Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • August 2, 2024
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DTSM welcomes new chair, vice chairs and four new appointments to the board


Thursday’s meeting of Downtown Santa Monica, Inc. (DTSM) was all about new people in new positions as the board of directors welcomed the four new appointees and Michele Aronson was voted in as the new chair, replacing Eric Sedman.


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100 Under 100: Emerging restaurant chains that are thriving in the U.S.


These brands with fewer than 100 locations have some serious growth momentum. This year’s Technomic Top 500 results were a mixed bag for the restaurant industry. On one hand, many large restaurant brands stagnated in 2023, with sales increases merely a reflection of menu price increases and with a full third of brands experiencing a net unit count decrease.


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Three sandwiches are lined up in a row on a white surface.

Old School Bagel Cafe Brings New York Flavor to Middle America


Danny Cowan spent 20 years working at the once-popular New York Bagel, franchising two locations in Denver. He perfected the New York–style of boiling bagels in water for 60 seconds before baking, creating a crisp outer layer and soft center. Outside of New York Bagel, this method wasn’t commonly used in Middle America at the time. 


Three bowls of fruit are sitting on a wooden table.

How Jamba is Reinventing Itself and Reconnecting with the Consumer


The same industry, but varying obstacles. For instance, the 730-unit Jamba is a seasonal brand and has a different franchise makeup than what Louer has been accustomed to. He was faced with getting to know the people involved, integrating into the broader GoTo Foods company (parent of Jamba, in addition to Auntie Anne’s, Cinnabon, Carvel, McAlister’s, Schlotzsky’s, and Moe’s), and understanding the nuances of the chain.



A kroger store and an albertsons market street store are next to each other.

Kroger, Albertsons $24.6B merger temporarily blocked by Colorado judge


The Kroger, Albertsons merger was postponed on Thursday by a Colorado judge, who granted a preliminary injunction for a hearing in August. The proposed $24.6 billion merger has been challenged in Colorado by the state attorney general. That’s in addition to a multi-state lawsuit led by the Federal Trade Commission and a separate lawsuit in Washington state.


A kroger store and an albertsons market street store are next to each other.

What impact would the Kroger, Albertsons merger have on gas stations?


Kroger and Albertsons are two of the largest fueling station providers in the country, operating roughly 1,408 U.S. fueling stations, but about 10% of those stations would be divested to C&S Wholesale Grocers if the $24.6 billion mega-merger of the two grocery chains is approved later this year.


A man is shopping for fruits and vegetables in a grocery store.

Amazon Fresh continues rapidly opening stores


More Amazon Fresh grocery stores are on the verge of opening up shop — most recently in Pennsylvania, according to the Philadelphia Business Journal. The online retail giant will open its next brick-and-mortar operation in Bensalem, Penn. 


The front of a big lots store with a blue sky in the background

Big Lots Plans About 140 Store Closings, Far More Than Expected


Money-losing discount retailer Big Lots is closing roughly 140 stores cross the country, more than triple the number it originally announced, in what one analyst said could be an attempt to cut losses by swiftly shutting some poorly performing locations.

The Columbus, Ohio-based company on its website has now identified 141 stores in 27 states that it said it will be shutting. Big Lots is most dramatically reducing its brick-and-mortar footprint — by a half — in California, where it plans to close 54 stores. It currently has 109 retail locations in the Golden State.


A red and white fast food restaurant with a car parked in front of it.

Jack in the Box Is Opening Over 100 Locations in These 4 States


With Jack in the Box's bold growth into Arkansas, Florida, Montana, Wyoming, and beyond, fast-food landscapes everywhere are about to get tastier. And if burgers aren’t your thing, no worries. Jack in the Box owns Del Taco too, and the taco chain is set to open 138 new locations. Just make sure to use one of the best cash back credit cards to save more during your visit.


A person is taking a slice of pizza out of a pizza hut box.

Large Pizza Hut Franchisee Files Bankruptcy Amid Legal Battle with Franchisor



A large Pizza Hut franchisee declared bankruptcy Monday weeks after the franchisor filed a lawsuit accusing the operator of financial mismanagement. EYM Pizza has 126 locations across Illinois, Wisconsin, South Carolina, and Georgia. It recently shuttered its Indiana market, which had 15 stores.


The front of a store called conn 's home plus

Conn’s closing 71 stores — here’s where


Conn’s is starting liquidation sales at select stores across its operating area amid rumors that it is considering filing for bankruptcy.

The struggling, Texas-based retailer of furniture, mattresses, appliances and consumer electronics retailer is closing 71 stores in 13 states, with the locations to be shuttered listed on its website. Florida will see the largest amount of closings, with 18 stores going dark, followed by Texas, with nine closings. 


