Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • February 16, 2024
A group of people are walking down a tiled floor.

NRF: January retail sales are ‘great’ start to new year


Consumers kept shopping in January. Retail sales in January nearly matched December’s busy holiday spending and rose significantly year-over-year, according to the CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor, powered by Affinity Solutions, released by the NRF. 

A chipotle restaurant is located in a residential area.

Chipotle Speeds Toward Even Greater Heights


You could say Chipotle had an enviable problem. The brand’s digital growth out of COVID soared rewards membership over 35 million and loaded up the backline to the point where stores became unbalanced in staffing. In the summer of 2022 or so, Chipotle launched what it dubbed “Project Square One.” As it sounds, the notion was to return to basics on the in-store experience that helped Chipotle define a category over three decades ago.

The outside of an arby 's restaurant with picnic tables and umbrellas.

Report: Inspire Brands Could Go Public in $20 Billion Valuation


According to a Wednesday report from Bloomberg, Inspire Brands-backer Roark Capital has held preliminary discussions with potential advisers to take the multi-concept giant public. An initial public offering would arrive in late 2024 or 2025, depending on market conditions, sources told the publication, with Inspire commanding a value of roughly $20 billion. 

An aerial view of a city with lots of buildings and streets.

15-story hotel planned next to new L.A. Clippers arena in Inglewood


Just south of Intuit Dome, where the L.A. Clippers are scheduled to begin playing games next season, Los Angeles-based Arya Group, Inc. is planning a mid-rise hotel development which would rank among the tallest buildings in Inglewood. The proposed project, slated for a site at 3820 W. 102nd Street, calls for razing a low-rise commercial building to make way for a new 15-story, approximately 310,000-square-foot building featuring a 174-room hotel, 3,255 square feet of offices, 6,537 square feet of hotel restaurant space, 1,310 square feet of lounge space, a 4,000-square-foot private club, and 4,000 square feet of spa and amenity space. 

An artist 's impression of a burger king restaurant at night.

Thanks to $400M Plan, Burger King Sees Guests Returning to Restaurants


The chain reported low-single-digit traffic growth in Q4, which was the first positive increase since Q2 2021. Also, U.S. same-store sales rose 6.4 percent, lapping 5 percent growth in the year-ago period. For the year, comps lifted 7.5 percent, rolling over 2.2 percent in 2022. Burger King franchisees are making more money as well. Average profitability per restaurant increased nearly 50 percent in 2023, moving from $140,000 to more than $205,000.

The front of a kroger store with a blue sky in the background

Kroger promises to lower prices, invest in stores following merger


The Kroger Co. has detailed its commitment to customers as it faces regulatory scrutiny over its proposed acquisition of rival Albertsons Cos. The supermarket giant said, consistent with its previous approach to mergers, it will lower prices following its merger with Albertsons. It plans to invest $500 million to lower prices following the close of the deal — starting day one.  It also will also invest $1.3 billion to improve Albertsons' stores. 

Two security guards are standing next to each other on a sidewalk in front of a ups truck.

Legion averages 100 “engagements” a day during first month of downtown deployment


The newly hired private security company patrolling Downtown Santa Monica reported more than 3,000 interactions during its first month on patrol and while local businesses say the systemic problems persist, some say they’ve seen signs of improvement recently. During the first meeting of the Downtown Santa Monica Inc., (DTSM) Board of Directors for 2024, security company Legion Corporation, presented a report on its first month of operations.

A brick building with a red and white sign that says snipple on it.

Shipley Do-Nuts’ Texas Roots Blossom into National Success


He worked as the chief executive of Korean fast-casual Bonchon for four and a half years and in marketing roles at Wingstop for the same amount of time. One of his biggest memories—or nightmares, if you think about it—was the cyclical nature of the chicken market, where operators live and die by what the price is on any given day, week, or month.

A shell gas station with a car parked in front of it.

