Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • June 7, 2024
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A close up of a golf club and ball on a mini golf course.

Mini Golf is Coming to Third Street Promenade


A mini golf chain, with fun and unique creative concepts, is set to open a new outpost on Third Street Promenade, according to a report by What Now Los Angeles. Holey Moley, which is owned by Australian entertainment company Funlab, will establish the location within The Gallery Food Hall’s former space at 1315 3rd St. An opening date has not been disclosed at the time of this writing. 


A building with a red awning that says cafe on it

Carvel Builds Upon 90-Year Legacy with New Prototype


Carvel has been around for nine decades, but the past couple of years have been some of the most important in brand history. It was during this recent period the classic ice cream concept began developing a design refresh to breathe new life into its business.


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A close up of a gauge that says reputation excellent

Retailers with the best reputations are...

 

Amid price increases, the reputation of retailers took a dip in an annual ranking of the reputations of the “most visible” brands in the United States. Tech giant Nvidia, which didn’t even make last year’s list, took the No. 1 spot with an RQ score of 81.2, followed by 3M and Fidelity Investments. 

A person is holding a receipt in their hands in front of a shopping cart.

How grocers are getting creative in their battle against theft

 

Grocers’ war against shrink wages on with new moves by Kroger, Giant Food and Safeway. Kroger confirmed in an email Tuesday that six of its Columbus, Ohio-area stores recently added safety measures, including receipt checks, in response to increased incidents of theft. Though in the early stages of implementation, Kroger has “received positive feedback from associates and customers,” Mark Bruce, a Kroger spokesperson, said in a statement. 


The front of a dollar tree store with a green awning

Dollar Tree acquires leases for 170 of 99 Cents Only’s stores — along with IP

 

Another ultra-value retailer is expanding its footprint with locations that formerly housed 99 Cents Only Stores. Dollar Tree has acquired designation rights for 170 leases of bankrupt 99 Cents Only Stores across Arizona, California, Nevada and Texas.


A store filled with clothes and mannequins and a staircase.

Abercrombie & Fitch posts record quarter as profit soars, sales top $1B

 

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. maintained momentum in its first quarter with results that smashed expectations as the apparel retailer continues to outperform others in its sector.


A large white building with palm trees in front of it

Activists celebrate potential plan for the Civic Center while City Hall stays silent


A new actor may audition for the role of Civic Auditorium Savior in the coming weeks after Council is reported to have pushed forward a proposal from a private organization to refurbish and reopen the long vacant property. 


A jeep with kayaks on top of it is parked in front of a sierra store.

The Weekly Closeout: Best Buy sales fall 6.5% and Sierra hits 100 stores


Best Buy reported Thursday softer than expected earnings in the first quarter, attributing the Q1 6.5% revenue dip to macroeconomic conditions. 


A trader joe 's restaurant with cars parked in front of it

Trader Joe’s to open eight new SoCal stores. Here’s where they will be

 

Trader Joe’s is ramping up its pace of expansion, with plans to open two dozen new grocery stores around the country, including eight in Southern California. The SoCal stores will be in South Pasadena, Northridge, Sherman Oaks, Santa Clarita, Ladera Ranch, Murrieta, Poway and Santee. Opening dates have yet to be announced. 


An artist 's impression of a meijer grocery store.

Meijer to open third smaller-format grocery store

 

Meijer is bringing its scaled-down grocery format to a new state. The retailer will open a 90,000-sq.-ft. Meijer Grocery store on July 11 in the mixed-use Promenade of Noblesville development, in Noblesville, Ind., near Indianapolis. It will be the chain's third Meijer Grocery location and the 43rd Meijer store in the state. 


A peanut butter and chocolate cookie with a bite taken out of it.

Dirty Dough Makes its Mark in the Cookie Wars

 

The dessert chain is battling for market share in the red-hot cookie category with some help from a burgeoning platform company. Six years after launching inside an Arizona State apartment, Dirty Dough is surpassing 80 brick-and-mortar locations with dozens of units in development and 460 franchise territories sold. 


