Weekly Retail Real Estate News

Marc Perlof • November 17, 2023
In-N-Out Plots Move into New Mexico

In-N-Out announced Tuesday that it will enter a new market in New Mexico, a rare, but increasingly common move for the decades-old family chain. The burger brand is in the early stages of planning its first restaurants in the state. Openings in Albuquerque should happen by 2027. Expansion into other cities are expected beyond that. In-N-Out will use a distribution facility in Colorado Springs to deliver products to the upcoming New Mexico locations.


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DTSM selects new security company set to patrol the Promenade and Downtown districts


In a lengthy, five hour-plus meeting, the Downtown Santa Monica, Inc. (DTSM) board of directors who were gathered at the Third St HQ, along with members of the public and representatives from the Santa Monica Police Department, voted on which new security company would be offered the contract to patrol the Promenade and Downtown districts.


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Why You Should Negotiate a Lease’s Assignment and Subletting Clause

 

For many landlords looking to lease their ground floor retail space, franchisee tenants are an attractive proposition for several reasons. One, there is a track record. The landlord isn’t giving an improvement allowance and paying brokerage commissions in connection with a lease to a new concept tenant that may fail and force the landlord to re-market the space again soon. A franchise is a true-and-tried concept with a brand recognition that should be able to drive traffic and justify the investments by the landlord.

 

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Santa Monica to get its own ‘sphere’ (two, actually)


In the Downtown Santa Monica, Inc. (DTSM) board meeting last Thursday, members voted unanimously to move ahead with a 360 degree immersive ‘dome’ entertainment activation on the former site of Parking Structure 3. The project will consist of two, 360 degree immersive entertainment domes, very much like the new Sphere in Las Vegas, that has been attracting a lot of attention recently. While these will be very similar in nature they will be significantly scaled down, with one dome being 100 ft in diameter and the other being 180 ft. (To compare, the Sphere is nearly three times that size, at 516 ft in diameter.)


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61-Unit Wendy’s Franchisee Declares Bankruptcy


A 61-unit Wendy’s franchisee declared bankruptcy Tuesday after suffering from “post-COVID consumer habits, ever-increasing costs to do business, and significantly higher interest rates,” CEO Andrew Levy said.

Florida-based Starboard Group operates restaurants across Florida, Alabama, Illinois, Missouri, and Wisconsin. The company shuttered nine locations shortly before the filing. Collectively, these stores accounted for $1.5 million of $2 million in annual losses. Two additional units shut down prior to this move as well. More closures of underperforming stores—or ones with large remodel obligations—will likely happen in the future.

 

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Real estate can use generative AI to turn the industry’s data into treasure in seven steps.


Generative AI (gen AI) is maturing at an auspicious moment for the real estate industry. Investors have mountains of both proprietary and third-party data about properties, communities, tenants, and the market itself. This information can be used to customize existing gen AI tools so that they can perform real estate–specific tasks, such as identifying opportunities for investors at lightning speed, revolutionizing building and interior design, creating marketing materials, and facilitating customer journeys while opening up new revenue streams.

 

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BuyBuy Baby plots 100 stores; will open 11 on Nov. 18 — here are the locations


BuyBuy Baby is ready for its brick-and-mortar comeback. The specialty baby products retailer is opening 11 stores on Saturday, November 18, with locations stretching from Massachusetts to Maryland. (See list of locations at end of article.)The openings come less than four months after BuyBuy Baby was purchased out of bankruptcy by baby goods manufacturer Dream on Me and shuttered all its stores.

 

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Private equity firm Aurelius to acquire The Body Shop


The Body Shop is getting a new owner — for a bargain. Brazil-based cosmetics conglomerate Natura & Co said it reached an agreement to sell the natural beauty products pioneer to U.K. private equity group Aurelius. The transaction is valued at £207 million ($254 million), a steep decline from the $1.2 billion Natura paid to acquire The Body Shop from L’Oréal in 2017.

 

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Boot Barn to open 52 stores in 2024


Boot Barn Holdings remains committed to store expansion despite a soft second-quarter.  The retailer of Western-styled and work-related apparel and footwear opened 10 stores during its second quarter,  bringing its total store count to 371. Looking ahead, Boot Barn,
Chain Store Age’s 2023 Breakout Retailers award winner, plans to open 52 locations in 2024. In May 2022,  the company upped its long-term potential to approximately 900 stores.

 

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172-Unit Burger King Franchisee Declares Bankruptcy


Premier Kings, a 172-unit Burger King franchisee, declared bankruptcy in late October after the death of its owner created operational instability. It’s the third Burger King franchisee to enter court proceedings this year. The company was founded in 2009 by Manraj Sidhu. He started with six stores in the Birmingham, Alabama, market and expanded in 2014 with 34 more units throughout Alabama, Georgia, and Tennessee. From 2015 to 2021, 100-plus restaurants entered the portfolio in Tennessee, Florida, and South Carolina. Premier Kings earned $233.3 million and $255 million in sales in 2021 and 2020, respectively.


