Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • March 8, 2024
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A target store with a stop sign in front of it

Target to open 300 stores over next decade

 

Target Corp. reported fourth-quarter sales and earnings above Street expectations amid lower markdowns and improved in-stocks, but warned of sluggish sales for the current year. Separately, the retailer said it will launch a paid membership program, called Target Circle 360, in April. The program, announced at Target's investor day,  will include unlimited free same-day delivery for orders over $35 in as little as one hour and two free-day shipping, along with other perks. 


A fast food restaurant with a blue roof and blue awnings

Regional Dutch Bros Coffee Chain Brews Up National Expansion

 

When Dutch Bros debuted its first coffee shop last month in California's Orange County, throngs of people were waiting. Some had arrived the night before, and others traveled from as far as Arizona for the grand opening that morning. The line to get served "stretched for more than a mile," Christine Barone, the chain's CEO, said during the company's call to discuss its fourth-quarter earnings.


A restaurant with a sign that says `` order here ''.

Founders Table Forges Growth Plan for Collection of Premium Fast Casuals

 

Founders Table Restaurant Group comprises concepts created by operators who never let go of their curiosity. Chopt cofounders Tony Shure and Colin McCabe wondered why salad couldn’t be a side dish. Brothers Liam and Oliver Kremer wanted to know why they couldn’t find a decent mission-style burrito in New York, which led to Dos Toros. FIELDTRIP founder and James Beard Award-winning chef JJ Johnson had a vision to bring healthy rice bowls to Harlem when no one else did. 


The front of a foot locker store in washington heights

Foot Locker in Q4 loss; to unveil store of the future, revamp existing stores


Foot Locker ended its fiscal year on a slightly downbeat note, reporting a loss for the fourth quarter and issuing weak guidance. Despite the loss, the athletic shoe and apparel retailer still beat analysts’ expectations. But it warned that it would not meet the  profitability goal — to reach an EBIT margin of 8.5% to 9% by 2028 — it disclosed at its March 2023 Investor Day on time 


Cars are parked in front of a ross dress for less store

Ross Stores to open 90 new stores in 2024


Ross Stores easily topped expectations for its fourth quarter, but warned that housing, food and gasoline costs continue to put pressure on its customers. In a statement, CEO Barbara Rentler cited the “sustained” sales momentum that began in its second quarter and continued through the holiday season, but cautioned there remains “ongoing uncertainty in the macroeconomic and geopolitical environments.” 


A club sandwich is stacked on top of each other on a plate on a table.

McAlister’s Cracks $1 Billion, but Best is Yet to Come


For the first time in company history, McAlister’s surpassed $1 billion in sales in 2023, fulfilling a prediction the chain tracked for a few years now. It’s a big number, but chief brand officer Mike Freeman says the accomplishment boils down to a handful of key pillars. The first is decision-making and leading with the guest experience. The second is legacy franchise ownership and brand leadership working harmoniously to drive the company forward. 


A fried chicken sandwich with lettuce , tomato , onions and french fries on a plate.

Roots Chicken Shak Unveils a Unique Path to Expanding Beyond Food Halls


Tom Foley typically doesn’t eat fried food. Yet, during a menu tasting for chef Tiffany Derry’s duck-fat fried chicken concept Roots Chicken Shak, Foley took one bite of the Big Bird sandwich, “and I didn’t stop. I finished it,” he recalls. “And then Tiffany comes out with a Spicy Bird, the spicy version of it. I took a bite and finished it. At one point she looks at me, because we still have chicken wings and tenders to go through, and Tiffany goes, ‘you know this is a tasting, right?’ I’m not so sure if that’s how you’re supposed to have a tasting.”


An artist 's impression of a grocery store with a green ceiling.

