Weekly Retail Real Estate News

Marc Perlof • September 22, 2023
The Fed Maintains Its Wait-and-See Stance


The Federal Reserve’s policy-setting committee on Wednesday voted to leave its policy rate unchanged, suggesting that the economy is moving in the right direction and inflation impulses are easing. The decision leaves the overnight lending target rate for banks at between 5.25% and 5.5%, which the Fed believes is restrictive territory or a level that constrains economic growth.The last time the committee raised rates was at its July meeting.

 

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Portillo's Bolsters Growth Projections to 920 Restaurants


Portillo's has been around for six decades, but no era in the company's history matches up to its current growth trajectory. At a minimum, the brand said it has room for 920 U.S. stores, a more than 50 percent increase above its previous projection of 600. This larger whitespace projection calls for 120 drive-thru-only units and urban-based walk-up locations. These outlets would only appear in markets with six to eight full-scale Portillo's locations. The brand foresees additional alternative formats in airports, college campuses, and overseas.

 

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Beverly Hills Seeks To Eliminate Confusion Over Retail Image


An attempt to create an elegant image for luxury retail real estate in Beverly Hills, California, can cause confusion, real estate professionals say, potentially creating the appearance of a lack of property demand in the home to wealthy celebrities and corporate CEOs. Online news stories and social media posts have claimed that some shops and restaurant spaces around famed Rodeo Drive are empty or boarded up due to perceived theft issues.

 

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First Look: Walmart opens its first-ever pet services center


Walmart’s transparent, affordable health care model is going to the dogs. Literally. In a pilot that expands its traditional pet supplies business, the retail giant has opened its first-ever dedicated Pet Services center, in the Atlanta suburb of Dallas, Ga. It’s located in the same store where Walmart opened the doors to its first walmart health center in 2019.

 

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Inside Jack in the Box’s Franchise Revival


Salt Lake City is Jack in the Box’s first new market in over 10 years and marks the first step in an aggressive expansion effort. The 72-year-old legacy chain is making significant progress on its push to reignite franchise growth nationwide.

 

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Nontraditional Site Competition Heats Up in Fast Food


Sbarro CEO David Karam knows how to capture an impulse occasion. It starts with igniting the senses and creating a craving, then satisfying it with a slice of New York-style pizza. That’s how the chain became the quintessential food court operator synonymous with mall culture back in the early 2000s.

 

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The 24 Fastest-Growing Fast-Food Chains in America


As brands seek growth, they're still dealing with equipment issues, permitting delays, and a potential recession. All of there factors are under deep consideration as chains pick and choose real estate.

 

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Chicago Studies Possibility of City-Owned Grocery Store

The city of Chicago said it is partnering with a national nonprofit organization to explore the feasibility of opening a city-owned grocery store in an underserved area of Chicago. Chicago would be the first major U.S. city to open a municipally owned grocery store to address food inequity, according to a statement from the office of Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson.

 

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6 Shifting Consumer Trends Affecting Quick-Service Restaurants

Consumers’ preferences are shifting like never before, due to a variety of societal and economic dynamics. How can quick-service restaurants adjust to maintain—and potentially increase—foot traffic during these transformative times? The first step is to gain awareness of the consumer mindset, and then develop a strategy to add value and growth.

 

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Birkenstock files for IPO


An iconic, German-made footwear brand with a devoted global fan base has filed to go public in the U.S. Birkenstock, which was founded some 250 years ago, has filed for an initial public offering. The company, whose filing didn’t how many shares it will list or a price range, plans to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol BIRK. The IPO could be valued at more than $8 billion, according to Bloomberg.

 

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L.A.'s Thriving Sycamore District Is Home to Beyonce's Management, SiriusXM, Top Restaurants and a Record Store


Los Angeles has a new, hidden hub of music, art, retail and restaurants frequented by some of the biggest stars in music who are increasingly lured to the area by industry staples including SiriusXM, Jay-Z’s Roc Nation, Beyoncé’s Parkwood Entertainment, Kobalt Music Group, recording studio Record Plant and, soon, Sony Music Publishing.

 

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Growth-Minded Freddy’s Keeps the Focus on Franchisees


Freddy’s Frozen Custard & Steakburgers has added more than 100 commitments to its growth pipeline this year already. That after just shy of 130 last year and 117 the calendar before. As one of QSR’s Franchise Council members phrased it recently, “this quiet success story from the Midwest” has left its low profile behind. But how and why the burger brand charted rapid growth during an era of delays, surging inflation, and the continued recovery of the sector out of COVID, trails back to the origin, says Chris Dull, CEO and president, who took over the top post in May 2021.

 

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No Fred Meyer stores are included in Kroger, Albertsons deal with C&S


Kroger and Albertsons agreed to sell hundreds of stores to C&S Wholesale Grocers as part of a divestiture plan for their proposed $24.6 billion merger, but the deal will not include any Fred Meyer stores, reports the Oregonian. Instead, Kroger will sell stores from their QFC chain — in addition to some Albertsons Safeway banners — in an attempt to alleviate competitive concerns in the Northwest Region.

