Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • January 9, 2026
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Net Lease Cap Rates Stabilize as Market Focus Shifts to Risk Over Rates

The net lease market barely budged in Q4, but beneath the surface, investors are repricing around risk—not the Fed.

Cap rates hold steady: In Q4, single-tenant net lease cap rates rose just one bp to 6.81%. Retail dipped to 6.55%, office climbed to 8.00%, and industrial held at 7.20%. Despite Fed rate cuts, pricing remained steady, signaling a break from short-term policy influence...

A blurry picture of a clothing store with clothes on display.

13-story hotel gets green-light at 4200 Century Blvd. in Inglewood


The City of Inglewood has signed off on a project which would replace the 135-room Tradewinds Hotel on Century Boulevard with a larger mixed-use building.


Gregory Peck of Beverly Hills-based Crescent Hotel Group, the applicant attached to the project at 4200 W. Century Boulevard, has proposed the construction of a 13-story, 335,000-square-foot building containing:

  • 11 condominiums on floors 9-12;
  • 118 extended stay hotel rooms on floors 7-12;
  • 175 hotel rooms on floors 3-6; and
  • event space, a lobby, a bar, and restaurant space on floors 1-2.
A car is parked in front of a sign that says 223

Retail Leasing Strategies Evolve in Uncertain Economy

According to Globe St, retailers are moving away from traditional, long-term leasing models in response to a dynamic economic landscape. Rather than treating retail leases as static occupancy costs, companies are viewing them as strategic tools to maximize flexibility and bargaining power. The approach allows retailers to better respond to everything from changing consumer trends to broader financial pressures...


The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

Store Expansion News: December update


Retailers and restaurants alike made headlines to close out 2025 in December with store expansions and new formats.

Here are the major stories as reported by Chain Store Age, starting with the most recent.

  • Report: Barnes & Noble to open 60 stores in 2026 The bookseller plans to open 60 new locations across the country in 2026, reported USA Today. According to a list obtained by the publication, Barnes & Noble plans to open stores in Ohio, Texas, Florida, Illinois, Colorado, Washington state, California, Virginia, Georgia and Washington D.C., with "several openings" scheduled between now and June 2026...


Kroger is ready to grow again in Houston area

Kroger’s only activity in the Houston area over the past few years has involved store closings and some remodels, but that is about to change.


The Cincinnati-based grocer plans to open several stores in the Houston area and continue remodeling existing locations, according to the Houston Business Journal.


Kroger did not respond to a request for comment.


Five Houston-area Kroger stores closed in 2025. During that time, the grocer combined its Houston and Dallas divisions to form a new Texas Division...

Benihana plans to get bigger, faster in San Francisco Bay Area following success


Benihana, the Japanese restaurant chain known for its teppanyaki dining style, is plotting an expansion in the San Francisco Bay Area.


The brand’s parent, publicly traded Denver-based One Group Hospitality Inc., signed a seven-year deal with an “experienced operator” to open 10 Benihana locations around the region, including three Benihana franchises, two Benihana joint-venture locations and five Benihana Express outlets...

Retail Media Platforms Redefine Store Strategy



Retail spending trends remain surprisingly robust, with holiday-period sales increasing by around 4% year-over-year, according to Mastercard and Visa data. However, Globe St reports that once inflation is accounted for, this growth flattens, revealing that Americans are spending more dollars but not necessarily purchasing more goods. These trends come amid declining consumer sentiment since April 2024, underscoring growing uncertainty in the retail sector...

Underwriting Standards Tighten for 2026 Refinancings

According to Globe St, commercial real estate lending in 2026 is shaping up as a ‘sorting year,’ with banks, CMBS, and private credit outlets applying far tougher underwriting standards. The backdrop: higher-for-longer rates, mounting maturities, and a thirst for strong sponsorship and financeable assets.


According to Trepp’s research, deals supported by robust cash flow and experienced sponsors are passing the new underwriting hurdles. Marginal assets, particularly those with optimistic past assumptions, face stricter debt service coverage requirements and heightened scrutiny...

Grocers lift North Texas to nation’s top market for new retail construction


The Dallas-Fort Worth region is the nation’s top market for new retail construction, spurred by an ever-growing number of grocers seeking to capitalize on people moving to Texas.



North Texas has 7.6 million square feet of new retail projects in the pipeline — roughly twice the amount of the No. 2 U.S. market, which is Phoenix with 3.6 million square feet, according to CoStar’s latest data...

Jollibee’s International Business Could Go Public in U.S.

Jollibee Foods Corporation (JFC) announced plans to spin off its international business and take it public on a U.S. securities exchange, according to a filing with the Philippine Stock Exchange.



The company said in a news release that it’s working with international and local advisors on defining the structure and timing of the separation and upcoming U.S. listing. The transaction is expected to occur in late 2027. JFC acknowledged that the strategy could change and there is no assurance an actual separation will occur...

Salad and Go to Close 32 Stores, Exit Texas and Oklahoma Markets

Salad and Go, once a fast-rising drive-thru chain, announced the impending closure of 32 restaurants.



The brand is exiting its Texas and Oklahoma markets, which house 25 and seven stores, respectively. Going forward, Salad and Go will shift focus toward its Arizona and Nevada trade areas.


