Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • June 26, 2026
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10-year Treasury yield is little changed after May inflation data comes in as expected


U.S. Treasury yields were relatively unchanged on Thursday as Wall Street assessed key inflation data for May.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note — the key benchmark for mortgages, auto loans and credit card debt — fell less than 1 basis point to 4.396%.


The 2-year Treasury note yield, which more closely tracks short-term Federal Reserve interest rate policy, declined 1 basis point to 4.127%. The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield was up less than 1 basis point at 4.861%...


The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

Circana: Toy unit sales increase 5% to start 2026


Despite shaky consumer sentiment, the U.S. toy industry is off to a strong start to the year.

New data from Circana reveals that the toy category posted 13% dollar growth from January through April compared to the same period last year. Unit sales increased by 5%, while average selling price (ASP) grew by 7%.



Seven of the 11 "supercategories" tracked by Circana posted dollar gains, with the majority posting growth in dollars, units and ASP. The top-performing segments were games and puzzles (39% year-over-year increase), driven by Pokémon; explorative and other toys (36%), led by Major League Baseball (MLB) and NeeDoh; and building sets (20%), driven by LEGO Botanicals and Formula 1 sets...


An elevated outdoor view of a modern shopping mall promenade with manicured greenery, palm trees, and pedestrians.

Walmart Pilots Dark Store Depots For Faster Last-Mile Delivery

Walmart is doubling down on last-mile delivery speed by testing so-called “Spark Delivery Depots” in vacant retail locations, according to Talk Business & Politics. The latest dark store was set up in a shuttered Walgreens at 2964 W. Martin Luther King Blvd. in Fayetteville, Arkansas, joining earlier efforts in Dallas and with more planned in Poughkeepsie, NY, and Carlstadt, NJ. These dark stores are closed to walk-in customers and serve as rapid fulfillment points for online orders, targeting delivery speeds as fast as 30 minutes in select markets for a $10 express fee..

The American flag waves against a bright blue sky between towering glass skyscrapers, viewed from a low angle.

Retailer Olive Young's expansion mirrors K-beauty demand in US



For the past decade, a beauty trend from Korea has swept the United States in the form of face creams and other skin care products. The phenomenon, dubbed K-beauty, is moving from social media onto the shelves of national chains — and reshaping commercial real estate.

Olive Young, South Korea’s largest beauty chain, is using the Los Angeles area as a launchpad for national growth, opening this month at Westfield Century City, just a few weeks after it started business at its first U.S. store about 20 miles away, in Pasadena...


A flat, single-story retail building with a

The Container Store + Bed Bath & Beyond concept expands to 22 locations — here's where


Bed Bath & Beyond and The Container Store’s retail co-branding efforts have expanded.

After the two retailers opened their first location in Fort Worth, Texas, on May 16, the concept is rolling out to nearly two dozen stores in “phase one” of the expansion (see locations later in article). In April, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. announced plans to purchase The Container Store for $150 million in stock and convertible notes, and later announced plans for a “phased integration” of The Container Store’s 98 locations to include Bed Bath & Beyond merchandise...

The main entrance of the NuHAA building, featuring a modern glass and stone facade, at sunset.

US Core Retail Sales Hit Record as Shoppers Shift Online

US shoppers continued to open their wallets in May despite high gas prices and persistent cost pressures, with core retail sales rising 0.5% month-over-month and 5.6% on the year, according to Marcus & Millichap Research Services. The data signals that, even as headline inflation outpaced wage growth for a second consecutive month, households were willing to dig into their savings and spend on day-to-day goods. Yet not all retail categories shared equally; general merchandise, miscellaneous retail, and online stores notched record sales, while spending in restaurants and electronics dipped as some consumers trimmed discretionary budgets...

A green Publix Food & Pharmacy sign mounted on a white and beige building exterior against a blue sky.

Kroger beats Street with Q1 revenues, misses on earnings

The Kroger Co. exceeded analyst projections for sales with help from e-commerce, even as it came in slightly below expectations for profits.

The supermarket giant reported net earnings of $903 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 ended May 23, 2026, up 4% from $866 million during the first quarter of the prior fiscal year. On an adjusted basis, the company earned $1.58 per share, just missing consensus estimates of $1.59 per share but up from $1.49 in the previous period...



Changes in Retail Real Estate Nationwide Have Accelerated: Forum

Kicking off a panel on the nature of experiential retail and the future of destination developments during Commercial Observer’s recent Retail & Hospitality Forum, Nima Fazeli, senior vice president of development for the H.wood Group, made a statement that should have seemed more shocking than it was.

“I don’t think you can really differentiate the different asset classes anymore,” Fazeli said of commercial real estate in general. “I think everybody in this room would agree that it’s all becoming blended into one homogeneous experience...”