 

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By Marc Perlof March 20, 2026
Santa Monica Airport Conversion Project Unveiled By City SANTA MONICA, CA — Following a nearly two-year public engagement process, the city has released a draft Framework Diagram for the Santa Monica Airport Conversion Project. "The Framework Diagram brings many ideas together to find common ground about what should go where and what types of uses belong in different areas of the site," the City of Santa Monica explained in a March 11 news release....
By Marc Perlof March 16, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 March 16, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. Retail property owners are asking a simple question today. Is the market about to change? Several economic signals moved quickly over the past two weeks. Oil prices surged as conflict disrupted major energy supply routes. The U.S. job market also weakened unexpectedly during the same period. Financial markets have become more volatile as investors reassess economic risks. When oil prices rise and hiring slows, real estate investors begin adjusting risk assumptions. These adjustments often appear first in lender loan standards and buyer pricing. For retail property owners, these shifts can influence demand and property values. Owners of strip centers, shopping centers, store front retail, and NNN retail properties (multi-tenant and single tenant) should watch closely. Understanding these signals early can help protect property value and guide decisions. Market Analysis and Trends Energy markets reacted first. Brent crude oil recently surged above $100 per barrel. The increase followed conflict disrupting shipping routes and global oil supply.¹ Much of the concern involves the Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor. Roughly 20 percent of global oil supply normally passes through this route. Even small disruptions there can quickly affect shipping costs and supply chains.¹ Consumers often feel the impact through gasoline prices. Since late February, U.S. gasoline prices increased more than 15 percent. Prices reached roughly $3.47 per gallon in early March.¹ In Southern California, fuel prices are usually among the highest nationally. Drivers in the region are already paying significantly more at the pump. Higher fuel costs can quickly strain household budgets. This often reduces spending at restaurants and other nonessential retail businesses. The labor market also signaled caution. The U.S. economy lost about 92,000 jobs in February 2026. Unemployment rose to approximately 4.4 percent during the same period.² Slower hiring typically leads to reduced consumer spending several months later. When advising retail property owners, I track three important property risks. These include tenant margin pressure, lender loan standard changes, and buyer cap rate expectations. Key signals retail property owners should monitor include: Brent crude oil moving above $100 per barrel during Middle East supply disruptions.¹ U.S. gasoline prices rising more than 15% since late February.¹ The U.S. economy losing roughly 92,000 jobs in February while unemployment increased.² Essential Retail vs Nonessential Retail Retail categories respond differently during periods of economic stress. Essential retail includes grocery anchored centers, pharmacies, and daily service tenants. These businesses usually remain stable during economic disruptions. Consumers still need basic goods even when household budgets tighten.³ Nonessential retail categories are more sensitive to economic pressure. Restaurants, entertainment venues, and similar tenants often experience softer sales first. This usually happens when consumers reduce spending. For property owners, tenant mix becomes especially important during economic uncertainty. Centers anchored by essential tenants often remain more stable. Properties dominated by nonessential retail may experience greater sales volatility. Strategic Advice for Retail Property Owners Economic uncertainty is a good time to review several property fundamentals. 1. Review tenant stability Evaluate tenant sales performance, credit strength, and upcoming lease expirations. 2. Monitor capital markets Lenders and investors may begin tightening loan standards as risks increase. 3. Evaluate sale timing carefully Markets sometimes offer short windows before buyer pricing adjusts to new conditions. Even a 1/4% to 1/2% increase in cap rates can affect property values. For example, a $6 million retail property valued at a 6% cap rate generates about $360,000 in annual income. If buyer expectations move to a 6.5% cap rate, value could fall near $5.5 million. If you own retail property and are wondering how these economic signals could affect buyer pricing or cap rates for your asset, this is exactly the type of analysis I help owners evaluate before making a sale or hold decision. If investor cap rates in your market moved just 1/2% higher, how much would the value of your retail property change? Investor Behavior During Uncertain Markets Market volatility often changes how investors evaluate retail properties. Research shows that investors prefer assets with stable income during uncertain periods. Properties with strong tenants and longer lease terms usually attract the most buyer interest.³ Assets with predictable cash flow often perform better during market uncertainty. Properties with weaker tenants or short lease terms may face greater scrutiny. For retail property owners, tenant quality and lease structure matter even more in volatile markets. What This Means for Retail Property Owners Retail property values depend on more than location. Energy prices, employment trends, and capital markets also influence buyer demand. If oil prices stay elevated and hiring slows, investors may become more selective. Properties with weaker tenants or short lease terms may see pricing pressure first. Well located shopping centers with strong tenants and long leases usually remain more resilient. Owners who monitor these signals early often have more strategic options. If economic uncertainty continues over the next twelve months, how strong are the tenants in your retail property? #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #NNNProperties #ShoppingCenters #RetailPropertyOwners #CREInvesting #RealEstateInvestors #CREMarketInsights #RealEstateTrends #CaliforniaRealEstate #LosAngelesRealEstate #CapRates
By Marc Perlof March 13, 2026
US consumer inflation steady before Iran conflict drives up oil prices WASHINGTON, March 11 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices rose moderately in February as rents maintained a steady pace of increases, though households paid more for gasoline and at the supermarket and higher costs are in store because of the escalating war in the Middle East .  The Consumer Price Index report from the Labor Department on Wednesday, which also showed underlying inflation muted ​last month, covered the period before the U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran. The attacks at the end of February were met with retaliation by Tehran and have boosted oil prices...
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