Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • January 2, 2026
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Holiday Spending Drives Retail Gains


Holiday retail spending grew 4.2% in the US as in-store sales captured 73% of spend, with strong gains in electronics and apparel...

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DC-area restaurant closings rise, with midpriced dining hit hardest

Restaurant closings in and around Washington, D.C., increased more than 25% this year, with midpriced establishments hit the hardest, as the industry endured mounting obstacles to attract diners and make a profit.

At least 92 eateries closed this year through November, already surpassing 2024's total of 73, according to a Restaurant Association Metropolitan Washington survey of more than 140 restaurants conducted in the fall. During the same period, openings totaled 109, down 30% from 2024, the group said...


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Five trends that shaped retail performance in 2025


While many were calling for 2025 to be the year that the U.S. retail sector turned downward, it remained resilient in the face of rising closures and bankruptcies. In fact, the second half of this year is shaping up to be one of the best-performing halves of the past decade.

Here are five key trends that drove the retail sector's performance in 2025...


The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

Retail Centers Show Resilience in 2025 Performance Trends

Despite predictions of a downturn, retail centers performed strongly in 2025, reports CoStar. Resilient consumer spending, particularly among higher-income groups, supported retail sales and in turn, demand for retail space. US retail sales rose 3.5% year-over-year, with personal consumption expenditures up 2.8%, helping retail fundamentals remain stable even as inflation cooled to 2.8%...

Trader Joe's adds to US holdings with one of Santa Monica’s biggest retail deals


Supermarket chain Trader Joe's has purchased a former Rite Aid store in one of Southern California's most affluent cities, adding to the grocer's growing portfolio of owned properties across the nation.


Monrovia, California-based Trader Joe’s, known for its value-priced, private-label groceries, bought a freestanding vacant retail store in Santa Monica for $22 million, or about $1,200 per square foot, from a private family trust, according to CoStar data. Rite Aid vacated the space this year as part of its Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing...

How this eatery aims to be the next big mall snack

The founder behind Japanese rice snack chain Onigilly is preparing a retail rollout that aims to turn the once-niche food ubiquitous in Japan into a fixture in Southern California's shopping centers as small food spaces become more common in U.S. malls.



Koji Kanematsu, a former computer systems developer, founded Onigilly after moving to San Francisco from Japan in 2006. The company's name leans into the Japanese pronunciation of onigiri, a small triangular snack made from seasoned short-grain rice and fillings such as cooked tuna, salmon and even fried chicken wrapped in a strip of crisp nori seaweed...


Retail Spending Trends Defy Consumer Sentiment


Retail spending trends remain surprisingly robust, with holiday-period sales increasing by around 4% year-over-year, according to Mastercard and Visa data. However, Globe St reports that once inflation is accounted for, this growth flattens, revealing that Americans are spending more dollars but not necessarily purchasing more goods. These trends come amid declining consumer sentiment since April 2024, underscoring growing uncertainty in the retail sector...

By Marc Perlof May 22, 2026
Retail Real Estate Leaders Brace for Inflation Risks Retail real estate professionals arrived at ICSC Las Vegas this week with leasing momentum still intact, but economic anxiety creeping into conversations across the industry’s biggest annual gathering. Executives interviewed by CoStar News said resilient consumer spending and active retailer demand continue to support the sector, even as inflation, fuel prices, and global instability cloud the outlook for the second half of 2026...
By Marc Perlof May 18, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 May 18, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. In some situations, removing the price can lead to stronger offers. This approach allows the market to determine value instead of limiting it upfront. When used correctly, it can create competition and improve your outcome. More retail properties are being marketed without a price. Brokers are using offer-driven strategies to let buyers compete based on their own assumptions. What is causing it? Differences in buyer expectations and uncertainty in valuation are driving this shift. In many cases, investors and developers value the same property differently, especially when there is upside or redevelopment potential. How does removing the price affect your value? Removing the price can eliminate the ceiling. Buyers are not anchored to a specific number, which can lead to stronger offers when demand is present. When multiple buyers are involved, this approach can create competition and push pricing higher. What is the risk? If demand is limited, offers may come in below expectations. This often happens when the buyer pool is thin or when the property has uncertainty, such as a short lease term, tenant risk, or redevelopment challenges. When should you use Request for Offers? Use it when there is strong demand and the property is expected to attract multiple buyers. Even in these situations, active buyers and brokers will often ask for pricing guidance or a whisper price to understand where the seller expects the deal to trade. When should you use a more flexible approach? Use submit offers when you want flexibility and are testing the market. This approach allows you to respond to buyer feedback while still maintaining control of the process. Some properties are marketed without a price because the broker does not have a clear view of value. That is not the same as a strategy. When used correctly, removing the price is intentional and supported by buyer demand, positioning, and a defined process. Without that structure, it can create confusion and weaker results. We are seeing strong assets generate multiple offers with this approach, while weaker deals struggle to gain traction without pricing guidance. This strategy is not about avoiding a price. It is about allowing the market to define it when the conditions support it. If you need context, review Part 2: “Should You List Your Retail Property With an Asking Price?” In next week’s final article, read “How Strategic Underpricing Can Increase Your Retail Property Sale Price” (Part 4) , including one approach many owners overlook. If you are considering an offer-driven strategy, reach out before going to market. I will help you determine if your property can support it and how to structure it properly. Call or DM me for more information. Would removing your price increase your value or create uncertainty? Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide. #RetailRealEstate #CRE #InvestmentProperty #CommercialBroker #LosAngelesRealEstate #NNN #RetailInvesting #PropertySales
By Marc Perlof May 15, 2026
CPI surged in April as inflation soars to highest level in almost 3 years Inflation accelerated in April to an annual rate of 3.8%, the highest since May 2023, as the Iran war pushed up energy costs and raised prices across the economy. By the numbers Economists predicted inflation would jump to 3.7% on an annual basis, up from the 3.3% reading in March, according to a FactSet poll.
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