Whole Foods to roll out small-format store concept — here’s what it will look like


Whole Foods Market is going small with a new concept for dense metro areas.The natural and organic foods grocer is launching a “quick-shop” store format that’s designed to provide customers in urban neighborhoods a quick and convenient shopping experience. Dubbed “Whole Foods Market Daily Shop,” the stores will range between 7,000 sq. ft. to 14,000 sq. ft., which is about a quarter to half the footprint of an average 40,000-sq.-ft. Whole Foods location. 


A grocery outlet is now open in a shopping center.

Grocery Outlet to open 15 - 20 stores in 2024; 100 approved sites for 2025 and 2026


Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is expanding its reach.The extreme discount grocer opened 13 new stores during its fourth quarter, including its first location in Ohio, for a total of 468 stores in nine states. It plans to open 15 to 20 new stores in 2024.


A red building with the word appetizers on it

Ribs With Your Pancakes? Applebee’s and IHOP Placed Under One Roof As Eateries Test Formats


Dine Brands Global is looking to develop more dual-branded restaurants, blending some of its new Applebee’s and IHOP restaurants into one eatery under the same roof to save money on real estate and supplies while driving more sales. Competitors including Outback Steakhouse and the Cheesecake Factory are also looking for property efficiencies. They are planning expansions and remodeling restaurants to capitalize on steady restaurant spending of the past three years after dining room shutdowns of the COVID-19 pandemic’s early months. 


An artist 's impression of a burger king restaurant

Church’s Road Back Began with Finding Itself Again


This compass—“who we are”—has served as the central theme in the 72-year-old brand’s turnaround since Guith, a former GoTo Foods (then Focus Brands) executive, arrived in early August 2022. Church’s was founded in 1952 in San Antonio, Texas, by George W. Church. It was a walk-up stand located a block south of the Alamo that sold two pieces of chicken and a roll for 49 cents. It began as “Church’s Fried Chicken-To-Go.” 


A dutch bros store with a truck parked in front of it.

Dutch Bros to open 150 to 165 shops in 2024; moving some corporate jobs to Phoenix


Dutch Bros ended the year on an upbeat note as it continues to drive new store growth. The fast-growing drive-thru coffee chain’s total revenue rose 25.9% to $254.1 million in the fourth quarter (ended Dec. 31). For the full year, total revenue grew 30.7% to $965.8 million.


