Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • August 2, 2024
A banner for weekly commercial real estate news recap
A city street with palm trees and buildings on a sunny day

DTSM welcomes new chair, vice chairs and four new appointments to the board


Thursday’s meeting of Downtown Santa Monica, Inc. (DTSM) was all about new people in new positions as the board of directors welcomed the four new appointees and Michele Aronson was voted in as the new chair, replacing Eric Sedman.


A yellow background with white letters that say 100 under 100

100 Under 100: Emerging restaurant chains that are thriving in the U.S.


These brands with fewer than 100 locations have some serious growth momentum. This year’s Technomic Top 500 results were a mixed bag for the restaurant industry. On one hand, many large restaurant brands stagnated in 2023, with sales increases merely a reflection of menu price increases and with a full third of brands experiencing a net unit count decrease.


Read Full Article...

Three sandwiches are lined up in a row on a white surface.

Old School Bagel Cafe Brings New York Flavor to Middle America


Danny Cowan spent 20 years working at the once-popular New York Bagel, franchising two locations in Denver. He perfected the New York–style of boiling bagels in water for 60 seconds before baking, creating a crisp outer layer and soft center. Outside of New York Bagel, this method wasn’t commonly used in Middle America at the time. 


Three bowls of fruit are sitting on a wooden table.

How Jamba is Reinventing Itself and Reconnecting with the Consumer


The same industry, but varying obstacles. For instance, the 730-unit Jamba is a seasonal brand and has a different franchise makeup than what Louer has been accustomed to. He was faced with getting to know the people involved, integrating into the broader GoTo Foods company (parent of Jamba, in addition to Auntie Anne’s, Cinnabon, Carvel, McAlister’s, Schlotzsky’s, and Moe’s), and understanding the nuances of the chain.



A kroger store and an albertsons market street store are next to each other.

Kroger, Albertsons $24.6B merger temporarily blocked by Colorado judge


The Kroger, Albertsons merger was postponed on Thursday by a Colorado judge, who granted a preliminary injunction for a hearing in August. The proposed $24.6 billion merger has been challenged in Colorado by the state attorney general. That’s in addition to a multi-state lawsuit led by the Federal Trade Commission and a separate lawsuit in Washington state.


A kroger store and an albertsons market street store are next to each other.

What impact would the Kroger, Albertsons merger have on gas stations?


Kroger and Albertsons are two of the largest fueling station providers in the country, operating roughly 1,408 U.S. fueling stations, but about 10% of those stations would be divested to C&S Wholesale Grocers if the $24.6 billion mega-merger of the two grocery chains is approved later this year.


A man is shopping for fruits and vegetables in a grocery store.

Amazon Fresh continues rapidly opening stores


More Amazon Fresh grocery stores are on the verge of opening up shop — most recently in Pennsylvania, according to the Philadelphia Business Journal. The online retail giant will open its next brick-and-mortar operation in Bensalem, Penn. 


The front of a big lots store with a blue sky in the background

Big Lots Plans About 140 Store Closings, Far More Than Expected


Money-losing discount retailer Big Lots is closing roughly 140 stores cross the country, more than triple the number it originally announced, in what one analyst said could be an attempt to cut losses by swiftly shutting some poorly performing locations.

The Columbus, Ohio-based company on its website has now identified 141 stores in 27 states that it said it will be shutting. Big Lots is most dramatically reducing its brick-and-mortar footprint — by a half — in California, where it plans to close 54 stores. It currently has 109 retail locations in the Golden State.


A red and white fast food restaurant with a car parked in front of it.

Jack in the Box Is Opening Over 100 Locations in These 4 States


With Jack in the Box's bold growth into Arkansas, Florida, Montana, Wyoming, and beyond, fast-food landscapes everywhere are about to get tastier. And if burgers aren’t your thing, no worries. Jack in the Box owns Del Taco too, and the taco chain is set to open 138 new locations. Just make sure to use one of the best cash back credit cards to save more during your visit.


A person is taking a slice of pizza out of a pizza hut box.

Large Pizza Hut Franchisee Files Bankruptcy Amid Legal Battle with Franchisor



A large Pizza Hut franchisee declared bankruptcy Monday weeks after the franchisor filed a lawsuit accusing the operator of financial mismanagement. EYM Pizza has 126 locations across Illinois, Wisconsin, South Carolina, and Georgia. It recently shuttered its Indiana market, which had 15 stores.


The front of a store called conn 's home plus

Conn’s closing 71 stores — here’s where


Conn’s is starting liquidation sales at select stores across its operating area amid rumors that it is considering filing for bankruptcy.

The struggling, Texas-based retailer of furniture, mattresses, appliances and consumer electronics retailer is closing 71 stores in 13 states, with the locations to be shuttered listed on its website. Florida will see the largest amount of closings, with 18 stores going dark, followed by Texas, with nine closings. 


