Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • March 24, 2025
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A man in a suit and tie is standing at a podium in front of american flags

Fed Holds Rates Flat As Tariffs, Uncertainty Make Their Mark


Federal Reserve officials held the central bank’s benchmark interest rate flat Wednesday, indicating that they plan to wait for President Donald Trump's early trade moves to percolate through the economy before they act. 

A man wearing a mask is packing a box in a warehouse.

What 25 retail leaders are saying about tariffs


From price increase warnings to confidence that vendor relationships will help ride out the storm, here’s how the retail C-suite plans to weather tariffs.

A dollar free store with a green awning

Discount Retailers See Strong Momentum Heading Into 2025


Discount retailers saw steady foot traffic growth in 2024, benefiting from aggressive expansion and increased consumer demand.

People are walking into a h-e-b pharmacy at night

H-E-B announces another store planned for North Texas


H-E-B’s rapidly growing North Texas footprint is about to get a little bit bigger with the announcement that the San Antonio-based grocer plans to open its first store in Denton.

The front of a store called ollie 's bargain outlet

Ollie’s ramps up store growth to capitalize on recent store closings; Q4 sales rise


Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is broadening its footprint by buying bankrupt leases.

A store with a sign in the window that says store closing

Mall mainstay Forever 21 slated to close all 350 stores in second bankruptcy


Fast-fashion pioneer Forever 21's shutdown of its roughly 350 stores will bring U.S. retail closings to over 4,000 so far this year, more than half the number for all 2024, as chains are impacted by foreign competitors such as Shein and Temu.

A white building with a blue sign that says storm chasers

This burger chain is tapping second-generation restaurant space for Los Angeles expansion


A growing Los Angeles cheeseburger chain is targeting the region's inventory of second-generation restaurant spaces for expansion with a goal of opening drive-thrus in underserved, lower-income neighborhoods.

A store front with a green sign that says joann

Joann liquidation provides retailers with fresh batch of available store spaces


After failing to secure a buyer amid its second journey through bankruptcy court in less than a year, Joann Fabrics is winding down operations after more than 80 years in business. The craft chain's liquidation will bring approximately 18.5 million square feet of store space spread across 800 locations will be brought to market.

The front of a fossil store with a black and white awning.

Watch retailer Fossil to close 50 stores, cut corporate staff


Fossil, the global watch-and-accessory retailer, is closing roughly 50 stores and cutting its corporate workforce as part of a turnaround plan.

A dollar general sign against a blue sky

Dollar General hits $40B in fiscal year net sales for first time ever


For the first time in company history, Dollar General hit $40 billion in a fiscal year. The discount retailer’s fourth quarter wasn’t bad either, with $10.3 billion in net sales for a year-over-year gain of 4.5%.

By Marc Perlof October 31, 2025
Fed Cuts Rates Again, Boosting Confidence in CRE Recovery In a closely watched decision, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month. The new target range of 3.75% to 4% reflects continued efforts to ease financial conditions and stabilize capital markets, even as economic signals remain mixed...
By Marc Perlof October 27, 2025
If you own retail real estate, here’s what might change for you. The hospitality workers’ union UNITE HERE Local 11 is pushing a bold new initiative to raise the City of Los Angeles $30 minimum wage for all city employees by July 1, 2028¹. While the first ordinance covered hotel and airport workers, the union’s latest ballot measure would extend this wage citywide². As an expert in retail real estate, here’s what that means for your properties. Higher wages will immediately impact tenant affordability and rent-to-sales ratio calculations that drive lease viability. Many retailers operate with payroll costs at 25 to 35 percent of gross revenue, leaving little cushion for a wage that’s nearly double the current state minimum of $16/hour³. When margins tighten, tenants face a choice: raise prices, cut staff, or negotiate rent. For landlords, that translates into valuation pressure because commercial property values depend on stable rental income. The small business impact in Los Angeles could be profound. Independent restaurants, boutiques, and service operators, the lifeblood of local shopping centers, run on razor-thin profits. If forced to meet a $30 wage, some may relocate to cities like Burbank or Glendale, where municipal wage laws are lower, or close entirely⁴. That shift could spark short-term vacancy spikes and longer lease-up periods. Still, there’s a possible upside. When low-wage workers earn more, they spend more locally. For well-positioned centers with necessity-based tenants: grocers, pharmacies, quick-service restaurants, rising wages could strengthen revenue resilience. Key takeaways for retail landlords: Audit tenant financial health and exposure to rising payroll costs. Review lease clauses that address operating-cost pass-throughs. Model new rent-to-sales thresholds under a $30 wage scenario. Track tenant retention and market-rent shifts across nearby cities. Prepare for valuation adjustments as cap rates reflect greater income volatility. If you own retail real estate in the City of Los Angeles, now’s the time to stress-test your portfolio. Let’s review your leases before this wage shift hits. Call or DM me for more information. When the $30 wage arrives, will higher pay strengthen LA’s consumer base or hollow out the city’s small-business retail core? #LosAngeles30MinimumWage #RetailRealEstateInLosAngeles #TenantAffordabilityAndRentToSalesRatio #SmallBusinessImpactLosAngeles #CommercialPropertyValuesLosAngeles
By Marc Perlof October 24, 2025
Toys"R"Us opening 10 flagships, 20 seasonal shops — here are all the locations The brick and mortar comeback of Toys"R"Us is moving into high gear ahead of the toy industry’s busiest season. In September, the retailer said that, in partnership with Go! Retail Group, it was planning to open 10 flagships and 20 seasonal holiday shops in the U.S. by year's end...
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