By Marc Perlof June 15, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 June 15, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. In a buyer’s market, pricing discipline matters more than optimism. Retail property owners who understand how buyers think during weaker markets usually protect more value than owners who continue pricing based on past market conditions. When buyers gain leverage, they become more selective, move slower, and focus much more on risk. That changes how retail properties are priced, negotiated, and sold. In the previous article, “When to Adjust Price vs Hold Firm on Your Retail Property,” I discussed how owners should interpret buyer behavior, pricing feedback, and negotiation pressure once a property hits the market. What Changed What happens in a buyer’s market? In a buyer’s market, buyers gain more negotiating power because there are fewer active buyers compared to the number of properties for sale. Investors know they have more options, which changes how they negotiate. That usually slows down transactions. Buyers take longer to make decisions, ask more questions during due diligence, and review future risks more carefully before making offers. This is especially true for NNN properties, shopping centers, strip centers, and multitenant retail properties where buyers are closely reviewing tenant quality, how soon tenants may need to renew their leases, property repairs that still need to be completed, and future operating expenses. Why are buyers becoming more cautious? Buyers are becoming more careful because the margin for error is smaller today. Higher interest rates, more expensive financing, rising insurance costs, and economic uncertainty are causing investors to focus more on protecting themselves from future problems. Instead of focusing mostly on upside potential, buyers are asking: Will the tenants remain stable? Can rents hold up if the economy slows? Will future expenses increase faster than income? Will future buyers still want this property several years from now? That mindset affects pricing directly. Why It Matters Why do pricing mistakes hurt more in buyer driven markets? In buyer driven markets, aggressive pricing can reduce activity quickly. When buyers believe a property is overpriced, many simply move on instead of negotiating. That can create a difficult cycle for sellers. Limited activity often leads to longer time on market, weaker leverage, and growing buyer concerns over time. Buyers also become more aggressive once they believe a seller may eventually lower pricing. However, that assumption is not always correct. Some retail property owners are financially stable, are not highly motivated to sell, and are willing to wait if pricing does not reflect the property’s long term value. What concerns are buyers focused on most? Buyers today are closely reviewing anything that could create future problems. This includes: short lease terms property repairs that still need to be completed relying too heavily on one tenant for income weak tenant sales rising operating expenses poor common area maintenance (CAM) recovery structures older building systems future repair costs Even if a property is performing well today, buyers may still lower their pricing if they believe future risks are increasing. That is why clean, stable, and predictable retail properties are usually performing much better than properties with uncertainty or operational problems. Strategic Advice for Retail Property Owners Should you lower pricing quickly in a buyer’s market? Not automatically. Owners should avoid repeatedly lowering pricing out of frustration or fear. Frequent price cuts can weaken buyer confidence and make sellers appear desperate. Instead, pricing adjustments should be based on consistent feedback from qualified buyers. How do you reduce buyer fear? In buyer driven markets, reducing uncertainty becomes extremely important. Owners should review anything that could create concerns for buyers. This includes how organized the leases, financial records, and property information are, as well as any repairs that still need to be completed. Buyers will also pay close attention to lease expiration dates, common area maintenance charges and reimbursements, NNN expense responsibilities, lease options, rent increases, guarantor strength, and who is responsible for major items such as the roof, HVAC system, and parking lot. The easier it is for buyers to understand the property and its future risks, the more confidence they usually have during negotiations. When might waiting make more sense than selling? Not every market is ideal for selling. In some situations, extending leases, improving tenant quality, resolving deferred maintenance, increasing NOI, or waiting for financing conditions to improve may create better long term results than selling immediately. That does not mean owners should avoid selling in weaker markets. It means owners should understand whether they are selling from a position of strength or reacting emotionally to market uncertainty. What should sellers focus on most? The goal in buyer driven markets is not simply attracting offers. The goal is building buyer confidence while protecting leverage as much as possible during negotiations. Owners who reduce uncertainty, position their properties correctly, and respond strategically to buyer concerns usually perform much better than owners who rely only on aggressive pricing. Real Deal Insight We are beginning to see buyers usually lower what they are willing to pay when they see uncertainty in today’s retail market. Properties with organized financials, stable tenants, and fewer future concerns are consistently attracting stronger pricing and smoother negotiations. Owner Self Assessment If buyers reviewed your property today, would they see stable long term income or future problems they need to price into the deal? If you are considering selling and want to understand how buyers would likely evaluate your property in today’s market, reach out directly. I will walk you through how investors are reviewing pricing, lease risk, operating expenses, and future value before you make a decision. Are you positioning your property to reduce buyer fear or unintentionally increasing it? In the next article, “How to Price Retail Property in a Seller’s Market,” we will discuss how strong buyer demand changes negotiation strategy, pricing leverage, and competitive bidding environments. Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide.  #RetailRealEstate #NNN #ShoppingCenters #StripCenters #CommercialRealEstate #InvestmentSales #CapRates #RetailProperty #LosAngelesCRE #1031Exchange
