Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • September 13, 2024
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A trolley is going up a hill on a city street.

How Far and Fast Will the Fed Cut Rates?


Investors hoping for swift and steep cuts may be disappointed as the U.S. central bank prepares to lower interest rates for the first time in more than four years.


A shopping cart filled with money next to a laptop computer.

Forrester: Amazon and Walmart to capture one-fourth of U.S. retail sales by 2029


Two retail giants are poised to dominate the U.S. retail landscape in the years to come. Amazon and Walmart have significantly increased their share of total and online retail sales in the U.S. during the past six years, according to Forrester’s “U.S. 


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A shoe carnival store is located in a brick building.

The big switch: Why Shoe Carnival is flipping some of its stores into Shoe Stations


Shoe Carnival is switching things up. The company has been engaging in tests of replacing some of its namesake stores with one of its other banners, Shoe Station. 


A starbucks store with a sign in the window

Starbucks to Re-Emphasize Role as Community Coffeehouse Under New CEO


The new executive said the brand has shifted from what made it great, in addition to an inflated menu, inconsistent product, and unreasonable wait times.



A map of the united states with a lot of cities on it

CVS shutters 19 stores, while dollar stores surge across the U.S.


Dollar stores continued to open rapidly across the U.S. in the second half of August, with Dollar General and Dollar Tree opening more than 100 locations combined.

The front of a big lots store with a closing sign.

Placer.ai: Big Lots closures indicate chain will focus on lower-income markets


Big Lots’ rightsizing effort that’s leading it to shutter about 300 of its nearly 1,400 stores indicates that the value merchandise chain intends to focus more closely on lower-income markets.

A freddy 's ice cream parlor is located in a parking lot at dusk.

Freddy's adds 21 stores to pipeline; to enter new state


Freddy’s Frozen Custard & Steakburgers is continuing to roll out plans for new stores.

A large building with a lot of cars parked in front of it.

Demand for retail space keeps rising despite limited availability


While concerns over an increase in store closing announcements dominated headlines, retail tenants remained firmly in expansion mode during the second quarter.

A map showing 99 cents only closures provide an opportunity for retailers.

What happened to Phoenix’s shuttered 99 Cents Only stores?


Discount retailer 99 Cents Only filed for bankruptcy protection in April 2024, closing 371 stores across the United States.

By Marc Perlof October 31, 2025
Fed Cuts Rates Again, Boosting Confidence in CRE Recovery In a closely watched decision, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month. The new target range of 3.75% to 4% reflects continued efforts to ease financial conditions and stabilize capital markets, even as economic signals remain mixed...
By Marc Perlof October 27, 2025
If you own retail real estate, here’s what might change for you. The hospitality workers’ union UNITE HERE Local 11 is pushing a bold new initiative to raise the City of Los Angeles $30 minimum wage for all city employees by July 1, 2028¹. While the first ordinance covered hotel and airport workers, the union’s latest ballot measure would extend this wage citywide². As an expert in retail real estate, here’s what that means for your properties. Higher wages will immediately impact tenant affordability and rent-to-sales ratio calculations that drive lease viability. Many retailers operate with payroll costs at 25 to 35 percent of gross revenue, leaving little cushion for a wage that’s nearly double the current state minimum of $16/hour³. When margins tighten, tenants face a choice: raise prices, cut staff, or negotiate rent. For landlords, that translates into valuation pressure because commercial property values depend on stable rental income. The small business impact in Los Angeles could be profound. Independent restaurants, boutiques, and service operators, the lifeblood of local shopping centers, run on razor-thin profits. If forced to meet a $30 wage, some may relocate to cities like Burbank or Glendale, where municipal wage laws are lower, or close entirely⁴. That shift could spark short-term vacancy spikes and longer lease-up periods. Still, there’s a possible upside. When low-wage workers earn more, they spend more locally. For well-positioned centers with necessity-based tenants: grocers, pharmacies, quick-service restaurants, rising wages could strengthen revenue resilience. Key takeaways for retail landlords: Audit tenant financial health and exposure to rising payroll costs. Review lease clauses that address operating-cost pass-throughs. Model new rent-to-sales thresholds under a $30 wage scenario. Track tenant retention and market-rent shifts across nearby cities. Prepare for valuation adjustments as cap rates reflect greater income volatility. If you own retail real estate in the City of Los Angeles, now’s the time to stress-test your portfolio. Let’s review your leases before this wage shift hits. Call or DM me for more information. When the $30 wage arrives, will higher pay strengthen LA’s consumer base or hollow out the city’s small-business retail core? #LosAngeles30MinimumWage #RetailRealEstateInLosAngeles #TenantAffordabilityAndRentToSalesRatio #SmallBusinessImpactLosAngeles #CommercialPropertyValuesLosAngeles
By Marc Perlof October 24, 2025
Toys"R"Us opening 10 flagships, 20 seasonal shops — here are all the locations The brick and mortar comeback of Toys"R"Us is moving into high gear ahead of the toy industry’s busiest season. In September, the retailer said that, in partnership with Go! Retail Group, it was planning to open 10 flagships and 20 seasonal holiday shops in the U.S. by year's end...
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