By Marc Perlof February 2, 2026
Retail Real Estate 2026: Why Some Properties Stay Strong While Others Struggle By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy February 2, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here is what just changed. Retail real estate in 2026 is no longer one market. It has split into clear winners and clear losers. Owners who understand this are protecting value. Owners who do not are feeling pressure. The biggest change is how people spend money when things feel uncertain. Interest rates are higher. Costs are up. Households are more careful. That shift shows up first at the property level. Some retail feels stress faster than others. Lifestyle centers, nightlife areas, entertainment districts, and tourist retail depend on optional spending. When people cut back, visits drop. Sales slow. Tenants push back on rent. Vacancies last longer. This is not a crash. It is a pressure issue tied to spending people can delay. Other retail performs differently. Grocery anchored centers, pharmacies, medical and dental, quick-service food, auto service, and personal care are built around daily habits. People cut wants before needs. That makes income steadier and easier to support in a cautious market. Recent retail market reports show this split clearly. National retail vacancy stayed fairly stable through late 2025, mostly in the mid-5 percent to high-6 percent range, with necessity-based centers performing better than discretionary locations¹. Leasing slowed in 2025, with longer decision times and more rent pushback, especially from non-essential tenants². Buyers are still active, but they are more careful. They now focus on tenant quality, lease length, and operating costs more than rent growth³. What retail owners should focus on right now • Daily-needs tenants reduce risk. Properties with grocery, medical, pharmacy, and quick-service food see more stable rent and fewer concession requests. That helps protect sale price and lender support in slower markets¹. • Grocery-anchored centers sell faster. Buyers still want these assets because traffic is predictable and costs are easier to pass through. These deals tend to fall apart less often³. • Discretionary retail carries pricing risk. Properties tied to optional spending face longer vacancies, rent resistance at renewal, and wider gaps between buyer and seller pricing. Waiting too long to adjust can hurt value, not just cash flow². One thing is becoming clear in early 2026. The market is not pricing retail as one category anymore. It is pricing risk. Two properties with the same income can be worth very different amounts based on tenant mix, lease terms, and rising expenses. Owners who understand this protect equity. Others only see the gap after a buyer or lender points it out. The takeaway is simple. Retail real estate in 2026 is about quality, not hype. Stable income matters. Lease terms matter. Tenant mix matters. Insurance and operating costs matter. Owners who match strategy to how their tenants actually perform stay in control. Owners who rely on old assumptions end up reacting. If you want a clear, property-specific review of how buyers and lenders would view your retail asset today, I can prepare a short market positioning summary. No templates. No guesses. Just how your property would really trade in this market. Ask yourself this. Is your property built around spending people can delay, or spending they rely on every week? #RetailRealEstate2026 #RetailMarketOutlook #EssentialServicesRetail #GroceryAnchoredRetailCenters #DiscretionaryRetailProperties
By Marc Perlof January 30, 2026
Smoothie King plots 90-plus new openings for 2026 The world’s largest smoothie franchise isn’t planning on slowing down its growth after a strong 2025.  Smoothie King says it plans to open more than 90 new store openings in 2026, in addition to launching a targeted franchisee incentive program spanning several key states, including Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Virginia and more. Through the program, Smoothie King says it is offering financial incentives to “growth-minded franchisees,” designed to accelerate brand awareness and density in these markets...
By Marc Perlof January 26, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy January 26, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. 2026 is shaping up to be a year where retail property owners need to pay attention. Not to fear. Not to headlines. To real signals in the market. There is more global and domestic uncertainty right now. Conflicts overseas, trade tension, higher government debt, and political changes in the U.S. all affect interest rates, insurance markets, and investor behavior. This does not mean panic. It means owners need clear, reliable information. Here is where the retail market stands today. Local retail remained steady through late 2025. In Los Angeles County, vacancy ranged from about 5.6 to 6.9 percent in the second half of the year¹²³. That tells us demand is still healthy, even as some tenants adjust space needs or renew leases at new rent levels. Leasing activity slowed in some areas. Spaces are taking longer to fill, and asking rents softened slightly as owners and tenants reset pricing². This is a normal market adjustment, not a collapse. On the investment side, commercial real estate transactions increased nationally through mid 2025. Both the number of deals and total dollar volume rose, showing capital is still moving⁵. Buyers are active when pricing reflects today’s risks and returns. This is exactly what I am seeing in live pricing discussions and negotiations right now. Insurance remains one of the biggest issues for retail owners. Property insurance markets became more stable in 2025, and rate increases slowed in some areas. However, insurers are still selective. Coverage terms matter more than ever, especially for properties exposed to wildfire or coastal risk⁴. Insurance costs directly affect net income, lease negotiations, and buyer interest. Retail Outlook for Q1 and Q2 2026 In early 2026, the retail market is likely to stay steady but measured. Vacancy is expected to remain near current levels. Leasing will be deliberate, not rushed. Rents should hold close to where they ended in 2025 as owners and tenants continue to agree on realistic pricing. Capital will remain active for properties with solid income, strong tenant credit, and durable lease terms. Buyers are selective, but they are still moving forward when risk and return are properly aligned. Insurance markets will stay selective in the first half of 2026. Owners need to plan renewals carefully and understand how insurance affects operating costs, tenant negotiations, and future sale value. Here is a simple retail risk check for 2026: • Local vacancy around 6 percent, stable but uneven by location¹ • Leasing takes longer than peak years, making pricing discipline critical² • Capital remains active, but underwriting is conservative⁵ • Insurance coverage is improving in some areas, but terms still matter⁴ Not all retail performs the same. Discretionary-driven destinations like lifestyle centers, nightlife districts, and tourist-focused shopping streets feel more pressure when consumer spending slows. Retail that serves daily needs and essential services tends to perform better during uncertain cycles. The best strategy now is disciplined and data-driven. Focus on tenant credit strength. Protect lease term and income stability. Price based on real market data. Understand insurance risk clearly. This is how value is protected in changing markets. I help retail property owners position assets based on real tenant behavior and real buyer demand. Not headlines. Call or DM me if you want a clear view of how your retail property should be positioned for 2026. How will you adjust your leasing or investment strategy this year based on what the market is actually telling us? #RetailRealEstate #LosAngelesCRE #CommercialRealEstateOutlook #RetailInvestment #CRE2026 #MarcRetailGuy
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