By Marc Perlof June 12, 2026
Inflation tops 4% for the first time in 3 years on spike in gasoline prices Soaring gasoline prices, triggered by the U.S. war with Iran, have pushed inflation to its highest level in more than three years. A report from the Labor Department on Wednesday showed consumer prices in May were up 4.2% from a year ago. That's the biggest annual increase since April of 2023. By contrast, the Labor Department says average wages have risen only 3.4% over the last year, so workers' real spending power has declined...
By Marc Perlof June 8, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 June 8, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. Most retail properties do not lose value because of the original asking price. They lose value because owners misread buyer behavior after the property hits the market and react emotionally instead of strategically. In uncertain markets, correctly interpreting buyer feedback often matters more than the initial pricing itself. In the previous article, “How to Price Retail Property in an Uncertain Market,” we discussed how changing market conditions are affecting retail property pricing and buyer behavior across today’s market. What Changed What changes after your property hits the market? Once a retail property hits the market, the focus shifts from pricing strategy to market interpretation. Owners are no longer trying to predict value. They are now trying to understand how buyers are responding to the opportunity in real time. Some buyers move slowly even when they like the deal. Others negotiate aggressively just to create leverage. Some disappear completely while they review financing, compare other opportunities, or wait for more market clarity. This creates confusion for many retail property owners. Weak activity can feel like rejection even when some buyers still have interest. At the same time, activity alone does not always mean the pricing is correct. Why It Matters Why are the first 30 to 60 days so important? The first 30 to 60 days on the market usually provide the clearest signal. That is when buyers pay the closest attention to a new listing and when your property has the most visibility. If there are no offers, buyers may believe pricing is unrealistic or the property does not compare well to other opportunities. If buyers are showing interest but not making offers, the issue may involve tenant concerns, future expenses, lease structure, financing assumptions, or how the opportunity is being presented. Does a low offer mean your price is wrong? Not always. Sophisticated buyers often test seller confidence by negotiating aggressively even when they believe the property is attractive. This is especially important when multiple buyers remain engaged. Continued interest, requests for information, and active discussions often show that buyers still see value, even if they are trying to push pricing lower. Does buyer activity always mean your pricing is correct? No. Not all activity is good activity. A property attracting only unrealistic offers, unqualified buyers, or bargain hunters may indicate the wrong buyer pool is being targeted. That does not always mean the property is overpriced. It may mean the property is being marketed to the wrong audience or positioned in the wrong way. Long periods on the market can also create seller fatigue. Owners often become frustrated after months of uncertainty and begin making reactive decisions instead of strategic ones. That can lead to unnecessary price reductions, weaker leverage, and poor negotiation outcomes. Strategic Advice for Retail Property Owners How do you know if the issue is price or marketing? Start by looking at the quality of buyer activity. The goal is not simply generating attention. The goal is attracting qualified buyers who understand the property and have the ability to close. Before making major pricing adjustments, evaluate whether the issue may involve marketing and positioning instead of pricing itself. Weak marketing materials, poor presentation, limited buyer outreach, or failing to communicate the strengths of the property can reduce activity even when pricing is reasonable. When should you hold firm? You may be able to hold firm when multiple qualified buyers are still engaged, reviewing information, touring, or negotiating. Aggressive buyer comments do not always mean your price is wrong. Sometimes buyers are simply trying to improve their position. When should you adjust? You should consider adjusting when qualified buyers consistently identify the same concerns about pricing, lease risk, expenses, or future income stability. Repeated feedback from serious buyers should not be ignored. The key is responding strategically instead of emotionally. Waiting too long can weaken leverage, but overreacting too quickly can leave money on the table. Successful sellers protect leverage, maintain momentum, and keep the right buyers engaged throughout the process. Real Deal Insight We are seeing retail properties lose leverage not because the assets are weak, but because sellers either ignore legitimate market feedback or overreact to temporary uncertainty. Owner Self-Assessment If buyers are not moving forward on your property, are they rejecting the opportunity itself or are they negotiating strategically to improve their position? If your property is not generating the activity you expected, reach out directly. I will help you determine whether the issue is pricing, positioning, buyer targeting, lease structure, future expenses, or negotiation strategy before unnecessary value is lost. Are you interpreting buyer behavior correctly or reacting emotionally to uncertainty? In the next article, “How to Price Retail Property in a Buyer’s Market,” we will discuss how pricing strategy changes further when buyers gain more leverage and begin underwriting deals much more conservatively. Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide. #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #NNN #InvestmentSales #ShoppingCenters #StripCenters #CapRates #LosAngelesCRE #RetailProperty
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