Weekly Retail Real Estate News

Marc Perlof • November 13, 2023
Property Insurance Costs Surge


The increasing frequency of severe weather events, such as hurricanes, tornadoes and flooding from heavy rains, is said to be accelerating the cost of property insurance in coastal states including Florida, Louisiana and California.Commercial property insurance premiums were 25% higher for retail properties last year than the average price of the previous five years, according to loan data tracked by CoStar Group, the publisher of CoStar News.

 

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Krystal Pushes to be National Brand


Melissa Hodge, senior director of franchise, joined Krystal’s team in June 2020, during one of the biggest turning points in the chain’s 91-year history.

The brand filed for bankruptcy earlier that year and was later purchased by Fortress Investment Group for $48 million. Krystal began 2019 with 368 restaurants systemwide, but the footprint fell to 287 stores by the end of 2021, according to the chain’s FDD. It’s now at 281 restaurants (143 franchises and 138 corporate), according to a Krystal spokesperson.

 

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McDonald’s Vet Adds Fuel to BIGGBY COFFEE’s Growth Aspirations


For 21 years, she used her expertise around numbers to rise the ranks at McDonald’s, eventually reaching finance director of the U.S. portfolio. While in this role, Kaylor directed the team tasked with analyzing and reviewing development/construction decisions for 1,500-plus corporately owned and franchised restaurants. Her tenure saw improved performance in average unit cash flow, U.S. free-level cash flow, operating margin, and return on investment.

 

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Electric Vehicle Charging Stations, Spreading Fast, Come in Varying Shapes, Speeds


As electric vehicles become more commonplace on American roads, a variety of charging equipment for motorists is popping up in shopping centers and commercial parking areas across the country. But vehicle owners are finding the chargers work at various speeds — and not with every electric car. While online maps provide clues about the location and capabilities of charging stations at a variety of commercial properties, they aren't always updated with the latest information.


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Starbucks to shutter seven stores in San Francisco; locations include


Add Starbucks to the list of retailers closing some stores in San Francisco. The coffee giant will close seven of its stores in downtown San Francisco during the next few weeks.  (Locations listed at end of article.) Starbucks currently operates 59 locations throughout the city. There will be 52 effective October 22.  The company noted that all employees at the closing stores will be offered the opportunity to transfer – no one will lose their jobs.

 

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Pretzelmaker Puts Twist on Tradition to Woo the Modern Consumer


After purchasing Pretzelmaker as part of an approximately $445 million package of chains two years ago, FAT Brands recently brainstormed a new and consistent look for the concept. Based on feedback from franchise partners and research conducted by the marketing team, the brand switched to brighter, livlier colors and a new tagline, “Bite-Sized Fun. Full-Sized Flavor,” which puts an emphasis on the chain’s classic Pretzel Bites.


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City will pursue new partners to reopen the Civic Auditorium


 The end may be in sight for the long and confusing process over the future of the Santa Monica Civic Auditorium.

In an email sent out Tuesday, community organization Save The Civic said SMMUSD had abandoned its proposal to purchase the property.

“We’re thrilled the School District realized that residents adamantly opposed its expensive plan to acquire the Civic and repurpose it for use primarily as a gym. Publicly owned spaces for music and the arts are rare and important cultural venues and should not be sold off and turned into basketball courts,” said Save the Civic Steering Committee member, Bea Nemlaha.

 

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Macy’s To Accelerate Small-Format Store Rollout

As Retailers Shrink Sites

Macy’s is going even bigger with its small-format store launches, planning up to 30 openings at off-mall locations next year through fall 2025 as it looks to drive its sales growth with a real estate practice spreading across the industry. The New York-based company — the parent of its namesake chain as well as Bloomingdale's and Bluemercury — on Tuesday said it will accelerate the expansion of its small-format store strategy, potentially tripling the total number of those pint-sized brick-and-mortar locations. Beginning next year, Macy's said it will debut up to 30 new Macy’s small-format locations across the nation.


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Intuit Dome's exterior takes shape in Inglewood

The $1.2-billion project, which will be home to the Los Angeles Clippers starting int he 2024-2025 NBA season, has now been under construction for two years at the intersection of Century Boulevard and Prairie Avenue. While the main attraction is the 18,000-seat arena.

 

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Insomnia Cookies Goes Up for Sale


Krispy Kreme executives in February said Insomnia Cookies, a brand it acquired in 2018, had room for more than 4,000 locations. It just appears that result will be driven by somebody else. The company on Tuesday shared it’s exploring strategic alternatives for the dessert brand, including a potential all-cash sale.

 

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68 Circle K stores are up for sale


Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. is looking to sell 68 U.S. Circle K convenience stores, reports Petrol Plaza. NRC Realty & Capital Advisors will assist with the sale, marking the third time in three years the Chicago firm has worked with Alimentation Couche-Tard to sell Circle K stores.

