Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • April 17, 2026
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NRF: Retail sales inch up for sixth consecutive month in March

Retail sales rose slightly in March despite inflation and high gasoline prices as many consumers received higher-than-usual tax refunds.


Core retail sales (excluding restaurants, auto dealers and gas stations) were up 0.41% month over month in March and are up 7.05% year over year, according to the CNBC/Retail Monitor released Tuesday by the National Retail Federation. That compared with increases of 0.27% month over month and 5.87% year over year in February...

The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

Retail Stabilizes as Store Closures Fade

Market Absorbs Closures


The US retail sector entered 2026 on a more stable footing as the absorption of prior store closures continued. After a rocky period in 2024 and uneven market conditions last year, leasing activity showed resilience and vacancies remained relatively flat, according to Colliers’ Knowledge Leader. Net absorption was negative 4.3M SF in Q1, reflecting lingering impacts from closures. However, robust backfill demand and lower move-outs signaled that the worst may be over for many shopping centers.

An elevated outdoor view of a modern shopping mall promenade with manicured greenery, palm trees, and pedestrians.

Mall owners plot how to fill Saks Global’s abandoned space

Just hours after Saks Global said it was closing a Neiman Marcus store at a Boston mall, the property's landlord unveiled a plan to redevelop the soon-to-be-vacant space that anchors the retail hub.


Indianapolis-based Simon Property Group, obviously prepared for the tenant exit, said it would carve up the luxury chain's roughly 100,000 square feet of space at Copley Place and fill it with a lineup of new luxury retailers and distinctive restaurants...

The American flag waves against a bright blue sky between towering glass skyscrapers, viewed from a low angle.

Jack in the Box is Coming to Orlando

Jack in the Box, the clown-themed fast food restaurant, is coming to Orlando.


The restaurant will open at 5324 S. John Young Parkway in June 2026, according to its official website.

The chain, founded in the 1950s in San Diego by Robert O. Peterson, is known for as much for its burgers and tacos as it is for its Jack in the Box clown mascot. The restaurant had a significant Florida presence in the 1970s and 80s, but closed its Sunshine State restaurants. Now, it’s making a return to Florida...

A flat, single-story retail building with a

Fast food's return to the Promenade draws upbeat reactions from city officials

Local officials and business leaders say the planned opening of a Taco Bell Cantina in downtown Santa Monica reflects a pragmatic pivot in how the city thinks about filling its empty storefronts.


The comments come as Taco Bell Cantina has filed for commercial building permits to open at 318 Santa Monica Blvd. Permit filings show the project would convert 1,510 square feet of existing office space into a restaurant and bar with a mezzanine level, valued at nearly $400,000.



The main entrance of the NuHAA building, featuring a modern glass and stone facade, at sunset.

7-Eleven to close hundreds of stores in US, Canada, Mexico in focus on food sales


7-Eleven is planning to close hundreds of stores in North America as it doubles down on its goal of selling more food and drinks while it delays the planned initial public offering of its North American division.

The world's largest convenience store chain will close 645 stores in the United States, Canada and Mexico during the 12 months that began March 1, according to a financial report issued by Seven & i Holdings, the Japan-based parent company of 7-Eleven. The company did not identify the stores set to close...

A modern two-story commercial office building with a stone-accented entrance at dusk, seen from a paved parking lot.

Jersey Mike’s Reported Another Year of Growth in 2025

In a lot of respects, it’s been a stretch of change for Jersey Mike’s, a brand that had the same CEO for five decades until former Wingstop, Pizza Inn, and Salad and Go leader Charlie Morrison took over just about a year ago. And that was five months post-sale to private-equity behemoth Blackstone for a reported $8 billion (the deal closed on January 16, 2026)...


A green Publix Food & Pharmacy sign mounted on a white and beige building exterior against a blue sky.

Liability Insurance Costs Surge for Landlords Nationwide

Litigation Drives Insurance Spike


Commercial landlords across the US are facing rapidly escalating liability insurance premiums and decreased coverage, reports Bisnow. Time Equities, a firm with 43M SF under management, reports premiums for umbrella and excess liability insurance have quadrupled since 2020. Federal tort cases climbed 20% from 2022 to 2024, while premises liability cases increased 25% in the same period, according to industry reports...

