Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • July 26, 2024
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Santa Monica’s Third Street Promenade is a retail relic. Can it be saved?


Once Santa’s Monica’s signature destination for shopping and dining, the Third Street Promenade is showing its age.

Its decline has left the promenade’s landlords and city officials trying to counter years of stagnation, public safety concerns and fast-changing retail norms in an attempt to breathe new life into it.


A large white building with palm trees in front of it

Curtain rises on formal proposal to revitalize the Civic Center


The already made public, but technically secret deal to reopen Santa Monica’s Civic Auditorium will have its first formal announcement at Tuesday’s council meeting. Approval of an Exclusive Negotiation Agreement (ENA) with Revitalization Partners Group, LLC (RPG) is part of the consent calendar for the July 23 meeting but as the calendar is approved in bulk with no debate, there will be no discussion of the deal unless a councilmember specifically asks for it to be pulled from the group list.


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Big Lots’ Vacant Stores Could Be Leased Quickly in Tight Market, Analysts Say


Last month, Big Lots CEO Bruce Thorn told investors the company was "moving quickly and aggressively" to solidify its position "as America's discount home store." Then just a week later, the retailer reported it was closing as many as 40 locations and might have to cease operations. Columbus, Ohio-based Big Lots, struggling for several years now since the pandemic's end, has a vast brick-and-mortar footprint. Its roughly 1,400 stores occupy about 46.6 million square feet of space. Some or all of that could be up for grabs if the company is forced to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection or, worse-case scenario, has to liquidate.


A panera restaurant with umbrellas in front of it

Report: Panera Brands Explores Sale of Caribou Coffee and Einstein Bros. Bagels


Panera Brands is reportedly exploring a sale of Caribou Coffee and Einstein Bros. Bagels, according to Reuters. The deal could be valued at more than $1.5 billion. Reuters said Bank of America is running the sales process and that restaurant operators and private equity firms have shown interest in acquiring the chains. The transaction would also include Bruegger’s Bagels, Noah’s New York Bagels, and Manhattan Bagel. According to the publication, Panera wants a valuation 10 times its EBITDA of $150 million in 2024.


A box of assorted donuts from krispy kreme

Krispy Kreme sells majority stake of Insomnia Cookies


Krispy Kreme is doubling down on its doughnuts business. Krispy Kreme said it has sold its majority ownership stake of Insomnia Cookies to Verlinvest and Mistral Equity Partners. The company received $127.4 million for the sale and expects to receive an additional $45 million in the coming weeks following an Insomnia Cookies refinancing of intercompany debt. 


The front of a conn 's home plus store.

Report: Conn’s to close 100 stores, considers bankruptcy


Conn’s may be downsizing its store portfolio. The struggling, Texas-based retailer of furniture, mattresses, appliances and consumer electronics may close about 100 locations and liquidate the inventory as part of a possible Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing, reported Bloomberg


The front of a walgreens store with a red and white sign.

S&P Global Ratings downgrades Walgreens, citing struggles in both pharmacy and retail


S&P Global Ratings analysts have downgraded Walgreens Boot Alliance by two notches, to ‘BB’ from ‘BBB-’, which puts the drugstore company into speculative-grade territory. Analysts Diya Iyer and Hanna Zhang cited guidance for the year “notably below” their expectations, and said “material strategic changes, limited cash flow generation, and large maturities in coming years are key risks to the business.”


A person is holding a silver trophy in their hand.

Von Maur, Costco, Trader Joe’s among U.S. best retailers — by category


Quality products, reasonable prices and excellent customer service — these are the attributes that allow retailers to succeed. That’s according to Newsweek, which partnered with Statista to release the third annual ranking of "America's Best Retailers." More than 7,000 shoppers were surveyed for their opinions on retailers spanning 40 industry categories (such as apparel, electronics and supermarkets), resulting in a ranking that recognizes the 200 best places to make a purchase, according to Newsweek.



By Marc Perlof October 31, 2025
Fed Cuts Rates Again, Boosting Confidence in CRE Recovery In a closely watched decision, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month. The new target range of 3.75% to 4% reflects continued efforts to ease financial conditions and stabilize capital markets, even as economic signals remain mixed...
By Marc Perlof October 27, 2025
If you own retail real estate, here’s what might change for you. The hospitality workers’ union UNITE HERE Local 11 is pushing a bold new initiative to raise the City of Los Angeles $30 minimum wage for all city employees by July 1, 2028¹. While the first ordinance covered hotel and airport workers, the union’s latest ballot measure would extend this wage citywide². As an expert in retail real estate, here’s what that means for your properties. Higher wages will immediately impact tenant affordability and rent-to-sales ratio calculations that drive lease viability. Many retailers operate with payroll costs at 25 to 35 percent of gross revenue, leaving little cushion for a wage that’s nearly double the current state minimum of $16/hour³. When margins tighten, tenants face a choice: raise prices, cut staff, or negotiate rent. For landlords, that translates into valuation pressure because commercial property values depend on stable rental income. The small business impact in Los Angeles could be profound. Independent restaurants, boutiques, and service operators, the lifeblood of local shopping centers, run on razor-thin profits. If forced to meet a $30 wage, some may relocate to cities like Burbank or Glendale, where municipal wage laws are lower, or close entirely⁴. That shift could spark short-term vacancy spikes and longer lease-up periods. Still, there’s a possible upside. When low-wage workers earn more, they spend more locally. For well-positioned centers with necessity-based tenants: grocers, pharmacies, quick-service restaurants, rising wages could strengthen revenue resilience. Key takeaways for retail landlords: Audit tenant financial health and exposure to rising payroll costs. Review lease clauses that address operating-cost pass-throughs. Model new rent-to-sales thresholds under a $30 wage scenario. Track tenant retention and market-rent shifts across nearby cities. Prepare for valuation adjustments as cap rates reflect greater income volatility. If you own retail real estate in the City of Los Angeles, now’s the time to stress-test your portfolio. Let’s review your leases before this wage shift hits. Call or DM me for more information. When the $30 wage arrives, will higher pay strengthen LA’s consumer base or hollow out the city’s small-business retail core? #LosAngeles30MinimumWage #RetailRealEstateInLosAngeles #TenantAffordabilityAndRentToSalesRatio #SmallBusinessImpactLosAngeles #CommercialPropertyValuesLosAngeles
By Marc Perlof October 24, 2025
Toys"R"Us opening 10 flagships, 20 seasonal shops — here are all the locations The brick and mortar comeback of Toys"R"Us is moving into high gear ahead of the toy industry’s busiest season. In September, the retailer said that, in partnership with Go! Retail Group, it was planning to open 10 flagships and 20 seasonal holiday shops in the U.S. by year's end...
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