By Marc Perlof March 20, 2026
Santa Monica Airport Conversion Project Unveiled By City SANTA MONICA, CA — Following a nearly two-year public engagement process, the city has released a draft Framework Diagram for the Santa Monica Airport Conversion Project. "The Framework Diagram brings many ideas together to find common ground about what should go where and what types of uses belong in different areas of the site," the City of Santa Monica explained in a March 11 news release....
By Marc Perlof March 16, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 March 16, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. Retail property owners are asking a simple question today. Is the market about to change? Several economic signals moved quickly over the past two weeks. Oil prices surged as conflict disrupted major energy supply routes. The U.S. job market also weakened unexpectedly during the same period. Financial markets have become more volatile as investors reassess economic risks. When oil prices rise and hiring slows, real estate investors begin adjusting risk assumptions. These adjustments often appear first in lender loan standards and buyer pricing. For retail property owners, these shifts can influence demand and property values. Owners of strip centers, shopping centers, store front retail, and NNN retail properties (multi-tenant and single tenant) should watch closely. Understanding these signals early can help protect property value and guide decisions. Market Analysis and Trends Energy markets reacted first. Brent crude oil recently surged above $100 per barrel. The increase followed conflict disrupting shipping routes and global oil supply.¹ Much of the concern involves the Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor. Roughly 20 percent of global oil supply normally passes through this route. Even small disruptions there can quickly affect shipping costs and supply chains.¹ Consumers often feel the impact through gasoline prices. Since late February, U.S. gasoline prices increased more than 15 percent. Prices reached roughly $3.47 per gallon in early March.¹ In Southern California, fuel prices are usually among the highest nationally. Drivers in the region are already paying significantly more at the pump. Higher fuel costs can quickly strain household budgets. This often reduces spending at restaurants and other nonessential retail businesses. The labor market also signaled caution. The U.S. economy lost about 92,000 jobs in February 2026. Unemployment rose to approximately 4.4 percent during the same period.² Slower hiring typically leads to reduced consumer spending several months later. When advising retail property owners, I track three important property risks. These include tenant margin pressure, lender loan standard changes, and buyer cap rate expectations. Key signals retail property owners should monitor include: Brent crude oil moving above $100 per barrel during Middle East supply disruptions.¹ U.S. gasoline prices rising more than 15% since late February.¹ The U.S. economy losing roughly 92,000 jobs in February while unemployment increased.² Essential Retail vs Nonessential Retail Retail categories respond differently during periods of economic stress. Essential retail includes grocery anchored centers, pharmacies, and daily service tenants. These businesses usually remain stable during economic disruptions. Consumers still need basic goods even when household budgets tighten.³ Nonessential retail categories are more sensitive to economic pressure. Restaurants, entertainment venues, and similar tenants often experience softer sales first. This usually happens when consumers reduce spending. For property owners, tenant mix becomes especially important during economic uncertainty. Centers anchored by essential tenants often remain more stable. Properties dominated by nonessential retail may experience greater sales volatility. Strategic Advice for Retail Property Owners Economic uncertainty is a good time to review several property fundamentals. 1. Review tenant stability Evaluate tenant sales performance, credit strength, and upcoming lease expirations. 2. Monitor capital markets Lenders and investors may begin tightening loan standards as risks increase. 3. Evaluate sale timing carefully Markets sometimes offer short windows before buyer pricing adjusts to new conditions. Even a 1/4% to 1/2% increase in cap rates can affect property values. For example, a $6 million retail property valued at a 6% cap rate generates about $360,000 in annual income. If buyer expectations move to a 6.5% cap rate, value could fall near $5.5 million. If you own retail property and are wondering how these economic signals could affect buyer pricing or cap rates for your asset, this is exactly the type of analysis I help owners evaluate before making a sale or hold decision. If investor cap rates in your market moved just 1/2% higher, how much would the value of your retail property change? Investor Behavior During Uncertain Markets Market volatility often changes how investors evaluate retail properties. Research shows that investors prefer assets with stable income during uncertain periods. Properties with strong tenants and longer lease terms usually attract the most buyer interest.³ Assets with predictable cash flow often perform better during market uncertainty. Properties with weaker tenants or short lease terms may face greater scrutiny. For retail property owners, tenant quality and lease structure matter even more in volatile markets. What This Means for Retail Property Owners Retail property values depend on more than location. Energy prices, employment trends, and capital markets also influence buyer demand. If oil prices stay elevated and hiring slows, investors may become more selective. Properties with weaker tenants or short lease terms may see pricing pressure first. Well located shopping centers with strong tenants and long leases usually remain more resilient. Owners who monitor these signals early often have more strategic options. If economic uncertainty continues over the next twelve months, how strong are the tenants in your retail property? #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #NNNProperties #ShoppingCenters #RetailPropertyOwners #CREInvesting #RealEstateInvestors #CREMarketInsights #RealEstateTrends #CaliforniaRealEstate #LosAngelesRealEstate #CapRates
By Marc Perlof March 13, 2026
US consumer inflation steady before Iran conflict drives up oil prices WASHINGTON, March 11 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices rose moderately in February as rents maintained a steady pace of increases, though households paid more for gasoline and at the supermarket and higher costs are in store because of the escalating war in the Middle East .  The Consumer Price Index report from the Labor Department on Wednesday, which also showed underlying inflation muted ​last month, covered the period before the U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran. The attacks at the end of February were met with retaliation by Tehran and have boosted oil prices...
More Posts