Are Private Equity Deals Changing Risk for NNN Retail Owners?

Marc Perlof • April 13, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy 
CA #01489206

April 13, 2026

If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you.

Private equity ownership changes the risk profile of your tenant. Strong brands can become more efficient, but also more sensitive to costs over time. When private equity takes over retailers, your rent may become less predictable.

What is changing?
Private equity firms are buying or investing in retail brands. After the purchase, they often change how the business is run.

One common move is selling the real estate and leasing it back. The company becomes a tenant instead of an owner. This creates fixed rent payments.

They also focus on increasing profit quickly. That can include cutting costs, simplifying operations, and shifting more stores to franchisees. These changes can improve efficiency and free up capital, but they can also increase pressure on store-level performance.

Why this is happening?
Private equity is focused on returns within a set time frame. They use debt and operational changes to increase profits. Real estate is often treated as a source of cash, not a long-term hold.

What this does to your value?
How does this affect your property value? Your value depends on stable income. Higher leverage and tighter margins make your income less predictable.

Uncertainty leads to higher cap rates. Higher cap rates lower your value.
A 100 basis point increase in cap rate can reduce your property value by 12% to 18%, depending on income and buyer demand.

How are buyers underwriting this today?
Buyers are looking past the brand name. They are focusing on unit-level performance and rent levels.

If rent is too high compared to sales, they apply a higher cap rate or reduce their offer.

What happens if the tenant’s costs increase?
When rent, labor, and food costs rise at the same time, weaker locations start to underperform. That is when closures or lease renegotiations happen.

Strategic Advice for Retail Property Owners
What should you do right now? Review your tenant’s ownership structure. Know if the brand is private equity backed. Do not assume brand strength equals tenant strength.

What should you review in your lease?
Focus on rent relative to sales, if possible. Rent that gets too high as a percentage of sales creates risk. Also review lease term, options, and guarantor strength.

What should you prepare for?
Plan for more tenant scrutiny at sale. Buyers will ask deeper questions about store performance and long-term viability. Be ready to support your income with real numbers.

Real Deal Insight
In today’s market, buyers are underwriting rent relative to store performance or sales, franchisee versus corporate structure, and margin pressure. Deals that once traded aggressively are now being discounted when rent exceeds sustainable levels or when the tenant is more leveraged after a private equity transaction. This is showing up in pricing, cap rates, and buyer demand across Southern California.

Owner Self-Assessment
If your tenant’s costs increase, can they still comfortably pay your rent?

Market Data and Sources
  • Sale-leasebacks are widely used in restaurant and retail sectors to free up capital and create long-term lease obligations.¹
  • Private equity ownership often increases leverage, which can raise financial risk during downturns.²
  • Restaurant margins are sensitive to labor and food costs, which have increased in recent years.³

If you own retail real estate in Los Angeles or Southern California, this is already showing up in how buyers evaluate NNN properties, strip centers, and single-tenant assets.

If you are thinking about selling or refinancing in the next 12 to 24 months, now is the time to evaluate your tenant strength and pricing. Small shifts in cap rates can materially impact your exit value.

Is your tenant’s business strong enough to support your rent long term?

#RetailRealEstate #NNNProperties #FastFoodRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #CapRates #LosAngelesRealEstate #CREInvesting #InvestmentProperty #NetLease #RetailInvesting

Sources

¹  National Restaurant Association, Restaurant Industry Overview, 2024–2025 

² Federal Reserve, Financial Stability Reports, 2024–2025

³ U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Food and Labor Cost Trends, 2024–2025


Disclaimer

This post is for information only. It is not legal, tax, or financial advice. Always check with a licensed professional before making decisions.



© 2026 Marc Perlof Group. All rights reserved.