Two bundt cakes on small plates: one with chocolate drizzle, one with caramel drizzle, with cinnamon sticks nearby.

Warehouse Clubs Drive One-Stop Shop Evolution

Warehouse Clubs See Rising Demand


Warehouse clubs are quickly solidifying their role as leading one-stop shop destinations, reports Globe St. Brands like Costco, Sam’s Club, and BJ’s Wholesale Club have grown their market influence, recording notable member and traffic gains in 2025. Their focus on competitive pricing, expanded merchandise, and additional services has helped attract and retain a broader range of shoppers...

Interior of a casual restaurant featuring blue chairs, red accents, brick walls, and a

Walmart, Amazon retain top spots in annual NRF ranking of top 50 global retailers

U.S.-based retail giants giants dominate the upper tier of an annual ranking of the leading international retailers based on their retail revenues in 2025.

Walmart once again took No. 1 spot in the National Retail Federation’s “2026 Top 50 Global Retailers” ranking, which was conducted by Kantar. Amazon retained the No. 2 spot. Rounding out the top five were two Germany-based companies — Schwarz Group (No. 3) and Aldi (No.4.) — and Costco Wholesale Corp. (See list of top 25 global retailers at end of article)...


CPI Report Today: Inflation Hits Highest Level in Nearly 2 Years

There was no doubt that the spike in gasoline prices was going to drive up price growth in March, but the latest data show the Iran war's effects on inflation were largely contained to energy, at least for now.

That provided markets with a bit of good news to close out the week, but the U.S. is nowhere near the peak of inflation stemming from this latest Middle East conflict. The coming months could bring more headaches to both Federal Reserve officials and investors—and possibly diminish the market's hopes for lower interest rates later this year...

