Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • September 20, 2024
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A graph showing the federal funds target rate

Fed Announces Big Rate Cut


We concluded that this was the right thing for the economy and the people we serve,” the Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell, said, referring to the central bank’s decision to cut interest rates by half a point.


A sign for the united states department of labor is in front of a large building

U.S. Inflation Eases to Lowest Level in Three Years


The consumer price index for August rose 0.2%, as expected, and 2.5% year-over-year, below forecasts for a 2.6% rise and a notably cooler pace than the 2.9% reading in July – the smallest increase since January 2021 and the fifth straight pullback. Core CPI inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3% in August versus expectations of 0.2% and 3.2% from a year ago, reported the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).


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A sign for aw burgers and floats is above a building

As it Returns to Growth, A&W’s Quality Remains its Value Proposition


There’s been some industry chatter lately of “getting to the other side.” Hold fort on price, as much as possible, and withstand soft traffic until consumer confidence rebounds on the downslope of inflation. It’s not an unfamiliar story. A&W has been around 105 years and navigated two pandemics, the Great Depression and Recession, and countless economic and societal twists along the way.

A mexican footwear retailer is opening a store in santa monica as its first outpost in the u.s.

Culto flagship shoe store to open on Santa Monica's Third Street Promenade


A Mexican footwear retailer is opening a store in Santa Monica as its first outpost in the U.S.


The front of a jewel shop with a sign that says liquidation

Santa Monica is the most expensive city to conduct business according to study


The cost of doing business in Santa Monica is exorbitantly high compared to other cities according to a new study published by Claremont McKenna College’s Rose Institute of State and Local Government.

A cup of bubble tea with a straw on a table.

Boba brand brings high-quality tea to Promenade


Originally concocted in 1980s Taiwan, the country is still bubbling with excitement over the product today, leading to Ronald Chan and Patrick Sun opening Odd One Out in 2022.

A person is pushing a shopping cart in a grocery store.

Americans are not feeling very positive about grocery, restaurants


For just the second time in nearly a quarter century, consumers aren’t feeling very happy about grocery stores, according to the latest Gallup Work and Education survey.

A shopping cart with a red arrow pointing upwards.

August grocery sales climb 7% YOY to $9.9B


The U.S. online grocery market ended August with $9.9 billion in monthly sales, a 7% increase over last year as all three fulfillment methods posted year-over-year sales growth according to the most recent Brick Meets Click/Mercatus Grocery Shopper Survey fielded August 30-31.

An artist 's impression of a costco store

Groundbreaking for Costco, apartment development in South Los Angeles slated for this week


The groundbreaking for a new mixed-used apartment development, which will bring the first Costco to South Los Angeles and 800 new apartments, is slated for Wednesday.

By Marc Perlof October 31, 2025
Fed Cuts Rates Again, Boosting Confidence in CRE Recovery In a closely watched decision, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month. The new target range of 3.75% to 4% reflects continued efforts to ease financial conditions and stabilize capital markets, even as economic signals remain mixed...
By Marc Perlof October 27, 2025
If you own retail real estate, here’s what might change for you. The hospitality workers’ union UNITE HERE Local 11 is pushing a bold new initiative to raise the City of Los Angeles $30 minimum wage for all city employees by July 1, 2028¹. While the first ordinance covered hotel and airport workers, the union’s latest ballot measure would extend this wage citywide². As an expert in retail real estate, here’s what that means for your properties. Higher wages will immediately impact tenant affordability and rent-to-sales ratio calculations that drive lease viability. Many retailers operate with payroll costs at 25 to 35 percent of gross revenue, leaving little cushion for a wage that’s nearly double the current state minimum of $16/hour³. When margins tighten, tenants face a choice: raise prices, cut staff, or negotiate rent. For landlords, that translates into valuation pressure because commercial property values depend on stable rental income. The small business impact in Los Angeles could be profound. Independent restaurants, boutiques, and service operators, the lifeblood of local shopping centers, run on razor-thin profits. If forced to meet a $30 wage, some may relocate to cities like Burbank or Glendale, where municipal wage laws are lower, or close entirely⁴. That shift could spark short-term vacancy spikes and longer lease-up periods. Still, there’s a possible upside. When low-wage workers earn more, they spend more locally. For well-positioned centers with necessity-based tenants: grocers, pharmacies, quick-service restaurants, rising wages could strengthen revenue resilience. Key takeaways for retail landlords: Audit tenant financial health and exposure to rising payroll costs. Review lease clauses that address operating-cost pass-throughs. Model new rent-to-sales thresholds under a $30 wage scenario. Track tenant retention and market-rent shifts across nearby cities. Prepare for valuation adjustments as cap rates reflect greater income volatility. If you own retail real estate in the City of Los Angeles, now’s the time to stress-test your portfolio. Let’s review your leases before this wage shift hits. Call or DM me for more information. When the $30 wage arrives, will higher pay strengthen LA’s consumer base or hollow out the city’s small-business retail core? #LosAngeles30MinimumWage #RetailRealEstateInLosAngeles #TenantAffordabilityAndRentToSalesRatio #SmallBusinessImpactLosAngeles #CommercialPropertyValuesLosAngeles
By Marc Perlof October 24, 2025
Toys"R"Us opening 10 flagships, 20 seasonal shops — here are all the locations The brick and mortar comeback of Toys"R"Us is moving into high gear ahead of the toy industry’s busiest season. In September, the retailer said that, in partnership with Go! Retail Group, it was planning to open 10 flagships and 20 seasonal holiday shops in the U.S. by year's end...
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