Weekly Retail Real Estate News

Marc Perlof • September 22, 2023
The Fed Maintains Its Wait-and-See Stance


The Federal Reserve’s policy-setting committee on Wednesday voted to leave its policy rate unchanged, suggesting that the economy is moving in the right direction and inflation impulses are easing. The decision leaves the overnight lending target rate for banks at between 5.25% and 5.5%, which the Fed believes is restrictive territory or a level that constrains economic growth.The last time the committee raised rates was at its July meeting.

 

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Portillo's Bolsters Growth Projections to 920 Restaurants


Portillo's has been around for six decades, but no era in the company's history matches up to its current growth trajectory. At a minimum, the brand said it has room for 920 U.S. stores, a more than 50 percent increase above its previous projection of 600. This larger whitespace projection calls for 120 drive-thru-only units and urban-based walk-up locations. These outlets would only appear in markets with six to eight full-scale Portillo's locations. The brand foresees additional alternative formats in airports, college campuses, and overseas.

 

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Beverly Hills Seeks To Eliminate Confusion Over Retail Image


An attempt to create an elegant image for luxury retail real estate in Beverly Hills, California, can cause confusion, real estate professionals say, potentially creating the appearance of a lack of property demand in the home to wealthy celebrities and corporate CEOs. Online news stories and social media posts have claimed that some shops and restaurant spaces around famed Rodeo Drive are empty or boarded up due to perceived theft issues.

 

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First Look: Walmart opens its first-ever pet services center


Walmart’s transparent, affordable health care model is going to the dogs. Literally. In a pilot that expands its traditional pet supplies business, the retail giant has opened its first-ever dedicated Pet Services center, in the Atlanta suburb of Dallas, Ga. It’s located in the same store where Walmart opened the doors to its first walmart health center in 2019.

 

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Inside Jack in the Box’s Franchise Revival


Salt Lake City is Jack in the Box’s first new market in over 10 years and marks the first step in an aggressive expansion effort. The 72-year-old legacy chain is making significant progress on its push to reignite franchise growth nationwide.

 

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Nontraditional Site Competition Heats Up in Fast Food


Sbarro CEO David Karam knows how to capture an impulse occasion. It starts with igniting the senses and creating a craving, then satisfying it with a slice of New York-style pizza. That’s how the chain became the quintessential food court operator synonymous with mall culture back in the early 2000s.

 

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The 24 Fastest-Growing Fast-Food Chains in America


As brands seek growth, they're still dealing with equipment issues, permitting delays, and a potential recession. All of there factors are under deep consideration as chains pick and choose real estate.

 

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Chicago Studies Possibility of City-Owned Grocery Store

The city of Chicago said it is partnering with a national nonprofit organization to explore the feasibility of opening a city-owned grocery store in an underserved area of Chicago. Chicago would be the first major U.S. city to open a municipally owned grocery store to address food inequity, according to a statement from the office of Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson.

 

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6 Shifting Consumer Trends Affecting Quick-Service Restaurants

Consumers’ preferences are shifting like never before, due to a variety of societal and economic dynamics. How can quick-service restaurants adjust to maintain—and potentially increase—foot traffic during these transformative times? The first step is to gain awareness of the consumer mindset, and then develop a strategy to add value and growth.

 

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Birkenstock files for IPO


An iconic, German-made footwear brand with a devoted global fan base has filed to go public in the U.S. Birkenstock, which was founded some 250 years ago, has filed for an initial public offering. The company, whose filing didn’t how many shares it will list or a price range, plans to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol BIRK. The IPO could be valued at more than $8 billion, according to Bloomberg.

 

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L.A.'s Thriving Sycamore District Is Home to Beyonce's Management, SiriusXM, Top Restaurants and a Record Store


Los Angeles has a new, hidden hub of music, art, retail and restaurants frequented by some of the biggest stars in music who are increasingly lured to the area by industry staples including SiriusXM, Jay-Z’s Roc Nation, Beyoncé’s Parkwood Entertainment, Kobalt Music Group, recording studio Record Plant and, soon, Sony Music Publishing.

 

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Growth-Minded Freddy’s Keeps the Focus on Franchisees


Freddy’s Frozen Custard & Steakburgers has added more than 100 commitments to its growth pipeline this year already. That after just shy of 130 last year and 117 the calendar before. As one of QSR’s Franchise Council members phrased it recently, “this quiet success story from the Midwest” has left its low profile behind. But how and why the burger brand charted rapid growth during an era of delays, surging inflation, and the continued recovery of the sector out of COVID, trails back to the origin, says Chris Dull, CEO and president, who took over the top post in May 2021.

 

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No Fred Meyer stores are included in Kroger, Albertsons deal with C&S


Kroger and Albertsons agreed to sell hundreds of stores to C&S Wholesale Grocers as part of a divestiture plan for their proposed $24.6 billion merger, but the deal will not include any Fred Meyer stores, reports the Oregonian. Instead, Kroger will sell stores from their QFC chain — in addition to some Albertsons Safeway banners — in an attempt to alleviate competitive concerns in the Northwest Region.