By Marc Perlof August 28, 2026
Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows core prices rose 3.3% annually in July Prices consumers pay for a variety of goods and services rose slightly in July, according to the Federal Reserve’s main inflation gauge.  The personal consumption expenditures price index, which the Fed uses as its preferred forecasting tool, increased a seasonally adjusted 0.2% for the month, putting the annual inflation rate at 3.7%, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. Both were 0.1 percentage point above the Dow Jones consensus...
By Marc Perlof August 24, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 August 17, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. A tenant asks for a $100,000 tenant improvement allowance. The landlord thinks the request is unreasonable. The tenant thinks it is necessary to open the business. Who is right? Possibly both. The problem is that landlords and tenants often look at tenant improvement allowances, commonly called TI, from different points of view. The tenant sees money needed to build and open the business. The landlord sees money being invested into a property and a lease. Both sides may be looking at the same $100,000 but thinking about it very differently. The TI amount matters, but it should not be negotiated by itself. Rent, lease term, annual increases, free rent, tenant strength, guaranties, options, and TI are all connected. The real question for an owner is not simply, “How much TI am I giving?” It is, “What am I receiving in return?” The Tenant Sees the Cost of Opening Opening a retail business can require a large investment before the first customer walks through the door. Depending on the business and condition of the space, the tenant may need to pay for construction, equipment, signs, permits, inventory, employees, and marketing. From the tenant’s point of view, the TI allowance helps reduce the cash needed to open. That is why the tenant may focus heavily on the TI amount. The landlord, however, has a different concern. The Landlord Is Investing Capital For the landlord, TI is real money going into the lease. The owner should ask what the property receives in return for that investment. Is the tenant signing a longer lease? Is the rent strong? Are there annual increases? Is the tenant financially strong? Is there a guaranty? Will the improvements have value if the tenant leaves? The same $100,000 TI allowance can create very different risks. A $100,000 investment into a strong tenant signing a long term lease may make financial sense. The same investment into a tenant with limited financial strength, a weak guaranty, and improvements with little value to the next tenant may be much riskier. The amount is the same. The investment is not. TI, Rent, and Free Rent Are Connected A lease negotiation often includes several economic items. A tenant may ask for TI, lower rent, free rent, or some combination of all three. An owner should look at the total package because each option affects the property differently. TI requires capital upfront. Free rent delays cash flow. Lower rent can reduce NOI throughout the lease and may affect the property’s value. This does not mean one structure is always better. The answer depends on the lease term, rent increases, tenant strength, cost of construction, cost of vacancy, and the owner’s available capital. The mistake is negotiating each item as if it has nothing to do with the others. A Simple Example Assume a tenant is negotiating a 10 year lease and offers the landlord two choices: Option 1: $100,000 in TI with $10,000 per month in starting base rent. Option 2: No TI with $9,000 per month in starting base rent. At first, Option 2 may look better because the landlord keeps the $100,000. But the $1,000 monthly rent difference equals $12,000 per year. Before considering rent increases or other lease terms, the lower starting rent creates $120,000 less base rent over 10 years. There is another issue. Lower NOI may also affect the property’s value when a buyer underwrites the income. This does not automatically make Option 1 the better deal. The owner still needs to consider the timing of the $100,000 investment, the tenant’s financial strength, default risk, rent increases, the value of the improvements, and whether the owner has the cash available. The point is simple: saving money on TI does not automatically create the better financial result. Free Rent Is Also Part of the Investment Free rent can also be misunderstood. A tenant may view free rent as time to complete construction, hire employees, stock inventory, and open the business before paying full rent. For the landlord, it is income that is not being collected. Assume the monthly base rent is $10,000 and the tenant receives four months of free base rent. That is $40,000 in base rent the landlord does not collect. Depending on the lease, the tenant may still pay NNN expenses during the free rent period, or those expenses may also be reduced or delayed. The details matter. An owner who gives $100,000 in TI and $40,000 in free rent is making a larger investment than the TI number alone suggests. Leasing commissions, landlord work, and other concessions can increase the total investment further. This does not mean free rent is bad. It means the owner should measure the full cost of the lease package. More TI Should Be Supported by the Lease If an owner is being asked to invest more capital, the rest of the lease should support that investment. That may mean a longer lease term, stronger rent, annual increases, better security, a stronger guaranty, or other terms that reduce risk. If the tenant wants more TI, more free rent, lower rent, limited guaranties, and flexible options, the owner should ask whether the total package still makes financial sense. Occupancy alone does not make a lease a good investment. A Simple Payback Test One useful screening test is how long it takes the owner to recover the total lease investment. That should include TI, free rent, leasing commissions, landlord work, and other concessions. As a rough guide, an owner may want the total lease investment recovered within the first 25% to 40% of the firm lease term. On a 5 year lease, that usually means about 1 ½ to 2 years. On a 10 year lease, that may mean about 2 ½ to 4 years. This is not a perfect rule, but it is a useful warning sign. If most of the lease term is needed just to recover the upfront investment, the owner may be taking too much risk. Look at the Whole Deal The highest rent does not always create the best deal. A tenant offering higher rent may require more TI, more free rent, a larger leasing commission, or more landlord work. Another tenant may offer slightly lower rent but require much less capital and have stronger financials. That is why lease negotiations should be viewed as one investment decision, not a collection of separate deal points. Final Thought Landlords and tenants often misunderstand TI allowances because they are looking at the same money from different sides. The tenant is trying to reduce the cash needed to open. The landlord is deciding how much capital to invest and what income, security, and long-term value will be received in return. Before agreeing to or rejecting a TI request, owners should ask one question: What is the total investment I am making, and what am I receiving in return? If a tenant offered you a choice between higher TI and higher rent or no TI and lower rent, would you know which deal creates the better result for your property? In next week’s blog, How TI Decisions Affect Retail Property Value and Buyer Underwriting , we will look at how buyers review tenant strength, remaining lease term, future TI costs, lease rollover, and the durability of a property’s NOI. #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #RetailLeasing #TenantImprovements #TIAllowance #CommercialLeasing #MarcRetailGuy Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide.
By Marc Perlof August 21, 2026
Retail sales post biggest drop since 2025 as spending momentum fades U.S. retail sales sank to their lowest in over a year in July as consumers pulled back on online shopping and vehicle sales. Retail purchases, not adjusted for inflation, fell 0.6% in July from the previous month in the biggest decline since May 2025, according to the Census Bureau data released Friday. Excluding gasoline and auto, retail sales dropped 0.2%...
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