Construction Costs Jump 9.6% as Materials Spike in May

Post-Pandemic Inflation Hits Construction Input Costs


Construction input costs surged in May, with Associated General Contractors (AGC) and Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) reporting the highest annual increase since the pandemic first disrupted supply chains. According to Multifamily Dive, the 9.6% year-over-year jump is double the growth rate of the broader US consumer price index, signaling a new round of inflationary pressure across the sector. The report shows that contractors are facing faster-rising input costs every month in 2026, a reversal from trends seen during the previous year, when costs had briefly stabilized...

By Marc Perlof August 10, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 August 3, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. When a retail property owner hears that a tenant wants a tenant improvement allowance, the first reaction is often about the amount: “How much are they asking for?” That matters, but it is not the first question an owner should ask. The better question is: Does investing this money make financial sense for this property and this lease? A tenant improvement allowance, commonly called TI, is money the landlord agrees to contribute toward improvements to the tenant’s space. Depending on the deal, that money may help pay for flooring, walls, electrical work, plumbing, HVAC, restrooms, lighting, or other improvements. TI is common in many retail leases. But that does not mean every TI request is a good investment. For the property owner, TI is capital being invested into a lease. The return depends on the rent, lease term, tenant strength, cost of vacancy, and what happens to the space in the future. That is the real underwriting question. The Wrong Question: How Much TI Is Market? Owners often ask, “What is the market TI allowance?” There is nothing wrong with understanding the market. The problem is treating a market number as an automatic answer. Two tenants asking for the same TI allowance can create completely different investments for the landlord. One tenant may sign a long term lease, pay strong rent, provide a solid guaranty, and build improvements that could be useful to a future tenant. Another tenant may want the same TI allowance but offer weaker rent, limited financial strength, a shorter lease term, and highly specialized improvements that could be expensive to remove later. The TI amount may be the same. The risk is not. That is why TI should never be reviewed by itself. TI Is Part of the Entire Lease Investment A landlord should look at the entire economic package. That includes total TI dollars, starting rent, annual rent increases, lease term, free rent, leasing commissions, tenant credit, personal or corporate guaranties, options to extend, rent during option periods, reuse value of the improvements, and the cost and risk of continued vacancy. For example, an owner may agree to a larger TI allowance because the tenant is signing a longer lease with stronger rent increases and a strong guaranty. In another deal, even a smaller TI allowance may be too risky because the tenant is financially weak or the lease does not give the owner enough time to recover the investment. The TI number alone does not tell you whether the deal is good. The full lease economics do. Saying No to TI Can Also Be Expensive Some owners take the position that they will never pay TI. That may feel financially conservative, but it is not always the lowest risk decision. Vacancy has a cost. An empty space may mean lost base rent, lost NNN reimbursements, continued ownership expenses, maintenance, security concerns, and uncertainty about when the next qualified tenant will appear. If an owner refuses a reasonable TI investment and the space remains vacant for another year, the cost of that vacancy may be greater than the TI allowance that could have completed the lease. This does not mean an owner should accept every TI request. But saying no to TI does not always mean the owner avoids the cost. A tenant may agree to take the space without a TI allowance but require lower rent, more free rent, or other concessions instead. The Existing Condition of the Space Matters Not all retail spaces start from the same position. A second-generation space may already have usable flooring, restrooms, electrical systems, HVAC, lighting, plumbing, and a functional layout. A tenant may need only limited changes before opening. A shell space or heavily damaged space may require much more capital. The type of improvements also matters. A specialized user may require a buildout that has little value to the next tenant. A more general retail buildout may have broader reuse value. Owners should ask a simple question: If this tenant leaves, what am I left with? If the improvements are likely to help lease the space again, part of the TI investment may create longer term value. If the improvements are highly specialized, the owner may face another large capital expense when the tenant leaves. That risk should be considered before the lease is signed, not after the tenant moves out. Lease Term Matters A larger TI investment generally requires enough lease term and income to justify the risk. If an owner spends significant money improving a space but the lease term is too short, the owner may not have enough time to recover the investment before facing another lease negotiation. A longer lease does not automatically make a bad TI deal good. The owner still needs to understand how much capital is being invested and how much income the lease is expected to produce. This is where owners can make mistakes by focusing only on the monthly rent. A lease can produce attractive rent and still require a large upfront investment. The question is not only how much rent will be collected. It is how much capital and risk were required to create that income. Tenant Strength Changes the Risk The same TI investment can have very different risk depending on the tenant. An established tenant with strong financials may create one risk profile. A new business with limited operating history may create another. This does not mean a landlord should never invest in a new business. It means the investment should match the risk. If the landlord is putting substantial