Weekly Perl: A Commercial Real Estate News Recap

Marc Perlof • January 23, 2026
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Circana: Retail closed 2025 with 2% dollar growth, flat unit demand

Total retail spending held steady once again in December as consumers continued to spend, but they also made it clear —through reduced demand — that they have limitations. 



That's one of the insights of a new study from Circana, which revealed that, In the five weeks ending Jan. 3, 2026, U.S. retail sales revenue was flat across food, consumer packaged goods and discretionary product segments. Unit demand declined 1% during the five weeks of December compared to the same time in 2024...


The front of an aldi store with a sign in front of it.

Store brand sales hit new record highs in revenue and unit volume


Private label sales continue to outperform national brands in the United States.

Sales of store brands increased slightly more than $9 billion to a record $282.8 billion in all outlets last year compared to 2024, according to the Private Label Manufacturers Association’s new Circana Unify+ data...

Retail Rents Shift Through Quiet Deal Changes


Globe St says that retail rents have begun to climb in 
practical terms even when advertised base rent per PSF remains stable. Instead of simply increasing face rents, landlords are adjusting deal structures to pass more buildout responsibilities and costs to tenants. This shift, described as “shadow rent growth,” is most visible in high-demand A-quality suburban centers, where leasing competition remains intense...

13 Restaurants Facing Potential Bankruptcy and Closure in 2026


Throughout 2025, Americans voiced concerns about affordability, yet costs kept climbing. Now, diners face difficult decisions about their eating-out budgets.

When restaurant spending gets squeezed, businesses feel the impact. According to Finance Bizz, the following 13 chains face serious bankruptcy risks or potential closures in 2026.


Southeastern Grocers rebrands as The Winn-Dixie Company


A century-old regional grocery company has started a new chapter.

Southeastern Grocers on Jan. 21 officially became The Winn-Dixie Company, uniting its organization and its stores under one banner. The move, first announced in October, is part of a renewed focus on the company’s home state of Florida...


At Michaels, taking Party City and Joann’s market share was priority No. 1

Almost a year into David Boone’s tenure as CEO, the executive is giving a glimpse into Michaels’ future in a post-Party City and Joann world.

“When [CFO Perry Pericleous] and I got here, as we worked on the strategy, the first thing that we concluded was there was tremendous disruption in the marketplace with the exit of Joann Fabric and the exit of Party City — and that job one was to go after that,” Boone said at the ICR Conference last week. “In the last six-seven months, we have introduced a Party Shop by Michaels in every single store in our fleet, and we’ve introduced the Knit & Sew Shop in every single store in our fleet...”

Denny's completes $620M sale following shareholder OK

Denny’s stock is officially off the market.

The diner chain on Friday completed its sale to a group consisting of TriArtisan Capital Advisors, franchisee Yadav Enterprises and Treville Capital Group, making it a privately held company again for the first time since 1997...


By Marc Perlof March 13, 2026
US consumer inflation steady before Iran conflict drives up oil prices WASHINGTON, March 11 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices rose moderately in February as rents maintained a steady pace of increases, though households paid more for gasoline and at the supermarket and higher costs are in store because of the escalating war in the Middle East .  The Consumer Price Index report from the Labor Department on Wednesday, which also showed underlying inflation muted ​last month, covered the period before the U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran. The attacks at the end of February were met with retaliation by Tehran and have boosted oil prices...
By Marc Perlof March 9, 2026
By Marc Perlof | MarcRetailGuy CA #01489206 March 9, 2026 If you own retail real estate, here’s what just changed for you. If you own retail property, the biggest change happening in today’s market is not rent levels or cap rates. It is capital. More specifically, the speed at which investment capital is being raised and deployed into retail deals. As a retail real estate agent focused on investment sales, I am seeing this shift in real time. Investors still want retail assets. But the capital behind those buyers is moving more cautiously than it did a few years ago. That change affects pricing, buyer competition, and how quickly deals close. Over the past year I have seen buyers take longer to raise equity and move deals forward. According to the 2024 Global Private Markets Report from McKinsey & Company, fundraising cycles for private real estate funds have lengthened and investors are taking more time to commit capital as they reassess risk and portfolio allocations.¹ This does not mean capital has disappeared. It means capital is moving more carefully. Retail investment activity reflects this new discipline. According to Marcus & Millichap’s 2025 U.S. Retail Investment Forecast, national retail vacancy remains near historic lows, generally ranging between approximately 4 percent and 5 percent depending on the quarter and reporting method.² Low vacancy continues to attract investors to retail assets, but they are underwriting deals more conservatively. Another key trend is the concentration of capital toward stronger assets and stronger sponsors. CBRE’s U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook reports that investors are prioritizing properties with durable tenant demand and stable income streams as uncertainty around interest rates and refinancing conditions persists.³ In practical terms, this means retail syndicators and private investors must raise capital more carefully and explain risk more clearly before closing acquisitions. Limited partners want to understand tenant durability, lease rollover risk, and income stability before they commit equity. Several trends are driving this capital caution. Investors are performing deeper underwriting before committing equity to retail acquisitions.¹ Retail vacancy remains low nationally, which keeps investor interest in the sector even while capital formation slows.² Institutional and private investors are prioritizing assets with stable tenants and predictable income streams.³ For retail property owners, this shift matters. When capital raising slows, the pool of active buyers becomes more selective. Properties with stable tenants, longer lease terms, and predictable income attract the deepest buyer interest. Properties with near-term lease rollover, weaker tenants, or uncertain cash flow may still sell, but buyers will price in more risk. That can affect value expectations and negotiation leverage. This is why understanding how investors are raising capital today is critical before bringing a retail property to market. A well-positioned asset with the right story can still attract strong buyer demand. But the strategy behind the sale matters more than ever. If you own retail real estate and want to understand how today’s capital markets affect the value of your property, let’s talk. If you are considering selling in the next 12–24 months, understanding how buyers are raising capital today can have a direct impact on your exit price. If investors are raising capital more slowly and underwriting deals more carefully, how would your property perform under the scrutiny of today’s buyers? #RetailRealEstate #RetailPropertyInvesting #CommercialRealEstate #RetailInvestmentSales #CRECapitalMarkets #RetailSyndication #RetailPropertyOwners #CommercialPropertyInvesting #RetailAssetManagement #CREInvestors #ValueAddRetail #RetailPropertyStrategy
By Marc Perlof March 6, 2026
Economic Snapshot: K-shaped Economy Poses Risks for Commercial Real Estate The latest economic data paints a robust picture of the U.S. economy, with 130,000 jobs added in January and GDP growing at an annual rate of 4.4 percent in the third quarter. Yet this growth was uneven. The data points increasingly to a “K-shaped” economy—one in which higher-income households and capital-intensive sectors continue to grow and spend, while lower-income households face stagnating wages and constrained consumption. This divergence is now responsible for nearly 60 percent of consumer spending...
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