing, hold firm, or wait in a changing market. That decision matters, but it is only the starting point. The next decision is more important than most owners realize: choosing the right pricing strategy. This is where many owners get the market wrong. They price the property based on what they own, what they want, or what a nearby property asked for. But buyers do not all underwrite retail property the same way. A 1031 buyer, developer, syndicator, owner user, family office, and local operator can look at the same property and see completely different value. The right pricing strategy starts with knowing which buyer is most likely to believe the story, accept the risk, and close. Pricing Is Not Just About the Property The property matters. The income matters. The lease matters. The location matters. But the buyer pool determines how those items are interpreted. A short term lease may look risky to a passive 1031 buyer, but attractive to a value add investor, an owner user who wants control, or a developer. A vacant building may look like a problem to an income buyer, but like an opportunity to a developer or owner user. A strip center with below market rents may look messy to one buyer and like upside to another. Same property. Different buyer. Different value. That is why the pricing strategy cannot start with only the asset type. It has to start with the buyer most likely to see value and close. Today, buyer targeting matters more because financing is tighter, investors are more selective, and the wrong buyer pool can make a solid property look overpriced. If the property is aimed at the wrong buyer pool, the result is usually longer market time, weaker offers, and more price pressure. Different Buyers See Different Value A 1031 exchange buyer usually wants stability. They are often looking for clean income, long lease term, strong tenant credit, limited management, and a simple story. If the deal has short leases, local tenants, or unclear expenses, some 1031 buyers will either pass or price it more conservatively. A developer looks at the property differently. They may care less about current income and more about land value, zoning, density, entitlement risk, construction costs, and future exit value. To a developer, the existing building may not be the value. The land and future project may be the value. A syndicator usually needs a story that can be explained to investors. They care about return, upside, risk, financing, and whether the business plan is clear. If the story is too complicated or the numbers are too thin, they may move on. A family office may care more about long term quality, location, and risk protection. They may not need the highest return, but they usually do not want a problem asset unless the pricing clearly rewards the risk. A local investor may see value that other buyers miss. They may understand the tenants, the street, the rents, and the management upside better than an outside buyer. An owner user may look at the property through occupancy, control, and long term business use. They may not underwrite the deal the same way a passive investor does. This is why two buyers can look at the same retail property and come to very different conclusions. The Wrong Buyer Pool Leads to the Wrong Price The mistake is not just overpricing. The bigger mistake is using a pricing strategy that does not match the buyer most likely to close. For example, a retail building with short term leases may not work for a passive buyer. If the marketing is aimed at passive investors, the property may sit. But that same property may attract owner users, developers, or value add operators if positioned correctly. A strip center with below market rents may look weak if the marketing focuses only on today’s NOI. But if the buyer pool understands leasing upside, rent growth, tenant repositioning and the price accounts for these concerns, the story changes. A single tenant property with a shorter lease may not command premium net lease pricing. But if the real estate is strong and the tenant has a history at the site, there may still be a buyer pool. The strategy just needs to reflect the actual risk. The wrong buyer pool creates weak activity, low offers, and stale market time. The right buyer pool can create urgency because the buyers understand why the property matters. Pricing and Positioning Need to Work Together Pricing is not only the asking price. It is also how the property is presented. A good pricing strategy should answer: Who is the buyer? Why would they want this property? What risk will they see? What return will they need? What price range can they justify? If the likely buyer is a 1031 buyer, the story needs to be simple, stable, and income focused. If the likely buyer is a developer, the story needs to explain the land, zoning, density, timing, and feasibility. If the likely buyer is a value add operator, the story needs to show the path to higher NOI. If the likely buyer is an owner user, the story needs to focus on control, location, occupancy, and long term use. The same property may need a completely different strategy depending on the buyer. The Owner’s Goal Still Matters The buyer pool matters, but the seller’s goal still matters too. An owner who wants the highest possible price may need a longer marketing process, stronger preparation, and a buyer pool that can support premium pricing. An owner who wants certainty may need to price closer to the market from day one. An owner who only wants to sell if they hit a certain number may want to wait until the economics support their price. The problem happens when the owner’s goal and the buyer pool do not match. If the owner wants premium pricing but the buyer pool sees lease risk, financing risk, or future repair costs, the market will push back. If the owner wants a fast sale but prices above where buyers can underwrite, the property may sit. A strong strategy connects the owner’s goal with buyer reality. What Owners Should Review Before Pricing Before choosing a pricing strategy, retail property owners should review the property the way buyers will review it. That means looking at the rent roll, leases, tenant payment history, lease expirations, options, rent increases, triple net (NNN) reimbursements, expense history, roof, HVAC, parking lot, deferred maintenance, financing conditions, comparable sales, competing listings, and likely buyer pool. The goal is not just to estimate value. The goal is to identify which buyer will see the strongest reason to act and close. That is where good pricing strategy starts. Final Thought Pricing is not just asking, “What is my property worth?” The better question is, “Who is the right buyer, and what price can that buyer believe?” That is the difference between putting a number on a property and building a real sale strategy. When the price, story, buyer pool, and seller’s goal line up, the property has a much better chance of creating serious activity, stronger offers, and a cleaner closing. Next week, we will look at what happens when this strategy is wrong: Why Retail Properties Sit on the Market. If you own a strip center, shopping center, single tenant net lease property, storefront retail building, or redevelopment site, I can help you review the buyer pool, pricing strategy, risk points, and likely market response before you make a sale, refinance, or hold decision. Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide. #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #RetailInvestment #PropertyOwners #1031Exchange #NetLease #ShoppingCenters #CREStrategy #MarcRetailGuy
By Marc Perlof July 3, 2026
10-Year Treasury Yield Rises to 4.420% — Data Talk The 10-year yield rose 0.045 percentage point to 4.420% today. The price fell 11/32 to 99 20/32. --Largest one-day yield gain since Monday, June 22, 2026 --Yield is up for two consecutive trading days --Yield is up 0.048 percentage point over the last two trading days --Largest two-day yield gain since Monday, June 8, 2026 --Highest yield since Tuesday, June 23, 2026, --Yield is off 0.248 percentage point from its 52-week high of 4.668% hit Tuesday, May 19, 2026...
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