money into the space, the owner should pay closer attention to the lease term, security deposit, guaranty, rent structure, TI payment process, and what happens if the tenant never opens or defaults early. A landlord investing heavily into a tenant’s space is doing more than filling a vacancy. The landlord is taking investment risk. That risk should be priced and structured accordingly. TI Should Be Compared with the Cost of Doing Nothing One of the most useful exercises for an owner is comparing the TI request against the cost of staying vacant. For example, assume a 2,000 square foot retail space can be leased for $4.00 per square foot per month. That is $8,000 per month, or $96,000 per year, before expenses. Now assume the tenant asks for a $40,000 TI allowance. At first, the $40,000 may feel expensive. But if the owner rejects the deal and the space sits vacant for six more months, the owner may lose $48,000 in base rent alone. That does not include lost NNN reimbursements, maintenance, insurance, taxes, utilities, or the risk that the next tenant also asks for TI. That does not mean the owner should automatically say yes. It means the owner should compare the TI cost against the real cost of waiting. A strong retail location with multiple interested tenants may give the owner more leverage. A difficult vacancy with fewer qualified tenants may require a different strategy. The goal is not to be generous with TI. The goal is to make the decision that produces the best result after rent, time, risk, and capital are all considered. Think Like an Investor, Not Just a Landlord The best TI decisions come from treating the allowance as an investment. Before agreeing to the amount, ask: How much total capital am I investing? What lease income and term am I receiving in return? How strong is the tenant and the guaranty? What happens to my investment if the tenant defaults? What is the realistic cost and risk of staying vacant? These questions move the discussion away from whether a TI allowance is “normal” and toward whether the lease makes financial sense. That is where owners should focus. Final Thought A tenant improvement allowance is not automatically good or bad. It is an investment decision. Paying too much TI for weak lease economics can create unnecessary risk. Refusing reasonable TI and allowing a space to remain vacant can also hurt the property. The right answer depends on the rent, lease term, tenant strength, property condition, vacancy risk, and long-term value of the improvements. Before agreeing to TI, understand what you are investing, what you are receiving in return, and what happens if the lease does not go as planned. If a tenant asked you for a large TI allowance today, would you know how to determine whether it is a good investment or just an expensive way to fill a vacancy? In next week’s blog, “ How TI Allowances Are Paid and Why the Details Matter” , we will look at reimbursements, draw schedules, invoices, lien releases, cost overruns, and why the payment process should be clear before construction begins. Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide. #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #RetailLeasing #TenantImprovements #TIAllowance #CREInvestment #MarcRetailGuy
By Marc Perlof August 7, 2026
10-Year Treasury Yield Falls to 4.625% — Data Talk The 10-year yield declined 0.059 percentage point to 4.625% today. The price rose 14/32 to 98 1/32. --Yield is down for two consecutive trading days --Yield is down 0.118 percentage point over the last two trading days --Largest two-day yield decline since Tuesday, March 31, 2026 --Yield is off 0.118 percentage point from its 52-week high of 4.743% hit Friday, July 31, 2026...
By Marc Perlof August 3, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 August 3, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. When a retail property owner hears that a tenant wants a tenant improvement allowance, the first reaction is often about the amount: “How much are they asking for?” That matters, but it is not the first question an owner should ask. The better question is: Does investing this money make financial sense for this property and this lease? A tenant improvement allowance, commonly called TI, is money the landlord agrees to contribute toward improvements to the tenant’s space. Depending on the deal, that money may help pay for flooring, walls, electrical work, plumbing, HVAC, restrooms, lighting, or other improvements. TI is common in many retail leases. But that does not mean every TI request is a good investment. For the property owner, TI is capital being invested into a lease. The return depends on the rent, lease term, tenant strength, cost of vacancy, and what happens to the space in the future. That is the real underwriting question. The Wrong Question: How Much TI Is Market? Owners often ask, “What is the market TI allowance?” There is nothing wrong with understanding the market. The problem is treating a market number as an automatic answer. Two tenants asking for the same TI allowance can create completely different investments for the landlord. One tenant may sign a long term lease, pay strong rent, provide a solid guaranty, and build improvements that could be useful to a future tenant. Another tenant may want the same TI allowance but offer weaker rent, limited financial strength, a shorter lease term, and highly specialized improvements that could be expensive to remove later. The TI amount may be the same. The risk is not. That is why TI should never be reviewed by itself. TI Is Part of the Entire Lease Investment A landlord should look at the entire economic package. That includes total TI dollars, starting rent, annual rent increases, lease term, free rent, leasing commissions, tenant credit, personal or corporate guaranties, options to extend, rent during option periods, reuse value of the improvements, and the cost and risk of continued vacancy. For example, an owner may agree to a larger TI allowance because the tenant is signing a longer lease with stronger rent increases and a strong guaranty. In another deal, even a smaller TI allowance may be too risky because the tenant is financially weak or the lease does not give the owner enough time to recover the investment. The TI number alone does not tell you whether