By Marc Perlof August 28, 2026
Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows core prices rose 3.3% annually in July Prices consumers pay for a variety of goods and services rose slightly in July, according to the Federal Reserve’s main inflation gauge.  The personal consumption expenditures price index, which the Fed uses as its preferred forecasting tool, increased a seasonally adjusted 0.2% for the month, putting the annual inflation rate at 3.7%, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. Both were 0.1 percentage point above the Dow Jones consensus...
By Marc Perlof August 24, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 August 17, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. A tenant asks for a $100,000 tenant improvement allowance. The landlord thinks the request is unreasonable. The tenant thinks it is necessary to open the business. Who is right? Possibly both. The problem is that landlords and tenants often look at tenant improvement allowances, commonly called TI, from different points of view. The tenant sees money needed to build and open the business. The landlord sees money being invested into a property and a lease. Both sides may be looking at the same $100,000 but thinking about it very differently. The TI amount matters, but it should not be negotiated by itself. Rent, lease term, annual increases, free rent, tenant strength, guaranties, options, and TI are all connected. The real question for an owner is not simply, “How much TI am I giving?” It is, “What am I receiving in return?” The Tenant Sees the Cost of Opening Opening a retail business can require a large investment before the first customer walks through the door. Depending on the business and condition of the space, the tenant may need to pay for construction, equipment, signs, permits, inventory, employees, and marketing. From the tenant’s point of view, the TI allowance helps reduce the cash needed to open. That is why the tenant may focus heavily on the TI amount. The landlord, however, has a different concern. The Landlord Is Investing Capital For the landlord, TI is real money going into the lease. The owner should ask what the property receives in return for that investment. Is the tenant signing a longer lease? Is the rent strong? Are there annual increases? Is the tenant financially strong? Is there a guaranty? Will the improvements have value if the tenant leaves? The same $100,000 TI allowance can create very different risks. A $100,000 investment into a strong tenant signing a long term lease may make financial sense. The same investment into a tenant with limited financial strength, a weak guaranty, and improvements with little value to the next tenant may be much riskier. The amount is the same. The investment is not. TI, Rent, and Free Rent Are Connected A lease negotiation often includes several economic items. A tenant may ask for TI, lower rent, free rent, or some combination of all three. An owner should look at the total package because each option affects the property differently. TI requires capital upfront. Free rent delays cash flow. Lower rent can reduce NOI throughout the lease and may affect the property’s value. This does not mean one structure is always better. The answer depends on the lease term, rent increases, tenant strength, cost of construction, cost of vacancy, and the owner’s available capital. The mistake is negotiating each item as if it has nothing to do with the others. A Simple Example Assume a tenant is negotiating a 10 year lease and offers the landlord two choices: Option 1: $100,000 in TI with $10,000 per month in starting base rent. Option 2: No TI with $9,000 per month in starting base rent. At first, Option 2 may look better because the landlord keeps the $100,000. But the $1,000 monthly rent difference equals $12,000 per year. Before considering rent increases or other lease terms, the lower starting rent creates $120,000 less base rent over 10 years. There is another issue. Lower NOI may also affect the property’s value when a buyer underwrites the income. This does not automatically make Option 1 the better deal. The owner still needs to consider the timing of the $100,000 investment, the tenant’s financial strength, default risk, rent increases, the value of the improvements, and whether the owner has the cash available. The point is simple: saving money on TI does not automatically create the better financial result. Free Rent Is Also Part of the Investment Free rent can also be misunderstood. A tenant may view free rent as time to complete construction, hire employees, stock inventory, and open the business before paying full rent. For the landlord, it is income that is not being collected. Assume the monthly base rent is $10,000 and the tenant receives four months of free base rent. That is $40,000 in base rent the landlord does not collect. Depending on the lease, the tenant may still pay NNN expenses during the free rent period, or those expenses may also be reduced or delayed. The details matter. An owner who gives $100,000 in TI and $40,000 in free rent is making a larger investment than the TI number alone suggests. Leasing commissions, landlord work, and other concessions can increase the total investment further. This does not mean free rent is bad. It means the owner should measure the full cost of the lease package. More TI Should Be Supported by the Lease If an owner is being asked to invest more capital, the rest of the lease should support that investment. That may mean a longer lease term, stronger rent, annual increases, better security, a stronger guaranty, or other terms that reduce risk. If the tenant wants more TI, more free rent, lower rent, limited guaranties, and flexible options, the owner should ask whether the total package still makes financial sense. Occupancy alone does not make a lease a good investment. A Simple Payback Test One useful screening test is how long it takes the owner to recover the total lease investment. That should include TI, free rent, leasing commissions, landlord work, and other concessions. As a rough guide, an owner may want the total lease investment recovered within the first 25% to 40% of the firm lease term. On a 5 year lease, that usually means about 1 ½ to 2 years. On a 10 year lease, that may mean about 2 ½ to 4 years. This is not a perfect rule, but it is a useful warning sign. If most of the lease term is needed just to recover the upfront investment, the owner may be taking too much risk. Look at the Whole Deal The highest rent does not always create the best deal. A tenant offering higher rent may require more TI, more free rent, a larger leasing commission, or more landlord work. Another tenant may offer slightly lower rent but require much less capital and have stronger financials. That is why lease negotiations should be viewed as one investment decision, not a collection of separate deal points. Final Thought Landlords and tenants often misunderstand TI allowances because they are looking at the same money from different sides. The tenant is trying to reduce the cash needed to open. The landlord is deciding how much capital to invest and what income, security, and long-term value will be received in return. Before agreeing to or rejecting a TI request, owners should ask one question: What is the total investment I am making, and what am I receiving in return? If a tenant offered you a choice between higher TI and higher rent or no TI and lower rent, would you know which deal creates the better result for your property? In next week’s blog, How TI Decisions Affect Retail Property Value and Buyer Underwriting , we will look at how buyers review tenant strength, remaining lease term, future TI costs, lease rollover, and the durability of a property’s NOI. #RetailRealEstate #CommercialRealEstate #RetailLeasing #TenantImprovements #TIAllowance #CommercialLeasing #MarcRetailGuy Based in Los Angeles. Serving Southern California. Active across California. Advising clients nationwide.
By Marc Perlof August 21, 2026
Retail sales post biggest drop since 2025 as spending momentum fades U.S. retail sales sank to their lowest in over a year in July as consumers pulled back on online shopping and vehicle sales. Retail purchases, not adjusted for inflation, fell 0.6% in July from the previous month in the biggest decline since May 2025, according to the Census Bureau data released Friday. Excluding gasoline and auto, retail sales dropped 0.2%...
More Posts