Shell to acquire 45 convenience stores in New Mexico


Shell is expanding its U.S. retail footprint. The company has signed an agreement  to acquire Brewer Oil Company’s (BOC) retail division, which includes 45 fuel and convenience store sites in New Mexico. The acquisition also includes traditional fueling stations and cardlocks for fleet vehicles.

A man in a suit and white shirt is smiling for the camera.

World’s Largest Franchisee Flynn Group Explores Sale


Sources told Reuters that the majority interest could be valued at more than $5 billion, including debt. The company is working with Bank of America on the sales process. Flynn Group, founded in 1999 by industry veteran Greg Flynn, is the largest operator of Applebee’s, Arby’s, and Pizza Hut, and also owns hundreds of stores for Taco Bell, Panera, and Wendy’s. Altogether, the company oversees more than 2,600 units and earns more than $4.5 billion in annual sales. 

A dutch bros store with a truck parked in front of it.

Positioned for Success: Retail, dining segments to watch in 2024


Amid price hikes, rising interest rates and mounting consumer debt,  the retail industry did pretty well in 2023 — certainly a lot better than some experts had predicted — as consumers continued to shop. As to what to expect this year, foot traffic analytics firm Placer.ai has dived into its rich treasure chest of data to find which segments are best positioned for success in 2024. 

By Marc Perlof October 31, 2025
Fed Cuts Rates Again, Boosting Confidence in CRE Recovery In a closely watched decision, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate for the second consecutive month. The new target range of 3.75% to 4% reflects continued efforts to ease financial conditions and stabilize capital markets, even as economic signals remain mixed...
By Marc Perlof October 27, 2025
If you own retail real estate, here’s what might change for you. The hospitality workers’ union UNITE HERE Local 11 is pushing a bold new initiative to raise the City of Los Angeles $30 minimum wage for all city employees by July 1, 2028¹. While the first ordinance covered hotel and airport workers, the union’s latest ballot measure would extend this wage citywide². As an expert in retail real estate, here’s what that means for your properties. Higher wages will immediately impact tenant affordability and rent-to-sales ratio calculations that drive lease viability. Many retailers operate with payroll costs at 25 to 35 percent of gross revenue, leaving little cushion for a wage that’s nearly double the current state minimum of $16/hour³. When margins tighten, tenants face a choice: raise prices, cut staff, or negotiate rent. For landlords, that translates into valuation pressure because commercial property values depend on stable rental income. The small business impact in Los Angeles could be profound. Independent restaurants, boutiques, and service operators, the lifeblood of local shopping centers, run on razor-thin profits. If forced to meet a $30 wage, some may relocate to cities like Burbank or Glendale, where municipal wage laws are lower, or close entirely⁴. That shift could spark short-term vacancy spikes and longer lease-up periods. Still, there’s a possible upside. When low-wage workers earn more, they spend more locally. For well-positioned centers with necessity-based tenants: grocers, pharmacies, quick-service restaurants, rising wages could strengthen revenue resilience. Key takeaways for retail landlords: Audit tenant financial health and exposure to rising payroll costs. Review lease clauses that address operating-cost pass-throughs. Model new rent-to-sales thresholds under a $30 wage scenario. Track tenant retention and market-rent shifts across nearby cities. Prepare for valuation adjustments as cap rates reflect greater income volatility. If you own retail real estate in the City of Los Angeles, now’s the time to stress-test your portfolio. Let’s review your leases before this wage shift hits. Call or DM me for more information. When the $30 wage arrives, will higher pay strengthen LA’s consumer base or hollow out the city’s small-business retail core? #LosAngeles30MinimumWage #RetailRealEstateInLosAngeles #TenantAffordabilityAndRentToSalesRatio #SmallBusinessImpactLosAngeles #CommercialPropertyValuesLosAngeles
By Marc Perlof October 24, 2025
Toys"R"Us opening 10 flagships, 20 seasonal shops — here are all the locations The brick and mortar comeback of Toys"R"Us is moving into high gear ahead of the toy industry’s busiest season. In September, the retailer said that, in partnership with Go! Retail Group, it was planning to open 10 flagships and 20 seasonal holiday shops in the U.S. by year's end...
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