the deal is good. The full lease economics do. Saying No to TI Can Also Be Expensive Some owners take the position that they will never pay TI. That may feel financially conservative, but it is not always the lowest risk decision. Vacancy has a cost. An empty space may mean lost base rent, lost NNN reimbursements, continued ownership expenses, maintenance, security concerns, and uncertainty about when the next qualified tenant will appear. If an owner refuses a reasonable TI investment and the space remains vacant for another year, the cost of that vacancy may be greater than the TI allowance that could have completed the lease. This does not mean an owner should accept every TI request. But saying no to TI does not always mean the owner avoids the cost. A tenant may agree to take the space without a TI allowance but require lower rent, more free rent, or other concessions instead. The Existing Condition of the Space Matters Not all retail spaces start from the same position. A second-generation space may already have usable flooring, restrooms, electrical systems, HVAC, lighting, plumbing, and a functional layout. A tenant may need only limited changes before opening. A shell space or heavily damaged space may require much more capital. The type of improvements also matters. A specialized user may require a buildout that has little value to the next tenant. A more general retail buildout may have broader reuse value. Owners should ask a simple question: If this tenant leaves, what am I left with? If the improvements are likely to help lease the space again, part of the TI investment may create longer term value. If the improvements are highly specialized, the owner may face another large capital expense when the tenant leaves. That risk should be considered before the lease is signed, not after the tenant moves out. Lease Term Matters A larger TI investment generally requires enough lease term and income to justify the risk. If an owner spends significant money improving a space but the lease term is too short, the owner may not have enough time to recover the investment before facing another lease negotiation. A longer lease does not automatically make a bad TI deal good. The owner still needs to understand how much capital is being invested and how much income the lease is expected to produce. This is where owners can make mistakes by focusing only on the monthly rent. A lease can produce attractive rent and still require a large upfront investment. The question is not only how much rent will be collected. It is how much capital and risk were required to create that income. Tenant Strength Changes the Risk The same TI investment can have very different risk depending on the tenant. An established tenant with strong financials may create one risk profile. A new business with limited operating history may create another. This does not mean a landlord should never invest in a new business. It means the investment should match the risk. If the landlord is putting substantial money into the space, the owner should pay closer attention to the lease term, security deposit, guaranty, rent structure, TI payment process, and what happens if the tenant never opens or defaults early. A landlord investing heavily into a tenant’s space is doing more than filling a vacancy. The landlord is taking investment risk. That risk should be priced and structured accordingly. TI Should Be Compared with the Cost of Doing Nothing One of the most useful exercises for an owner is comparing the TI request against the cost of staying vacant. For example, assume a 2,000 square foot retail space can be leased for $4.00 per square foot per month. That is $8,000 per month, or $96,000 per year, before expenses. Now assume the tenant asks for a $40,000 TI allowance. At first, the $40,000 may feel expensive. But if the owner rejects the deal and the space sits vacant for six more months, the owner may lose $48,000 in base rent alone. That does not include lost NNN reimbursements, maintenance, insurance, taxes, utilities, or the risk that the next tenant also asks for TI. That does not mean the owner should automatically say yes. It means the owner should compare the TI cost against the real cost of waiting. A strong retail location with multiple interested tenants may give the owner more leverage. A difficult vacancy with fewer qualified tenants may require a different strategy. The goal is not to be generous with TI. The goal is to make the decision that produces the best result after rent, time, risk, and capital are all considered. Think Like an Investor, Not Just a Landlord The best TI decisions come from treating the allowance as an investment. Before agreeing to the amount, ask: How much total capital am I investing? What lease income and term am I receiving in return? How strong is the tenant and the guaranty? What happens to my investment if the tenant defaults? What is the realistic cost and risk of staying vacant? These questions move the discussion away from whether a TI allowance is “normal” and toward whether the lease makes financial sense. That is where owners should focus. Final Thought A tenant improvement allowance is not automatically good or bad. It is an investment decision. Paying too much TI for weak lease economics can create unnecessary risk. Refusing reasonable TI and allowing a space to remain vacant can also hurt the property. The right answer depends on the rent, lease term, tenant strength, property condition, vacancy risk, and long-term value of the improvements. Before agreeing to TI, understand what you are investing, what you are receiving in return, and what happens if the lease does not go as planned. If a tenant asked you for a large TI allowance today, would you know how to determine whether it is a good investment or just an expensive way to fill a vacancy? In next week’s blog, “ How TI Allowances Are Paid and Why the Details Matter” , we will look at reimbursements, draw schedules, invoices, lien releases, cost overruns, and why the payment process should be clear before construction begins. Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide. #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #RetailLeasing #TenantImprovements #TIAllowance #CREInvestment #MarcRetailGuy
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