The news comes after the chain announced in September the closure of 41 restaurants across Texas...


GameStop reportedly closing up to 200 stores

GameStop continues to shrink its brick-and-mortar portfolio.



The struggling video game retailer revealed in a December 2025 Securities and Exchange filing that it planned to close a "significant number of additional stores" during the rest of its 2025 fiscal year, which ends on Jan. 31, 2026. Although GameStop has not disclosed the exact number of stores planned for closure, reports from local media and customer notices indicate that up to 200 stores could go dark...


By Marc Perlof January 5, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy January 5, 2026 If you own commercial real estate, here’s what just changed for you. In 2026, the SBA quietly made a significant change that affects who can purchase your property and how transactions are completed. Access to SBA 504 loans (owner user loans) is increased by revised citizenship and residence requirements introduced in the SBA SOP 50 10 8 update. This is significant since the market for small and mid-sized commercial assets is mostly driven by SBA financing. This is the overall view. More purchasers are now eligible. Under the updated SBA 504 rules, buyers can now include up to 5 percent ownership by certain foreign nationals or conditional permanent residents. Many otherwise strong buyers were left out prior to this shift. A larger group of eligible owner-users can now apply under the SBA 504 foreign ownership eligibility regulations. Clarity is another benefit of this move. The SBA 504 rules use the IRS definition of a principal residence. As a result, there is less misunderstanding, underwriting happens quicker, and there is less chance of transactions collapsing at the end of the process. It's easy to understand why commercial property owners care about this. Pricing is determined by financing. Competition increases as more purchasers are eligible. Better terminology and stronger values are supported by this. More importantly, clearer rules mean fewer surprises in escrow. Less friction. Fewer price changes. Fewer broken deals due to financing issues discovered too late. These changes are already influencing how I’m structuring pricing guidance, buyer targeting, and deal timelines for commercial property owners planning 2026 exits. Here is what commercial property owners should understand right now. SBA 504 loans typically require only about 10 percent down from the buyer, compared to 25 percent to 35 percent for conventional bank loans, based on SBA program guidance as of 2024¹. The SBA 504 program supports owner-occupied properties where the operating business occupies at least 51 percent of the space for existing buildings or 60 percent for new construction, per SBA rules². SBA 504 loans can finance projects up to approximately $5 million per loan, with higher limits for certain public policy goals, according to SBA program documentation³. These rules apply to all SBA 504 applications approved on or after January 1, 2026. That means deals being planned today for 2026 closings should already be structured with these changes in mind. Key takeaways supported by SBA guidance. Expanded buyer eligibility increases the pool of qualified commercial owner-users¹. Clearer residency definitions reduce underwriting friction and deal risk². SBA 504 loans remain one of the most equity-efficient tools for owner-user commercial real estate buyers³. If you own commercial real estate and are thinking about selling, refinancing, or planning a 2026 exit, this update directly affects your strategy. Buyer demand is not just about the market. It is about who can get loans and on what terms. If you want to understand how these SBA changes affect your buyer pool, pricing range, or timing for a 2026 sale, reach out. With these new SBA 504 loan changes expanding eligibility, how might a larger and better-capitalized buyer pool change the value of your commercial property? #RetailRealEstate #SBA504 #CommercialRealEstate #RetailPropertyOwners #InvestmentSales
By Marc Perlof January 2, 2026
Holiday Spending Drives Retail Gains Holiday retail spending grew 4.2% in the US as in-store sales captured 73% of spend, with strong gains in electronics and apparel...
By Marc Perlof December 29, 2025
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy December 29, 2025 If you own retail real estate, here is what just changed for you. The New Year signifies more than just a new calendar. It marks the official reset point for tenant expectations, capital planning, and leasing strategy for retail property owners. Preliminary data for 2026 suggests that moderate but consistent growth is on the horizon. The Conference Board anticipates that consumer spending will increase by approximately 2% in Q1, primarily fueled by essential goods and neighborhood convenience retail.¹ The status of discretionary categories is still unclear. At the end of 2025, vacancy rates in neighborhood centers throughout the U.S. stood at 5.2%, marking the lowest level in over ten years.² While strong demand and limited new construction give landlords more leverage, it is crucial for them to use data to guide their decisions. The tone is set in January. Those tenants who ended the holiday period with a flat or negative performance are the most susceptible to cash flow stress in the early part of the year. This year, online commerce is projected to increase by another 7%, with mobile now leading the way in discovery and price comparison.³ Centers that facilitate easy access, smooth parking flow, designated pickup areas, and good visibility will attract tenants who are ready to pay higher rents for operational efficiency. It should now be simple for you to focus. Check year-end tenant sales or foot traffic counts, if they are available. Assess the recovery and operating costs of CAM. Determine areas that require repositioning. And begin discussions about renewal ahead of time with tenants who have done well. Powerful operators have already devised their strategy for 2026. Also, landlords should. Call or DM me. I can walk you through a New Year portfolio checkup that turns uncertainty into a strategy you can execute. Are you starting 2026 with clear data or just waiting to see what happens? #retailrealestate #CRE #2026retailoutlook #retailinvestment #leasingstrategy
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