 

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By Marc Perlof February 2, 2026
Retail Real Estate 2026: Why Some Properties Stay Strong While Others Struggle By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy February 2, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here is what just changed. Retail real estate in 2026 is no longer one market. It has split into clear winners and clear losers. Owners who understand this are protecting value. Owners who do not are feeling pressure. The biggest change is how people spend money when things feel uncertain. Interest rates are higher. Costs are up. Households are more careful. That shift shows up first at the property level. Some retail feels stress faster than others. Lifestyle centers, nightlife areas, entertainment districts, and tourist retail depend on optional spending. When people cut back, visits drop. Sales slow. Tenants push back on rent. Vacancies last longer. This is not a crash. It is a pressure issue tied to spending people can delay. Other retail performs differently. Grocery anchored centers, pharmacies, medical and dental, quick-service food, auto service, and personal care are built around daily habits. People cut wants before needs. That makes income steadier and easier to support in a cautious market. Recent retail market reports show this split clearly. National retail vacancy stayed fairly stable through late 2025, mostly in the mid-5 percent to high-6 percent range, with necessity-based centers performing better than discretionary locations¹. Leasing slowed in 2025, with longer decision times and more rent pushback, especially from non-essential tenants². Buyers are still active, but they are more careful. They now focus on tenant quality, lease length, and operating costs more than rent growth³. What retail owners should focus on right now • Daily-needs tenants reduce risk. Properties with grocery, medical, pharmacy, and quick-service food see more stable rent and fewer concession requests. That helps protect sale price and lender support in slower markets¹. • Grocery-anchored centers sell faster. Buyers still want these assets because traffic is predictable and costs are easier to pass through. These deals tend to fall apart less often³. • Discretionary retail carries pricing risk. Properties tied to optional spending face longer vacancies, rent resistance at renewal, and wider gaps between buyer and seller pricing. Waiting too long to adjust can hurt value, not just cash flow². One thing is becoming clear in early 2026. The market is not pricing retail as one category anymore. It is pricing risk. Two properties with the same income can be worth very different amounts based on tenant mix, lease terms, and rising expenses. Owners who understand this protect equity. Others only see the gap after a buyer or lender points it out. The takeaway is simple. Retail real estate in 2026 is about quality, not hype. Stable income matters. Lease terms matter. Tenant mix matters. Insurance and operating costs matter. Owners who match strategy to how their tenants actually perform stay in control. Owners who rely on old assumptions end up reacting. If you want a clear, property-specific review of how buyers and lenders would view your retail asset today, I can prepare a short market positioning summary. No templates. No guesses. Just how your property would really trade in this market. Ask yourself this. Is your property built around spending people can delay, or spending they rely on every week? #RetailRealEstate2026 #RetailMarketOutlook #EssentialServicesRetail #GroceryAnchoredRetailCenters #DiscretionaryRetailProperties
By Marc Perlof January 30, 2026
Smoothie King plots 90-plus new openings for 2026 The world’s largest smoothie franchise isn’t planning on slowing down its growth after a strong 2025.  Smoothie King says it plans to open more than 90 new store openings in 2026, in addition to launching a targeted franchisee incentive program spanning several key states, including Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Virginia and more. Through the program, Smoothie King says it is offering financial incentives to “growth-minded franchisees,” designed to accelerate brand awareness and density in these markets...
By Marc Perlof January 26, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy January 26, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. 2026 is shaping up to be a year where retail property owners need to pay attention. Not to fear. Not to headlines. To real signals in the market. There is more global and domestic uncertainty right now. Conflicts overseas, trade tension, higher government debt, and political changes in the U.S. all affect interest rates, insurance markets, and investor behavior. This does not mean panic. It means owners need clear, reliable information. Here is where the retail market stands today. Local retail remained steady through late 2025. In Los Angeles County, vacancy ranged from about 5.6 to 6.9 percent in the second half of the year¹²³. That tells us demand is still healthy, even as some tenants adjust space needs or renew leases at new rent levels. Leasing activity slowed in some areas. Spaces are taking longer to fill, and asking rents softened slightly as owners and tenants reset pricing². This is a normal market adjustment, not a collapse. On the investment side, commercial real estate transactions increased nationally through mid 2025. Both the number of deals and total dollar volume rose, showing capital is still moving⁵. Buyers are active when pricing reflects today’s risks and returns. This is exactly what I am seeing in live pricing discussions and negotiations right now. Insurance remains one of the biggest issues for retail owners. Property insurance markets became more stable in 2025, and rate increases slowed in some areas. However, insurers are still selective. Coverage terms matter more than ever, especially for properties exposed to wildfire or coastal risk⁴. Insurance costs directly affect net income, lease negotiations, and buyer interest. Retail Outlook for Q1 and Q2 2026 In early 2026, the retail market is likely to stay steady but measured. Vacancy is expected to remain near current levels. Leasing will be deliberate, not rushed. Rents should hold close to where they ended in 2025 as owners and tenants continue to agree on realistic pricing. Capital will remain active for properties with solid income, strong tenant credit, and durable lease terms. Buyers are selective, but they are still moving forward when risk and return are properly aligned. Insurance markets will stay selective in the first half of 2026. Owners need to plan renewals carefully and understand how insurance affects operating costs, tenant negotiations, and future sale value. Here is a simple retail risk check for 2026: • Local vacancy around 6 percent, stable but uneven by location¹ • Leasing takes longer than peak years, making pricing discipline critical² • Capital remains active, but underwriting is conservative⁵ • Insurance coverage is improving in some areas, but terms still matter⁴ Not all retail performs the same. Discretionary-driven destinations like lifestyle centers, nightlife districts, and tourist-focused shopping streets feel more pressure when consumer spending slows. Retail that serves daily needs and essential services tends to perform better during uncertain cycles. The best strategy now is disciplined and data-driven. Focus on tenant credit strength. Protect lease term and income stability. Price based on real market data. Understand insurance risk clearly. This is how value is protected in changing markets. I help retail property owners position assets based on real tenant behavior and real buyer demand. Not headlines. Call or DM me if you want a clear view of how your retail property should be positioned for 2026. How will you adjust your leasing or investment strategy this year based on what the market is actually telling us? #RetailRealEstate #LosAngelesCRE #CommercialRealEstateOutlook #RetailInvestment #CRE2026 #MarcRetailGuy
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