 

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By Marc Perlof December 15, 2025
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy December 15, 2025 If you own retail real estate, here is what the newest Federal Reserve move means for your property today. Another ¼ point reduction in interest rates was the result of the Federal Reserve's most recent decision. Jerome Powell highlighted a weakening economy, decreasing inflation, and an obviously cooling labor market in his speech. He pointed out that while services continue to soften at a gradual, steady pace, goods inflation is still sticky due to tariffs. The Fed wants to reduce inflation without overturning the labor market, and employers are cutting down on hiring. Crucially, Powell also stated that policy is already almost neutral and that future decisions will be careful and data-driven rather than instinctive. As the year draws to a conclusion, these signals now influence the actions of regular investors. What does this mean for owners right now? Property values are not increased by rate reductions alone. They accomplish this by lowering uncertainty. Investors resume underwriting as borrowing costs become more predictable. Tours pick up, buyers start modeling offers they passed on a month earlier, and lenders start pricing. Activity nearly always rises first, even if final price has not yet changed. This translates into firmer terms, more talks, and buyers who are now ready to step off the sidelines for active listings. This change is supported by recent economic data. Due to consistent consumer expenditure, services are still growing. As new orders and jobs decline, manufacturing continues to suffer. While the manufacturing PMI is below 50 for the ninth consecutive month, the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is in expansion territory. The majority of retail tenants reside in the services sector of the economy rather than the goods-producing sector, which makes this division significant. Expect additional momentum for current listings over the following few weeks. Because the US inflation forecast is uncertain, investors continue to underwrite cautiously; yet, direction is important. The direction is getting better for the first time in months. Powell's speech and the national surveys for Q1 and Q2 2026 indicate a two-stage year with a significant warning about future rate decreases. According to the Fed's own estimates, officials anticipate at most one more rate decrease in 2026. Powell emphasized that the Fed is "well positioned to wait" and evaluate new information before taking action. This implies that the market shouldn't anticipate quick or forceful relaxation. • Q1 2026 can seem sluggish. Input prices are still high, hiring is declining, and many companies will postpone plans for growth as they wait to see if inflation continues to decline. Buyers will remain picky as the Fed is probably on hold. • If inflation continues to decline and the Fed implements small, gradual monetary policy changes, Q2 2026 may see a recovery. When paired with more precise policy guidance, even one more cut can increase transaction volume before it increases pricing. Value shopping, food, retail related to everyday necessities, and service-based tenants ought to perform well. Thin-margin businesses and merchants who sell a lot of goods may find it difficult to keep up with growing expenses. Key insights for property owners today: • Services PMI remains in expansion, showing steady consumer demand². • Manufacturing PMI continues to contract, signaling weakness in goods production². • Employers across sectors are slowing hiring, supporting Powell’s cooling labor market comments¹. • Construction and TI costs remain high due to elevated material prices, including steel, electrical components, and aluminum². • Cap rates are unlikely to compress quickly, but clearer Fed guidance helps stabilize valuations. Recent data worth noting: The ISM non-manufacturing index remained above 52 in November 2025², showing healthy service-sector activity tied to consumer spending. Powell's warning that the job market is deteriorating was reinforced when manufacturing employment dropped to one of its lowest levels this year¹. This is the time for owners to get ready. As underwriting becomes more stringent, clean rent rolls, transparent financials, current CAM reconciliations, and compelling tenant narratives become increasingly important. The owners who are ready make the first gains when activity increases before prices change. If you want to understand how today’s economic shift and the Fed’s cautious 2026 outlook impact your value, cash flow, or timing for a sale or refinance, let’s talk. Call or DM me for more information. With the Fed signaling patience in 2026, are you positioned to benefit from higher activity before pricing fully adjusts? #RetailRealEstate #FederalReserve #CREInvestment #EconomicOutlook #MarcRetailGuy
By Marc Perlof December 12, 2025
If the Fed Is Cutting Interest Rates, Why Are 10-Year Treasury Yields Rising? How Does It Affect You? Official interest rates are declining, but not the rates that could matter the most to everyday Americans. Treasury yields ticked up to a three-month high on Wednesday morning despite near certainty on Wall Street that the Federal Reserve was hours away from cutting interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield, which influences interest rates on a variety of consumer loans including mortgages, rose Wednesday morning to 4.21%, its highest level since early September. Meanwhile, traders put the probability of a quarter-percentage-point cut today by the Fed at about 90%...
By Marc Perlof December 8, 2025
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy December 8, 2025 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. In uncertain markets, retail property owners feel the pressure first. Daily swings in interest rates, consumer confidence, and capital flows make it hard to predict what comes next. The challenge is simple: volatility throws doubt over every decision. The action you take today determines your cash flow tomorrow. And the result can be a stronger, more resilient investment position if you know where to move. Right now, investors are navigating mixed economic signals. Retail sales grew 3.9% year-over-year in Q3, yet borrowing costs remain elevated compared to the pre-2022 cycle¹. Inflation is at a 3.0% annual rate, but pricing remains sticky in service categories². These contradictions create hesitation for many owners. The smart operators don’t freeze. They pivot. They tighten operations, sharpen underwriting, and prepare their assets for the moment clarity returns. Here’s what the most experienced ownership groups are doing: • Stress testing rents, renewals, and expense loads using conservative economic assumptions³ • Re-underwriting tenant credit and evaluating exposure to weaker retail categories • Focusing on assets in trade areas with above-average household income growth³ • Front-loading maintenance and capital planning to preserve NOI predictability • Positioning properties for refinancing when spreads tighten and lenders re-enter the market³ Data points worth watching: Retail vacancy nationwide is hovering around 4.3%-5.8%⁴. Investment sales volume is down 35% year-over-year, but cap rates widened only modestly, showing continued buyer appetite for quality⁴. When markets are noisy, the winners keep discipline. They stay focused on fundamentals that never go out of style: tenant quality, location strength, and consistent reporting. Volatility rewards the prepared, not the passive. If you want clarity on how today’s market impacts the value of your specific property, I can break it down with precision. Call or DM me for more information. What strategic move are you avoiding today that could protect your property’s value tomorrow? #RetailRealEstate #CREInvesting #MarketInsights #NetLease #CommercialProperty
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