NNN Retail Isn’t Passive Anymore: Insurance and CAM Are Cutting Value

Marc Perlof • March 30, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy 
CA #01489206

March 30, 2026

If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you.

NNN retail is no longer passive income. Rising insurance and CAM costs are reducing NOI and directly impacting property value.

For years, the model was simple.
Tenant pays taxes.
Tenant pays insurance.
Tenant pays CAM.
Owner collects rent.

That model is now breaking in practice.

What Changed
  • Insurance premiums have increased sharply across California, driven by carrier exits and wildfire risk.¹
  • At the same time, CAM expenses are rising across the board. Utilities, repairs, maintenance, and vendor costs are all moving up.²
  • On paper, these are still tenant expenses. In reality, recovery is no longer clean or guaranteed.

Why It Matters
When expenses rise and are not fully recovered, NOI drops. Lower NOI leads to lower value. Buyers are now underwriting this risk. They are not assuming full reimbursement. They are adjusting pricing based on uncertainty in expense recovery.³

This directly impacts:
  • Sale pricing 
  • Refinance proceeds 
  • Buyer demand 

What Is Driving This Shift
Three core factors:
1. Insurance volatility
Carriers are exiting California or tightening coverage. Premiums are rising, and terms are less predictable.¹
2. Operating cost pressure
Labor, materials, and utilities continue to increase. Maintenance is no longer stable year to year.²
3. Tenant resistance
Tenants are pushing back on expense increases. Some delay payment.           
Others dispute charges or request documentation.

How Buyers Are Thinking Today
Buyers are no longer treating NNN as clean pass-through income.
They are:
  • Stress-testing CAM and insurance assumptions 
  • Discounting recoverability of expenses 
  • Building reserves for future increases 
  • Underwriting more conservative NOI 
Lenders are also paying closer attention to expense stability and coverage risk. This is changing how deals are priced.³

If you own retail property, focus on your lease structure.
Key areas to review:
  • Expense recovery language
    • Make sure insurance, CAM, and all operating costs are clearly recoverable.
  • Control provisions
    • Limit tenant ability to dispute or delay payment.
  • Caps and exclusions
    • Understand where you are exposed. Many leases have limits that reduce recovery.
  • Documentation
    • Keep clean records. You may need to support charges during disputes or a sale.

Buyers today are discounting deals where CAM and insurance recovery is unclear. Some are retrading during escrow after reviewing expense history and tenant pushback.

Example:
A strip center in Los Angeles sees insurance increase by $40,000.
If fully recovered, no impact. If only partially recovered, NOI drops.
At a 6.5% cap rate, a $40,000 NOI loss reduces value by over $600,000.
This is how buyers are underwriting today.

If your lease does not fully protect your income, your value is already exposed.

If you want, I will walk your lease, identify where you are exposed, and show you how it impacts your value today.

What does your lease actually protect?

#RetailRealEstate #NNNProperties #TripleNetLease #RetailInvesting #StripCenters #ShoppingCenters #CREInvesting #LosAngelesRealEstate #CaliforniaCRE #CommercialRealEstate #MarcRetailGuy

Sources

¹ California Department of Insurance — Market Updates (2024–2025)

https://www.insurance.ca.gov


² CBRE — U.S. Cap Rate Survey, H2 2025

https://www.cbre.com/insights/books/us-cap-rate-survey-h2-2025


³ JLL — U.S. Retail Outlook, 2025

https://www.us.jll.com/en/trends-and-insights/research/us-retail-outlook



Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide.


Disclaimer

This post is for information only. It is not legal, tax, or financial advice. Always check with a licensed professional before making decisions.



© 2026 Marc Perlof Group. All rights reserved.


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