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By Marc Perlof March 20, 2026
Santa Monica Airport Conversion Project Unveiled By City SANTA MONICA, CA — Following a nearly two-year public engagement process, the city has released a draft Framework Diagram for the Santa Monica Airport Conversion Project. "The Framework Diagram brings many ideas together to find common ground about what should go where and what types of uses belong in different areas of the site," the City of Santa Monica explained in a March 11 news release....
By Marc Perlof March 16, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 March 16, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. Retail property owners are asking a simple question today. Is the market about to change? Several economic signals moved quickly over the past two weeks. Oil prices surged as conflict disrupted major energy supply routes. The U.S. job market also weakened unexpectedly during the same period. Financial markets have become more volatile as investors reassess economic risks. When oil prices rise and hiring slows, real estate investors begin adjusting risk assumptions. These adjustments often appear first in lender loan standards and buyer pricing. For retail property owners, these shifts can influence demand and property values. Owners of strip centers, shopping centers, store front retail, and NNN retail properties (multi-tenant and single tenant) should watch closely. Understanding these signals early can help protect property value and guide decisions. Market Analysis and Trends Energy markets reacted first. Brent crude oil recently surged above $100 per barrel. The increase followed conflict disrupting shipping routes and global oil supply.¹ Much of the concern involves the Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor. Roughly 20 percent of global oil supply normally passes through this route. Even small disruptions there can quickly affect shipping costs and supply chains.¹ Consumers often feel the impact through gasoline prices. Since late February, U.S. gasoline prices increased more than 15 percent. Prices reached roughly $3.47 per gallon in early March.¹ In Southern California, fuel prices are usually among the highest nationally. Drivers in the region are already paying significantly more at the pump. Higher fuel costs can quickly strain household budgets. This often reduces spending at restaurants and other nonessential retail businesses. The labor market also signaled caution. The U.S. economy lost about 92,000 jobs in February 2026. Unemployment rose to approximately 4.4 percent during the same period.² Slower hiring typically leads to reduced consumer spending several months later. When advising retail property owners, I track three important property risks. These include tenant margin pressure, lender loan standard changes, and buyer cap rate expectations. Key signals retail property owners should monitor include: Brent crude oil moving above $100 per barrel during Middle East supply disruptions.¹ U.S. gasoline prices rising more than 15% since late February.¹ The U.S. economy losing roughly 92,000 jobs in February while unemployment increased.² Essential Retail vs Nonessential Retail Retail categories respond differently during periods of economic stress. Essential retail includes grocery anchored centers, pharmacies, and daily service tenants. These businesses usually remain stable during economic disruptions. Consumers still need basic goods even when household budgets tighten.³ Nonessential retail categories are more sensitive to economic pressure. Restaurants, entertainment venues, and similar tenants often experience softer sales first. This usually happens when consumers reduce spending. For property owners, tenant mix becomes especially important during economic uncertainty. Centers anchored by essential tenants often remain more stable. Properties dominated by nonessential retail may experience greater sales volatility. Strategic Advice for Retail Property Owners Economic uncertainty is a good time to review several property fundamentals. 1. Review tenant stability Evaluate tenant sales performance, credit strength, and upcoming lease expirations. 2. Monitor capital markets Lenders and investors may begin tightening loan standards as risks increase. 3. Evaluate sale timing carefully Markets sometimes offer short windows before buyer pricing adjusts to new conditions. Even a 1/4% to 1/2% increase in cap rates can affect property values. For example, a $6 million retail property valued at a 6% cap rate generates about $360,000 in annual income. If buyer expectations move to a 6.5% cap rate, value could fall near $5.5 million. If you own retail property and are wondering how these economic signals could affect buyer pricing or cap rates for your asset, this is exactly the type of analysis I help owners evaluate before making a sale or hold decision. If investor cap rates in your market moved just 1/2% higher, how much would the value of your retail property change? Investor Behavior During Uncertain Markets Market volatility often changes how investors evaluate retail properties. Research shows that investors prefer assets with stable income during uncertain periods. Properties with strong tenants and longer lease terms usually attract the most buyer interest.³ Assets with predictable cash flow often perform better during market uncertainty. Properties with weaker tenants or short lease terms may face greater scrutiny. For retail property owners, tenant quality and lease structure matter even more in volatile markets. What This Means for Retail Property Owners Retail property values depend on more than location. Energy prices, employment trends, and capital markets also influence buyer demand. If oil prices stay elevated and hiring slows, investors may become more selective. Properties with weaker tenants or short lease terms may see pricing pressure first. Well located shopping centers with strong tenants and long leases usually remain more resilient. Owners who monitor these signals early often have more strategic options. If economic uncertainty continues over the next twelve months, how strong are the tenants in your retail property? #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #NNNProperties #ShoppingCenters #RetailPropertyOwners #CREInvesting #RealEstateInvestors #CREMarketInsights #RealEstateTrends #CaliforniaRealEstate #LosAngelesRealEstate #CapRates
By Marc Perlof March 13, 2026
US consumer inflation steady before Iran conflict drives up oil prices WASHINGTON, March 11 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices rose moderately in February as rents maintained a steady pace of increases, though households paid more for gasoline and at the supermarket and higher costs are in store because of the escalating war in the Middle East .  The Consumer Price Index report from the Labor Department on Wednesday, which also showed underlying inflation muted ​last month, covered the period before the U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran. The attacks at the end of February were met with retaliation by Tehran and have boosted oil prices...
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