By Marc Perlof February 2, 2026
Retail Real Estate 2026: Why Some Properties Stay Strong While Others Struggle By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy February 2, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here is what just changed. Retail real estate in 2026 is no longer one market. It has split into clear winners and clear losers. Owners who understand this are protecting value. Owners who do not are feeling pressure. The biggest change is how people spend money when things feel uncertain. Interest rates are higher. Costs are up. Households are more careful. That shift shows up first at the property level. Some retail feels stress faster than others. Lifestyle centers, nightlife areas, entertainment districts, and tourist retail depend on optional spending. When people cut back, visits drop. Sales slow. Tenants push back on rent. Vacancies last longer. This is not a crash. It is a pressure issue tied to spending people can delay. Other retail performs differently. Grocery anchored centers, pharmacies, medical and dental, quick-service food, auto service, and personal care are built around daily habits. People cut wants before needs. That makes income steadier and easier to support in a cautious market. Recent retail market reports show this split clearly. National retail vacancy stayed fairly stable through late 2025, mostly in the mid-5 percent to high-6 percent range, with necessity-based centers performing better than discretionary locations¹. Leasing slowed in 2025, with longer decision times and more rent pushback, especially from non-essential tenants². Buyers are still active, but they are more careful. They now focus on tenant quality, lease length, and operating costs more than rent growth³. What retail owners should focus on right now • Daily-needs tenants reduce risk. Properties with grocery, medical, pharmacy, and quick-service food see more stable rent and fewer concession requests. That helps protect sale price and lender support in slower markets¹. • Grocery-anchored centers sell faster. Buyers still want these assets because traffic is predictable and costs are easier to pass through. These deals tend to fall apart less often³. • Discretionary retail carries pricing risk. Properties tied to optional spending face longer vacancies, rent resistance at renewal, and wider gaps between buyer and seller pricing. Waiting too long to adjust can hurt value, not just cash flow². One thing is becoming clear in early 2026. The market is not pricing retail as one category anymore. It is pricing risk. Two properties with the same income can be worth very different amounts based on tenant mix, lease terms, and rising expenses. Owners who understand this protect equity. Others only see the gap after a buyer or lender points it out. The takeaway is simple. Retail real estate in 2026 is about quality, not hype. Stable income matters. Lease terms matter. Tenant mix matters. Insurance and operating costs matter. Owners who match strategy to how their tenants actually perform stay in control. Owners who rely on old assumptions end up reacting. If you want a clear, property-specific review of how buyers and lenders would view your retail asset today, I can prepare a short market positioning summary. No templates. No guesses. Just how your property would really trade in this market. Ask yourself this. Is your property built around spending people can delay, or spending they rely on every week? #RetailRealEstate2026 #RetailMarketOutlook #EssentialServicesRetail #GroceryAnchoredRetailCenters #DiscretionaryRetailProperties
By Marc Perlof January 30, 2026
Smoothie King plots 90-plus new openings for 2026 The world’s largest smoothie franchise isn’t planning on slowing down its growth after a strong 2025.  Smoothie King says it plans to open more than 90 new store openings in 2026, in addition to launching a targeted franchisee incentive program spanning several key states, including Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Virginia and more. Through the program, Smoothie King says it is offering financial incentives to “growth-minded franchisees,” designed to accelerate brand awareness and density in these markets...
By Marc Perlof January 26, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy January 26, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. 2026 is shaping up to be a year where retail property owners need to pay attention. Not to fear. Not to headlines. To real signals in the market. There is more global and domestic uncertainty right now. Conflicts overseas, trade tension, higher government debt, and political changes in the U.S. all affect interest rates, insurance markets, and investor behavior. This does not mean panic. It means owners need clear, reliable information. Here is where the retail market stands today. Local retail remained steady through late 2025. In Los Angeles County, vacancy ranged from about 5.6 to 6.9 percent in the second half of the year¹²³. That tells us demand is still healthy, even as some tenants adjust space needs or renew leases at new rent levels. Leasing activity slowed in some areas. Spaces are taking longer to fill, and asking rents softened slightly as owners and tenants reset pricing². This is a normal market adjustment, not a collapse. On the investment side, commercial real estate transactions increased nationally through mid 2025. Both the number of deals and total dollar volume rose, showing capital is still moving⁵. Buyers are active when pricing reflects today’s risks and returns. This is exactly what I am seeing in live pricing discussions and negotiations right now. Insurance remains one of the biggest issues for retail owners. Property insurance markets became more stable in 2025, and rate increases slowed in some areas. However, insurers are still selective. Coverage terms matter more than ever, especially for properties exposed to wildfire or coastal risk⁴. Insurance costs directly affect net income, lease negotiations, and buyer interest. Retail Outlook for Q1 and Q2 2026 In early 2026, the retail market is likely to stay steady but measured. Vacancy is expected to remain near current levels. Leasing will be deliberate, not rushed. Rents should hold close to where they ended in 2025 as owners and tenants continue to agree on realistic pricing. Capital will remain active for properties with solid income, strong tenant credit, and durable lease terms. Buyers are selective, but they are still moving forward when risk and return are properly aligned. Insurance markets will stay selective in the first half of 2026. Owners need to plan renewals carefully and understand how insurance affects operating costs, tenant negotiations, and future sale value. Here is a simple retail risk check for 2026: • Local vacancy around 6 percent, stable but uneven by location¹ • Leasing takes longer than peak years, making pricing discipline critical² • Capital remains active, but underwriting is conservative⁵ • Insurance coverage is improving in some areas, but terms still matter⁴ Not all retail performs the same. Discretionary-driven destinations like lifestyle centers, nightlife districts, and tourist-focused shopping streets feel more pressure when consumer spending slows. Retail that serves daily needs and essential services tends to perform better during uncertain cycles. The best strategy now is disciplined and data-driven. Focus on tenant credit strength. Protect lease term and income stability. Price based on real market data. Understand insurance risk clearly. This is how value is protected in changing markets. I help retail property owners position assets based on real tenant behavior and real buyer demand. Not headlines. Call or DM me if you want a clear view of how your retail property should be positioned for 2026. How will you adjust your leasing or investment strategy this year based on what the market is actually telling us? #RetailRealEstate #LosAngelesCRE #CommercialRealEstateOutlook #RetailInvestment #CRE2026 #MarcRetailGuy
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